CENX
Century Aluminum Company (CENX)
Last Price$18.19.1%
Market Cap$1,682.4M
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
9.1%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

CENX DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
1,605.1
(12.6%)
2,212.5
37.8%
2,777.3
25.5%
2,185.4
(21.3%)
2,220.3
1.6%
2,313.4
4.2%
2,515.0
8.7%
2,834.4
12.7%
3,156.5
11.4%
3,472.9
10.0%
3,774.6
8.7%
4,052.1
7.4%
4,295.7
6.0%
4,496.5
4.7%
4,646.6
3.3%
4,739.5
2.0%
(76.2)
(4.7%)
66.0
3.0%
25.0
0.9%
31.8
1.5%
121.4
5.5%
(41.8)
(1.8%)
(45.4)
(1.8%)
(51.2)
(1.8%)
(57.0)
(1.8%)
(62.7)
(1.8%)
(68.1)
(1.8%)
(73.2)
(1.8%)
(77.6)
(1.8%)
(81.2)
(1.8%)
(83.9)
(1.8%)
(85.6)
(1.8%)
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
(74.3)
(4.6%)
55.8
2.5%
(10.5)
(0.4%)
24.8
1.1%
120.2
5.4%
(41.4)
(1.8%)
(45.0)
(1.8%)
(50.7)
(1.8%)
(56.4)
(1.8%)
(62.1)
(1.8%)
(67.5)
(1.8%)
(72.4)
(1.8%)
(76.8)
(1.8%)
(80.4)
(1.8%)
(83.1)
(1.8%)
(84.7)
(1.8%)
% of revenue
83.0
5.2%
82.6
3.7%
73.4
2.6%
74.7
3.4%
81.8
3.7%
75.1
3.2%
81.7
3.2%
92.1
3.2%
102.5
3.2%
112.8
3.2%
122.6
3.2%
131.6
3.2%
139.5
3.2%
146.1
3.2%
150.9
3.2%
154.0
3.2%
% of revenue
(13.4)
(0.8%)
(83.0)
(3.8%)
(86.3)
(3.1%)
(95.0)
(4.3%)
(82.3)
(3.7%)
(86.1)
(3.7%)
(93.6)
(3.7%)
(105.4)
(3.7%)
(117.4)
(3.7%)
(129.2)
(3.7%)
(140.4)
(3.7%)
(150.8)
(3.7%)
(159.8)
(3.7%)
(167.3)
(3.7%)
(172.9)
(3.7%)
(176.3)
(3.7%)
24.4
1.5%
(73.5)
(3.3%)
(39.0)
(1.4%)
0.0
0.0%
0.0
0.0%
(10.8)
(0.5%)
(11.8)
(0.5%)
(13.3)
(0.5%)
(14.8)
(0.5%)
(16.3)
(0.5%)
(17.7)
(0.5%)
(19.0)
(0.5%)
(20.1)
(0.5%)
(21.0)
(0.5%)
(21.7)
(0.5%)
(22.2)
(0.5%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
19.7
1.2%
(18.1)
(0.8%)
(62.4)
(2.2%)
4.5
0.2%
119.7
5.4%
(63.1)
(2.7%)
(68.6)
(2.7%)
(77.3)
(2.7%)
(86.1)
(2.7%)
(94.7)
(2.7%)
(103.0)
(2.7%)
(110.5)
(2.7%)
(117.2)
(2.7%)
(122.6)
(2.7%)
(126.7)
(2.7%)
(129.3)
(2.7%)
% of FCFF used in calculation
80.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.88
0.80
0.74
0.68
0.62
0.57
0.52
0.48
0.44
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)

Best stock ideas on the market right now

With Value Sense, you can find undervalued stocks list with intrinsic value. Discover more stock market investment ideas.

CENX DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
518.2M
Shares outstanding
92.9M
FX rate
N/A
100% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

CENX DCF Financials

Revenue
$2,220.3M -> $4,646.6M 7.7% CAGR
Operating Income
$121.4M -> ($83.9M) N/A CAGR
FCFF
$119.7M -> ($126.7M) N/A CAGR

CENX DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.1%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.1%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)

Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for CENX

FAQ

What is Century Aluminum Company DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Century Aluminum Company's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $18.1, using a WACC of 9.1% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Century Aluminum Company WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Century Aluminum Company's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.1%.

What is Century Aluminum Company Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Century Aluminum Company's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.