CVCO DCF Model
| Mar'20 Actual | Apr'21 Actual | Apr'22 Actual | Apr'23 Actual | Mar'24 Actual | Mar'25 Estimate | Mar'26 Estimate | Mar'27 Estimate | Mar'28 Estimate | Mar'29 Estimate | Mar'30 Estimate | Mar'31 Estimate | Mar'32 Estimate | Mar'33 Estimate | Mar'34 Estimate | Mar'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 1,061.8 10.3% | 1,108.1 4.4% | 1,627.2 46.8% | 2,142.7 31.7% | 1,794.8 (16.2%) | 1,951.3 8.7% | 2,092.5 7.2% | 2,232.8 6.7% | 2,370.8 6.2% | 2,504.9 5.7% | 2,633.4 5.1% | 2,754.6 4.6% | 2,866.9 4.1% | 2,968.7 3.6% | 3,058.6 3.0% | 3,135.0 2.5% |
% margin | 84.9 8.0% | 88.8 8.0% | 202.5 12.4% | 184.8 8.6% | 179.0 10.0% | 202.9 10.4% | 217.6 10.4% | 232.2 10.4% | 246.6 10.4% | 260.5 10.4% | 273.9 10.4% | 286.5 10.4% | 298.2 10.4% | 308.7 10.4% | 318.1 10.4% | 326.0 10.4% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 68.5 6.5% | 70.3 6.3% | 188.9 11.6% | 145.1 6.8% | 141.9 7.9% | 160.9 8.2% | 172.5 8.2% | 184.1 8.2% | 195.5 8.2% | 206.5 8.2% | 217.1 8.2% | 227.1 8.2% | 236.4 8.2% | 244.8 8.2% | 252.2 8.2% | 258.5 8.2% |
% of revenue | 5.8 0.5% | 6.3 0.6% | 11.0 0.7% | 16.9 0.8% | 18.5 1.0% | 16.2 0.8% | 17.4 0.8% | 18.6 0.8% | 19.7 0.8% | 20.9 0.8% | 21.9 0.8% | 22.9 0.8% | 23.9 0.8% | 24.7 0.8% | 25.5 0.8% | 26.1 0.8% |
% of revenue | (14.3) (1.4%) | (25.5) (2.3%) | (18.7) (1.1%) | (44.1) (2.1%) | (17.4) (1.0%) | (27.2) (1.4%) | (29.1) (1.4%) | (31.1) (1.4%) | (33.0) (1.4%) | (34.9) (1.4%) | (36.7) (1.4%) | (38.3) (1.4%) | (39.9) (1.4%) | (41.3) (1.4%) | (42.6) (1.4%) | (43.6) (1.4%) |
% of revenue | 18.0 1.7% | 33.1 3.0% | (84.7) (5.2%) | (18.2) (0.8%) | 0.0 0.0% | (39.4) (2.0%) | (42.2) (2.0%) | (45.1) (2.0%) | (47.9) (2.0%) | (50.6) (2.0%) | (53.2) (2.0%) | (55.6) (2.0%) | (57.9) (2.0%) | (59.9) (2.0%) | (61.7) (2.0%) | (63.3) (2.0%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 78.0 7.3% | 84.2 7.6% | 96.5 5.9% | 99.7 4.7% | 143.0 8.0% | 110.6 5.7% | 118.6 5.7% | 126.5 5.7% | 134.4 5.7% | 141.9 5.7% | 149.2 5.7% | 156.1 5.7% | 162.5 5.7% | 168.2 5.7% | 173.3 5.7% | 177.7 5.7% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 7.4% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.87 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 0.66 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.41 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 7.8 | 103.0 | 100.1 | 96.8 | 93.1 | 89.1 | 84.9 | 80.5 | 75.9 | 71.2 |
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FAQ
What is Cavco Industries, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Cavco Industries, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $259.7. This suggests it may be overvalued by (49.9%) compared to its current price of around $518.4, using a WACC of 9.8% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Cavco Industries, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Cavco Industries, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.8%.
What is Cavco Industries, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Cavco Industries, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,799.4M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.