ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM)
Last Price$54.64.9%
Market Cap$3,453.2M
DCF value
($13.0)
Overvalued (DCF value)
(123.7%)
Discount Rate
13.2%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
5/10
Good

ABM DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Oct'20 ActualOct'21 ActualOct'22 ActualOct'23 ActualOct'24 ActualOct'25 EstimateOct'26 EstimateOct'27 EstimateOct'28 EstimateOct'29 EstimateOct'30 EstimateOct'31 EstimateOct'32 EstimateOct'33 EstimateOct'34 EstimateOct'35 Terminal
% growth
5,987.6
(7.9%)
6,228.6
4.0%
7,806.6
25.3%
8,096.4
3.7%
8,359.4
3.2%
8,502.1
1.7%
8,718.8
2.5%
8,946.0
2.6%
9,172.3
2.5%
9,397.5
2.5%
9,621.0
2.4%
9,842.6
2.3%
10,061.8
2.2%
10,278.3
2.2%
10,491.6
2.1%
10,701.5
2.0%
278.3
4.6%
206.3
3.3%
348.8
4.5%
409.5
5.1%
212.0
2.5%
341.9
4.0%
350.6
4.0%
359.8
4.0%
368.9
4.0%
377.9
4.0%
386.9
4.0%
395.8
4.0%
404.6
4.0%
413.4
4.0%
421.9
4.0%
430.4
4.0%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
1.0
0.0%
144.9
2.3%
259.2
3.3%
310.9
3.8%
129.2
1.5%
208.3
2.5%
213.6
2.5%
219.2
2.5%
224.8
2.5%
230.3
2.5%
235.7
2.5%
241.2
2.5%
246.5
2.5%
251.8
2.5%
257.1
2.5%
262.2
2.5%
% of revenue
96.4
1.6%
89.9
1.4%
112.4
1.4%
120.7
1.5%
106.6
1.3%
119.2
1.4%
122.2
1.4%
125.4
1.4%
128.6
1.4%
131.7
1.4%
134.9
1.4%
138.0
1.4%
141.1
1.4%
144.1
1.4%
147.1
1.4%
150.0
1.4%
% of revenue
(38.0)
(0.6%)
(34.3)
(0.6%)
(50.8)
(0.7%)
(52.6)
(0.6%)
(59.4)
(0.7%)
(57.0)
(0.7%)
(58.4)
(0.7%)
(60.0)
(0.7%)
(61.5)
(0.7%)
(63.0)
(0.7%)
(64.5)
(0.7%)
(66.0)
(0.7%)
(67.4)
(0.7%)
(68.9)
(0.7%)
(70.3)
(0.7%)
(71.7)
(0.7%)
173.0
2.9%
109.3
1.8%
(407.0)
(5.2%)
(110.1)
(1.4%)
(69.2)
(0.8%)
(209.8)
(2.5%)
(215.1)
(2.5%)
(220.7)
(2.5%)
(226.3)
(2.5%)
(231.8)
(2.5%)
(237.4)
(2.5%)
(242.8)
(2.5%)
(248.2)
(2.5%)
(253.6)
(2.5%)
(258.8)
(2.5%)
(264.0)
(2.5%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
232.4
3.9%
309.8
5.0%
(86.2)
(1.1%)
268.9
3.3%
107.2
1.3%
60.8
0.7%
62.3
0.7%
64.0
0.7%
65.6
0.7%
67.2
0.7%
68.8
0.7%
70.4
0.7%
71.9
0.7%
73.5
0.7%
75.0
0.7%
76.5
0.7%
% of FCFF used in calculation
65.2%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.94
0.83
0.73
0.65
0.57
0.50
0.45
0.39
0.35
0.31
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
37.2
51.7
46.9
42.4
38.4
34.7
31.4
28.3
25.5
23.0

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ABM DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 07, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
359.6M
63.2%
Terminal Value (TV)
680.9M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
209.0M
36.8%
Total Debt
1,452.4M
(819.1M)
Shares outstanding
63.2M
FX rate
1.0
(13.0)
123.7% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

ABM DCF Financials

Revenue
$8,359.4M -> $10.5B 2.3% CAGR
Operating Income
$212.0M -> $421.9M 7.1% CAGR
FCFF
$107.2M -> $75.0M (3.5%) CAGR

ABM DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
12.0%
($12.0)
($12.0)
($12.0)
($12.0)
($11.0)
12.5%
($13.0)
($13.0)
($12.0)
($12.0)
($12.0)
13.2%
($13.0)
($13.0)
($13.0)
($13.0)
($13.0)
13.5%
($13.0)
($13.0)
($13.0)
($13.0)
($13.0)
14.0%
($14.0)
($14.0)
($14.0)
($13.0)
($13.0)
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
12.0%
(122.0%)
(122.0%)
(122.0%)
(122.0%)
(120.0%)
12.5%
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
(122.0%)
(122.0%)
(122.0%)
13.2%
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
13.5%
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
(124.0%)
14.0%
(126.0%)
(126.0%)
(126.0%)
(124.0%)
(124.0%)

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FAQ

What is ABM Industries Incorporated DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 07, 2025, ABM Industries Incorporated's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at ($13.0). This suggests it may be overvalued by (123.7%) compared to its current price of around $54.6, using a WACC of 13.2% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is ABM Industries Incorporated WACC?

As of Mar 07, 2025, ABM Industries Incorporated's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 13.2%.

What is ABM Industries Incorporated Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 07, 2025, ABM Industries Incorporated's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $568.7M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.