EXPO DCF Model
| Jan'21 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Jan'25 Actual | Jan'26 Estimate | Jan'27 Estimate | Jan'28 Estimate | Jan'29 Estimate | Jan'30 Estimate | Jan'31 Estimate | Jan'32 Estimate | Jan'33 Estimate | Jan'34 Estimate | Jan'35 Estimate | Jan'36 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 399.9 (4.1%) | 466.3 16.6% | 513.3 10.1% | 536.8 4.6% | 558.5 4.1% | 532.6 (4.6%) | 573.6 7.7% | 609.6 6.3% | 644.5 5.7% | 678.1 5.2% | 709.7 4.7% | 739.1 4.1% | 765.7 3.6% | 789.2 3.1% | 809.2 2.5% | 825.4 2.0% |
% margin | 83.2 20.8% | 108.9 23.4% | 140.8 27.4% | 111.3 20.7% | 119.6 21.4% | 98.4 18.5% | 105.9 18.5% | 112.6 18.5% | 119.1 18.5% | 125.3 18.5% | 131.1 18.5% | 136.5 18.5% | 141.4 18.5% | 145.8 18.5% | 149.5 18.5% | 152.5 18.5% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 70.9 17.7% | 87.6 18.8% | 109.0 21.2% | 82.2 15.3% | 88.4 15.8% | 72.8 13.7% | 78.4 13.7% | 83.3 13.7% | 88.1 13.7% | 92.6 13.7% | 97.0 13.7% | 101.0 13.7% | 104.6 13.7% | 107.8 13.7% | 110.6 13.7% | 112.8 13.7% |
% of revenue | 6.9 1.7% | 6.5 1.4% | 7.1 1.4% | 8.9 1.7% | 9.7 1.7% | 8.5 1.6% | 9.1 1.6% | 9.7 1.6% | 10.3 1.6% | 10.8 1.6% | 11.3 1.6% | 11.8 1.6% | 12.2 1.6% | 12.6 1.6% | 12.9 1.6% | 13.1 1.6% |
% of revenue | (5.0) (1.2%) | (6.8) (1.5%) | (12.0) (2.3%) | (16.4) (3.0%) | (6.9) (1.2%) | (11.8) (2.2%) | (12.7) (2.2%) | (13.5) (2.2%) | (14.3) (2.2%) | (15.0) (2.2%) | (15.7) (2.2%) | (16.3) (2.2%) | (16.9) (2.2%) | (17.5) (2.2%) | (17.9) (2.2%) | (18.3) (2.2%) |
% of revenue | (1.4) (0.4%) | 1.7 0.4% | (31.7) (6.2%) | (5.6) (1.0%) | 1.5 0.3% | (12.3) (2.3%) | (13.3) (2.3%) | (14.1) (2.3%) | (14.9) (2.3%) | (15.7) (2.3%) | (16.4) (2.3%) | (17.1) (2.3%) | (17.7) (2.3%) | (18.3) (2.3%) | (18.7) (2.3%) | (19.1) (2.3%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 71.3 17.8% | 88.9 19.1% | 72.3 14.1% | 69.2 12.9% | 92.6 16.6% | 57.1 10.7% | 61.5 10.7% | 65.4 10.7% | 69.1 10.7% | 72.7 10.7% | 76.1 10.7% | 79.3 10.7% | 82.1 10.7% | 84.7 10.7% | 86.8 10.7% | 88.5 10.7% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 81.6% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.49 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 44.9 | 55.0 | 54.3 | 53.3 | 52.1 | 50.6 | 49.0 | 47.1 | 45.1 | 42.9 |
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EXPO DCF Value
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FAQ
What is Exponent, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Exponent, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $28.3. This suggests it may be overvalued by (66.0%) compared to its current price of around $83.1, using a WACC of 7.7% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Exponent, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Exponent, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.7%.
What is Exponent, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Exponent, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,263.7M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.