Last Price$10.10.1%
Market Cap$14.7B
DCF value
$6.9
Overvalued (DCF value)
(32.2%)
Discount Rate
7.7%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
AMCR DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Jun'20 Actual | Jun'21 Actual | Jun'22 Actual | Jun'23 Actual | Jun'24 Actual | Jun'25 Estimate | Jun'26 Estimate | Jun'27 Estimate | Jun'28 Estimate | Jun'29 Estimate | Jun'30 Estimate | Jun'31 Estimate | Jun'32 Estimate | Jun'33 Estimate | Jun'34 Estimate | Jun'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 12,468.0 31.8% | 12,861.0 3.2% | 14,544.0 13.1% | 14,694.0 1.0% | 13,639.0 (7.2%) | 13,849.5 1.5% | 14,215.1 2.6% | 14,617.9 2.8% | 14,483.6 (0.9%) | 14,421.2 (0.4%) | 14,429.5 0.1% | 14,508.3 0.5% | 14,658.4 1.0% | 14,881.7 1.5% | 15,181.1 2.0% | 15,560.6 2.5% |
% margin | 994.0 8.0% | 1,321.0 10.3% | 1,239.0 8.5% | 1,508.0 10.3% | 1,214.0 8.9% | 1,304.5 9.4% | 1,338.9 9.4% | 1,376.9 9.4% | 1,364.2 9.4% | 1,358.3 9.4% | 1,359.1 9.4% | 1,366.6 9.4% | 1,380.7 9.4% | 1,401.7 9.4% | 1,429.9 9.4% | 1,465.7 9.4% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 768.7 6.2% | 1,032.0 8.0% | 905.6 6.2% | 1,275.4 8.7% | 995.8 7.3% | 1,070.1 7.7% | 1,098.3 7.7% | 1,129.4 7.7% | 1,119.1 7.7% | 1,114.2 7.7% | 1,114.9 7.7% | 1,121.0 7.7% | 1,132.6 7.7% | 1,149.8 7.7% | 1,172.9 7.7% | 1,202.3 7.7% |
% of revenue | 607.2 4.9% | 573.0 4.5% | 580.0 4.0% | 573.0 3.9% | 587.0 4.3% | 562.8 4.1% | 577.7 4.1% | 594.0 4.1% | 588.6 4.1% | 586.0 4.1% | 586.4 4.1% | 589.6 4.1% | 595.7 4.1% | 604.8 4.1% | 616.9 4.1% | 632.3 4.1% |
% of revenue | (400.0) (3.2%) | (468.0) (3.6%) | (527.0) (3.6%) | (526.0) (3.6%) | (492.0) (3.6%) | (499.1) (3.6%) | (512.2) (3.6%) | (526.8) (3.6%) | (521.9) (3.6%) | (519.7) (3.6%) | (520.0) (3.6%) | (522.8) (3.6%) | (528.2) (3.6%) | (536.3) (3.6%) | (547.0) (3.6%) | (560.7) (3.6%) |
% of revenue | 140.0 1.1% | (47.0) (0.4%) | (207.0) (1.4%) | (265.0) (1.8%) | (120.0) (0.9%) | (189.6) (1.4%) | (194.6) (1.4%) | (200.1) (1.4%) | (198.3) (1.4%) | (197.4) (1.4%) | (197.5) (1.4%) | (198.6) (1.4%) | (200.7) (1.4%) | (203.7) (1.4%) | (207.8) (1.4%) | (213.0) (1.4%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 1,115.9 9.0% | 1,090.0 8.5% | 751.6 5.2% | 1,057.4 7.2% | 970.8 7.1% | 944.2 6.8% | 969.2 6.8% | 996.6 6.8% | 987.5 6.8% | 983.2 6.8% | 983.8 6.8% | 989.1 6.8% | 999.4 6.8% | 1,014.6 6.8% | 1,035.0 6.8% | 1,060.9 6.8% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 32.6% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.90 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 0.50 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 296.7 | 867.6 | 828.8 | 762.8 | 705.5 | 655.7 | 612.4 | 574.7 | 542.0 | 513.6 |
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AMCR DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
6,359.8M
38.4%
Terminal Value (TV)
20.6B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
10.2B
61.6%
Total Debt
7,187.0M
9,972.7M
Shares outstanding
1,452.0M
FX rate
1.0
6.9
32.2% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
AMCR DCF Financials
Revenue
$13.6B -> $15.2B
1.1% CAGR
Operating Income
$1,214.0M -> $1,429.9M
1.7% CAGR
FCFF
$970.8M -> $1,035.0M
0.6% CAGR
AMCR DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
7.0%
$7.0
$8.0
$9.0
$10.0
$10.0
7.5%
$6.0
$7.0
$7.0
$8.0
$9.0
7.7%
$6.0
$6.0
$7.0
$8.0
$9.0
8.5%
$4.0
$5.0
$5.0
$6.0
$6.0
9.0%
$4.0
$4.0
$5.0
$5.0
$5.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
7.0%
(31.0%)
(21.0%)
(11.0%)
(1.0%)
(1.0%)
7.5%
(41.0%)
(31.0%)
(31.0%)
(21.0%)
(11.0%)
7.7%
(41.0%)
(41.0%)
(31.0%)
(21.0%)
(11.0%)
8.5%
(61.0%)
(51.0%)
(51.0%)
(41.0%)
(41.0%)
9.0%
(61.0%)
(61.0%)
(51.0%)
(51.0%)
(51.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for AMCR
Margin of safety
Peter Lynch charts
Ben Graham Fair Value
Earnings Power Value
Relative Value
Earnings growth model
Discount rate
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Intrinsic Value
Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Amcor plc DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Amcor plc's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $6.9. This suggests it may be overvalued by (32.2%) compared to its current price of around $10.1, using a WACC of 7.7% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Amcor plc WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Amcor plc's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.7%.
What is Amcor plc Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Amcor plc's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $16.6B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.