BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL)
Last Price$235.41.2%
Market Cap$14.9B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
9.0%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

BURL DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Jan'21 ActualJan'22 ActualJan'23 ActualFeb'24 ActualFeb'25 ActualFeb'26 EstimateFeb'27 EstimateFeb'28 EstimateFeb'29 EstimateFeb'30 EstimateFeb'31 EstimateFeb'32 EstimateFeb'33 EstimateFeb'34 EstimateFeb'35 EstimateFeb'36 Terminal
% growth
5,764.0
(20.9%)
9,322.3
61.7%
8,702.6
(6.6%)
9,718.2
11.7%
10,634.8
9.4%
11,493.7
8.1%
12,613.9
9.7%
13,977.9
10.8%
15,309.9
9.5%
16,087.5
5.1%
16,835.4
4.6%
17,545.8
4.2%
18,210.6
3.8%
18,822.5
3.4%
19,373.9
2.9%
19,858.3
2.5%
(333.6)
(5.8%)
776.6
8.3%
410.0
4.7%
548.0
5.6%
674.8
6.3%
436.7
3.8%
479.3
3.8%
531.1
3.8%
581.8
3.8%
611.3
3.8%
639.7
3.8%
666.7
3.8%
692.0
3.8%
715.2
3.8%
736.2
3.8%
754.6
3.8%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
(165.1)
(2.9%)
582.2
6.2%
306.9
3.5%
399.6
4.1%
503.6
4.7%
326.0
2.8%
357.7
2.8%
396.4
2.8%
434.2
2.8%
456.2
2.8%
477.4
2.8%
497.6
2.8%
516.4
2.8%
533.8
2.8%
549.4
2.8%
563.2
2.8%
% of revenue
218.9
3.8%
238.9
2.6%
269.9
3.1%
307.1
3.2%
347.6
3.3%
365.1
3.2%
400.7
3.2%
444.0
3.2%
486.3
3.2%
511.0
3.2%
534.8
3.2%
557.3
3.2%
578.4
3.2%
597.9
3.2%
615.4
3.2%
630.8
3.2%
% of revenue
(273.3)
(4.7%)
(353.0)
(3.8%)
(451.1)
(5.2%)
(517.3)
(5.3%)
0.0
0.0%
(402.5)
(3.5%)
(441.8)
(3.5%)
(489.5)
(3.5%)
(536.2)
(3.5%)
(563.4)
(3.5%)
(589.6)
(3.5%)
(614.5)
(3.5%)
(637.8)
(3.5%)
(659.2)
(3.5%)
(678.5)
(3.5%)
(695.5)
(3.5%)
94.9
1.6%
(147.5)
(1.6%)
(9.7)
(0.1%)
61.8
0.6%
0.0
0.0%
20.1
0.2%
22.0
0.2%
24.4
0.2%
26.8
0.2%
28.1
0.2%
29.4
0.2%
30.7
0.2%
31.8
0.2%
32.9
0.2%
33.9
0.2%
34.7
0.2%
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
(124.6)
(2.2%)
320.6
3.4%
116.0
1.3%
251.2
2.6%
851.2
8.0%
308.6
2.7%
338.7
2.7%
375.3
2.7%
411.1
2.7%
431.9
2.7%
452.0
2.7%
471.1
2.7%
488.9
2.7%
505.4
2.7%
520.2
2.7%
533.2
2.7%
% of FCFF used in calculation
89.6%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.88
0.81
0.74
0.68
0.62
0.57
0.53
0.48
0.44
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
264.8
297.7
302.8
304.3
293.4
281.8
269.5
256.7
243.5
230.0

Best stock ideas on the market right now

With Value Sense, you can find undervalued stocks list with intrinsic value. Discover more stock market investment ideas.

BURL DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
2,744.6M
43.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
8,239.9M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
3,643.2M
57.0%
Total Debt
N/A
Shares outstanding
63.4M
FX rate
N/A
100% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

BURL DCF Financials

Revenue
$10.6B -> $19.4B 6.2% CAGR
Operating Income
$674.8M -> $736.2M 0.9% CAGR
FCFF
$851.2M -> $520.2M (4.8%) CAGR

BURL DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
8.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
8.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)

Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for BURL

FAQ

What is Burlington Stores, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Burlington Stores, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $235.4, using a WACC of 9.0% and growth rates of 2.5%.

What is Burlington Stores, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Burlington Stores, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.0%.

What is Burlington Stores, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Burlington Stores, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $6,387.8M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.