ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG)
Last Price$259.3(3.4%)
Market Cap$5,232.0M
DCF value
$960.6
Undervalued (DCF value)
270.5%
Discount Rate
9.5%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

ABG DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'19 ActualDec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 EstimateDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 Terminal
% growth
7,210.3
4.9%
7,131.8
(1.1%)
9,837.7
37.9%
15,433.9
56.9%
14,802.7
(4.1%)
16,793.6
13.4%
17,388.0
3.5%
17,232.1
(0.9%)
22,683.0
31.6%
28,914.1
27.5%
35,653.5
23.3%
42,480.1
19.1%
48,845.8
15.0%
54,132.6
10.8%
57,738.7
6.7%
59,182.2
2.5%
325.0
4.5%
370.8
5.2%
791.8
8.0%
1,272.6
8.2%
1,074.8
7.3%
1,113.7
6.6%
1,153.1
6.6%
1,142.7
6.6%
1,504.2
6.6%
1,917.4
6.6%
2,364.3
6.6%
2,817.0
6.6%
3,239.2
6.6%
3,589.8
6.6%
3,828.9
6.6%
3,924.6
6.6%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
245.7
3.4%
279.0
3.9%
604.2
6.1%
962.1
6.2%
808.1
5.5%
837.4
5.0%
867.0
5.0%
859.2
5.0%
1,131.0
5.0%
1,441.7
5.0%
1,777.8
5.0%
2,118.1
5.0%
2,435.5
5.0%
2,699.2
5.0%
2,879.0
5.0%
2,950.9
5.0%
% of revenue
36.2
0.5%
38.5
0.5%
41.9
0.4%
94.3
0.6%
67.7
0.5%
83.6
0.5%
86.6
0.5%
85.8
0.5%
113.0
0.5%
144.0
0.5%
177.6
0.5%
211.6
0.5%
243.3
0.5%
269.6
0.5%
287.6
0.5%
294.8
0.5%
% of revenue
(66.8)
(0.9%)
(48.8)
(0.7%)
(82.0)
(0.8%)
(107.9)
(0.7%)
(142.3)
(1.0%)
(139.6)
(0.8%)
(144.5)
(0.8%)
(143.3)
(0.8%)
(188.6)
(0.8%)
(240.4)
(0.8%)
(296.4)
(0.8%)
(353.1)
(0.8%)
(406.1)
(0.8%)
(450.0)
(0.8%)
(480.0)
(0.8%)
(492.0)
(0.8%)
68.1
0.9%
311.6
4.4%
508.6
5.2%
(391.0)
(2.5%)
(581.7)
(3.9%)
(72.4)
(0.4%)
(75.0)
(0.4%)
(74.3)
(0.4%)
(97.8)
(0.4%)
(124.6)
(0.4%)
(153.7)
(0.4%)
(183.1)
(0.4%)
(210.6)
(0.4%)
(233.3)
(0.4%)
(248.9)
(0.4%)
(255.1)
(0.4%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
283.2
3.9%
580.3
8.1%
1,072.7
10.9%
557.5
3.6%
151.8
1.0%
709.0
4.2%
734.1
4.2%
727.5
4.2%
957.7
4.2%
1,220.7
4.2%
1,505.3
4.2%
1,793.5
4.2%
2,062.2
4.2%
2,285.4
4.2%
2,437.7
4.2%
2,498.6
4.2%
% of FCFF used in calculation
100.0%
83.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.87
0.80
0.73
0.66
0.61
0.55
0.51
0.46
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
582.3
634.8
762.9
888.0
999.8
1,087.7
1,142.0
1,155.6
1,125.4

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ABG DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
8,378.4M
33.8%
Terminal Value (TV)
35.6B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
16.4B
66.2%
Total Debt
5,479.2M
Shares outstanding
20.2M
FX rate
1.0
270.5% undervalued

Equity Value Bridge

ABG DCF Financials

Revenue
$14.8B -> $57.7B 14.6% CAGR
Operating Income
$1,074.8M -> $3,828.9M 13.5% CAGR
FCFF
$151.8M -> $2,437.7M 32.0% CAGR

ABG DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
9.0%
$950.0
$1,007.0
$1,072.0
$1,148.0
$1,149.0
9.5%
$862.0
$910.0
$964.0
$1,027.0
$1,101.0
9.5%
$859.0
$906.0
$961.0
$1,023.0
$1,096.0
10.5%
$717.0
$751.0
$790.0
$835.0
$885.0
11.0%
$656.0
$686.0
$719.0
$757.0
$799.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
9.0%
266.0%
288.0%
314.0%
343.0%
343.0%
9.5%
232.0%
251.0%
272.0%
296.0%
325.0%
9.5%
231.0%
249.0%
271.0%
295.0%
323.0%
10.5%
177.0%
190.0%
205.0%
222.0%
241.0%
11.0%
153.0%
165.0%
177.0%
192.0%
208.0%

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FAQ

What is Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $960.6. This suggests it may be undervalued by 270.5% compared to its current price of around $259.3, using a WACC of 9.5% and growth rates of 2.5%.

What is Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.5%.

What is Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $24.8B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.