ALTO
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO)
Last Price$1.4(0.7%)
Market Cap$101.5M
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
8.3%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
5/10
Good

ALTO DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
897.0
(37.0%)
1,207.9
34.7%
1,335.6
10.6%
1,222.9
(8.4%)
965.3
(21.1%)
946.1
(2.0%)
1,001.6
5.9%
1,345.3
34.3%
1,752.6
30.3%
2,212.5
26.2%
2,703.6
22.2%
3,194.5
18.2%
3,645.4
14.1%
4,012.9
10.1%
4,255.2
6.0%
4,340.3
2.0%
(18.6)
(2.1%)
16.5
1.4%
(61.4)
(4.6%)
(23.8)
(2.0%)
(51.7)
(5.4%)
(8.8)
(0.9%)
(9.4)
(0.9%)
(12.6)
(0.9%)
(16.4)
(0.9%)
(20.7)
(0.9%)
(25.3)
(0.9%)
(29.9)
(0.9%)
(34.1)
(0.9%)
(37.5)
(0.9%)
(39.8)
(0.9%)
(40.6)
(0.9%)
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
(18.6)
(2.1%)
16.0
1.3%
(64.3)
(4.8%)
(23.9)
(2.0%)
(51.8)
(5.4%)
(8.9)
(0.9%)
(9.4)
(0.9%)
(12.6)
(0.9%)
(16.4)
(0.9%)
(20.8)
(0.9%)
(25.4)
(0.9%)
(30.0)
(0.9%)
(34.2)
(0.9%)
(37.6)
(0.9%)
(39.9)
(0.9%)
(40.7)
(0.9%)
% of revenue
30.3
3.4%
23.3
1.9%
25.1
1.9%
23.1
1.9%
0.0
0.0%
11.9
1.3%
12.6
1.3%
16.9
1.3%
22.0
1.3%
27.8
1.3%
33.9
1.3%
40.1
1.3%
45.8
1.3%
50.4
1.3%
53.4
1.3%
54.5
1.3%
% of revenue
(6.6)
(0.7%)
(16.4)
(1.4%)
(37.7)
(2.8%)
(29.5)
(2.4%)
0.0
N/A
(24.8)
(2.6%)
(26.2)
(2.6%)
(35.3)
(2.6%)
(45.9)
(2.6%)
(58.0)
(2.6%)
(70.8)
(2.6%)
(83.7)
(2.6%)
(95.5)
(2.6%)
(105.2)
(2.6%)
(111.5)
(2.6%)
(113.7)
(2.6%)
36.9
4.1%
(13.2)
(1.1%)
31.6
2.4%
3.7
0.3%
0.0
N/A
12.6
1.3%
13.4
1.3%
17.9
1.3%
23.4
1.3%
29.5
1.3%
36.0
1.3%
42.6
1.3%
48.6
1.3%
53.5
1.3%
56.7
1.3%
57.9
1.3%
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
42.0
4.7%
9.7
0.8%
(45.4)
(3.4%)
(26.7)
(2.2%)
0.0
N/A
(9.2)
(1.0%)
(9.7)
(1.0%)
(13.1)
(1.0%)
(17.0)
(1.0%)
(21.5)
(1.0%)
(26.2)
(1.0%)
(31.0)
(1.0%)
(35.4)
(1.0%)
(38.9)
(1.0%)
(41.3)
(1.0%)
(42.1)
(1.0%)
% of FCFF used in calculation
80.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.89
0.82
0.76
0.70
0.64
0.59
0.55
0.51
0.47
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)

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ALTO DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
N/A
Shares outstanding
72.5M
FX rate
N/A
100% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

ALTO DCF Financials

Revenue
$965.3M -> $4,255.2M 16.0% CAGR
Operating Income
($51.7M) -> ($39.8M) (2.6%) CAGR
FCFF
N/A -> ($41.3M) N/A CAGR

ALTO DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.3%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.3%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)

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FAQ

What is Alto Ingredients, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Alto Ingredients, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $1.4, using a WACC of 8.3% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Alto Ingredients, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Alto Ingredients, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.3%.

What is Alto Ingredients, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Alto Ingredients, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.