ASTE
Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE)
Last Price$36.42.1%
Market Cap$822.9M
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
9.3%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

ASTE DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
1,024.4
(12.4%)
1,097.2
7.1%
1,274.5
16.2%
1,338.2
5.0%
1,305.1
(2.5%)
1,357.1
4.0%
1,415.3
4.3%
1,472.4
4.0%
1,528.1
3.8%
1,581.9
3.5%
1,633.7
3.3%
1,683.0
3.0%
1,729.5
2.8%
1,772.9
2.5%
1,812.8
2.3%
1,849.1
2.0%
43.0
4.2%
22.1
2.0%
15.9
1.2%
48.6
3.6%
23.2
1.8%
45.5
3.4%
47.5
3.4%
49.4
3.4%
51.2
3.4%
53.0
3.4%
54.8
3.4%
56.4
3.4%
58.0
3.4%
59.4
3.4%
60.8
3.4%
62.0
3.4%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
44.1
4.3%
24.0
2.2%
(2.2)
(0.2%)
38.3
2.9%
6.8
0.5%
13.4
1.0%
14.0
1.0%
14.6
1.0%
15.1
1.0%
15.6
1.0%
16.2
1.0%
16.6
1.0%
17.1
1.0%
17.5
1.0%
17.9
1.0%
18.3
1.0%
% of revenue
26.9
2.6%
30.2
2.8%
27.9
2.2%
25.6
1.9%
26.8
2.1%
27.8
2.1%
29.0
2.1%
30.2
2.1%
31.4
2.1%
32.5
2.1%
33.5
2.1%
34.5
2.1%
35.5
2.1%
36.4
2.1%
37.2
2.1%
37.9
2.1%
% of revenue
(15.4)
(1.5%)
(20.1)
(1.8%)
(40.7)
(3.2%)
(34.1)
(2.5%)
(20.5)
(1.6%)
(33.1)
(2.4%)
(34.5)
(2.4%)
(35.9)
(2.4%)
(37.2)
(2.4%)
(38.6)
(2.4%)
(39.8)
(2.4%)
(41.0)
(2.4%)
(42.2)
(2.4%)
(43.2)
(2.4%)
(44.2)
(2.4%)
(45.1)
(2.4%)
47.7
4.7%
(55.4)
(5.0%)
(106.3)
(8.3%)
(44.6)
(3.3%)
0.0
0.0%
(52.8)
(3.9%)
(55.1)
(3.9%)
(57.3)
(3.9%)
(59.5)
(3.9%)
(61.6)
(3.9%)
(63.6)
(3.9%)
(65.5)
(3.9%)
(67.3)
(3.9%)
(69.0)
(3.9%)
(70.5)
(3.9%)
(71.9)
(3.9%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
103.3
10.1%
(21.3)
(1.9%)
(121.3)
(9.5%)
(14.8)
(1.1%)
13.1
1.0%
(44.6)
(3.3%)
(46.5)
(3.3%)
(48.4)
(3.3%)
(50.2)
(3.3%)
(52.0)
(3.3%)
(53.7)
(3.3%)
(55.3)
(3.3%)
(56.9)
(3.3%)
(58.3)
(3.3%)
(59.6)
(3.3%)
(60.8)
(3.3%)
% of FCFF used in calculation
80.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.87
0.80
0.73
0.67
0.61
0.56
0.51
0.47
0.43
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)

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ASTE DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
118.3M
Shares outstanding
22.6M
FX rate
N/A
100% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

ASTE DCF Financials

Revenue
$1,305.1M -> $1,812.8M 3.3% CAGR
Operating Income
$23.2M -> $60.8M 10.1% CAGR
FCFF
$13.1M -> ($59.6M) N/A CAGR

ASTE DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.3%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.3%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)

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FAQ

What is Astec Industries, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Astec Industries, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $36.4, using a WACC of 9.3% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Astec Industries, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Astec Industries, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.3%.

What is Astec Industries, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Astec Industries, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.