CIEN DCF Model
| Oct'20 Actual | Oct'21 Actual | Oct'22 Actual | Oct'23 Actual | Nov'24 Actual | Nov'25 Estimate | Nov'26 Estimate | Nov'27 Estimate | Nov'28 Estimate | Nov'29 Estimate | Nov'30 Estimate | Nov'31 Estimate | Nov'32 Estimate | Nov'33 Estimate | Nov'34 Estimate | Nov'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 3,532.2 (1.1%) | 3,620.7 2.5% | 3,632.7 0.3% | 4,386.5 20.8% | 4,015.0 (8.5%) | 4,408.5 9.8% | 4,810.3 9.1% | 5,214.2 8.4% | 5,623.3 7.8% | 6,033.5 7.3% | 6,440.6 6.7% | 6,839.8 6.2% | 7,226.1 5.6% | 7,594.5 5.1% | 7,940.0 4.5% | 8,257.6 4.0% |
% margin | 487.0 13.8% | 495.4 13.7% | 222.8 6.1% | 357.5 8.2% | 166.6 4.1% | 434.0 9.8% | 473.6 9.8% | 513.4 9.8% | 553.6 9.8% | 594.0 9.8% | 634.1 9.8% | 673.4 9.8% | 711.4 9.8% | 747.7 9.8% | 781.7 9.8% | 813.0 9.8% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 385.9 10.9% | 535.4 14.8% | 186.7 5.1% | 281.5 6.4% | 116.7 2.9% | 304.0 6.9% | 331.8 6.9% | 359.6 6.9% | 387.8 6.9% | 416.1 6.9% | 444.2 6.9% | 471.7 6.9% | 498.4 6.9% | 523.8 6.9% | 547.6 6.9% | 569.5 6.9% |
% of revenue | 132.5 3.8% | 132.3 3.7% | 140.2 3.9% | 142.2 3.2% | 133.5 3.3% | 153.2 3.5% | 167.2 3.5% | 181.2 3.5% | 195.4 3.5% | 209.7 3.5% | 223.8 3.5% | 237.7 3.5% | 251.1 3.5% | 263.9 3.5% | 275.9 3.5% | 287.0 3.5% |
% of revenue | (82.7) (2.3%) | (79.6) (2.2%) | (90.8) (2.5%) | (106.2) (2.4%) | 0.0 0.0% | (72.3) (1.6%) | (78.9) (1.6%) | (85.5) (1.6%) | (92.2) (1.6%) | (99.0) (1.6%) | (105.6) (1.6%) | (112.2) (1.6%) | (118.5) (1.6%) | (124.6) (1.6%) | (130.2) (1.6%) | (135.5) (1.6%) |
% of revenue | (199.9) (5.7%) | (68.2) (1.9%) | (572.1) (15.7%) | (396.8) (9.0%) | 102.8 2.6% | (326.7) (7.4%) | (356.5) (7.4%) | (386.4) (7.4%) | (416.8) (7.4%) | (447.2) (7.4%) | (477.3) (7.4%) | (506.9) (7.4%) | (535.6) (7.4%) | (562.9) (7.4%) | (588.5) (7.4%) | (612.0) (7.4%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 235.9 6.7% | 520.0 14.4% | (336.1) (9.3%) | (79.3) (1.8%) | 352.9 8.8% | 58.2 1.3% | 63.5 1.3% | 68.8 1.3% | 74.2 1.3% | 79.6 1.3% | 85.0 1.3% | 90.3 1.3% | 95.4 1.3% | 100.2 1.3% | 104.8 1.3% | 109.0 1.3% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 66.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.90 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.50 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 37.5 | 56.9 | 57.4 | 57.5 | 57.4 | 57.0 | 56.3 | 55.3 | 54.0 | 52.5 |
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FAQ
What is Ciena Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Ciena Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $18.7. This suggests it may be overvalued by (75.0%) compared to its current price of around $74.7, using a WACC of 7.5% and growth rates of 4.0%.
What is Ciena Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Ciena Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.5%.
What is Ciena Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Ciena Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,806.0M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.