FIZZ
National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ)
Last Price$40.41.5%
Market Cap$3,772.6M
DCF value
$27.3
Overvalued (DCF value)
(32.4%)
Discount Rate
7.7%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Good

FIZZ DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
May'20 ActualMay'21 ActualApr'22 ActualApr'23 ActualApr'24 ActualApr'25 EstimateApr'26 EstimateApr'27 EstimateApr'28 EstimateApr'29 EstimateApr'30 EstimateApr'31 EstimateApr'32 EstimateApr'33 EstimateApr'34 EstimateApr'35 Terminal
% growth
1,000.4
(1.4%)
1,072.2
7.2%
1,138.0
6.1%
1,172.9
3.1%
1,191.7
1.6%
1,207.6
1.3%
1,236.1
2.4%
1,260.9
2.0%
1,286.1
2.0%
1,311.8
2.0%
1,338.0
2.0%
1,364.8
2.0%
1,392.1
2.0%
1,419.9
2.0%
1,448.3
2.0%
1,477.3
2.0%
165.7
16.6%
227.8
21.2%
207.9
18.3%
186.7
15.9%
218.5
18.3%
211.4
17.5%
216.4
17.5%
220.7
17.5%
225.2
17.5%
229.7
17.5%
234.3
17.5%
238.9
17.5%
243.7
17.5%
248.6
17.5%
253.6
17.5%
258.6
17.5%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
127.1
12.7%
173.9
16.2%
158.7
13.9%
142.3
12.1%
168.0
14.1%
162.6
13.5%
166.4
13.5%
169.7
13.5%
173.1
13.5%
176.6
13.5%
180.1
13.5%
183.7
13.5%
187.4
13.5%
191.1
13.5%
195.0
13.5%
198.9
13.5%
% of revenue
30.6
3.1%
31.2
2.9%
31.8
2.8%
33.3
2.8%
20.2
1.7%
29.5
2.4%
30.2
2.4%
30.8
2.4%
31.4
2.4%
32.0
2.4%
32.7
2.4%
33.3
2.4%
34.0
2.4%
34.7
2.4%
35.4
2.4%
36.1
2.4%
% of revenue
(23.9)
(2.4%)
(25.3)
(2.4%)
(29.0)
(2.5%)
(22.0)
(1.9%)
(30.3)
(2.5%)
(28.0)
(2.3%)
(28.7)
(2.3%)
(29.3)
(2.3%)
(29.9)
(2.3%)
(30.5)
(2.3%)
(31.1)
(2.3%)
(31.7)
(2.3%)
(32.3)
(2.3%)
(33.0)
(2.3%)
(33.6)
(2.3%)
(34.3)
(2.3%)
16.8
1.7%
(12.0)
(1.1%)
(63.2)
(5.6%)
(13.8)
(1.2%)
(14.8)
(1.2%)
(32.1)
(2.7%)
(32.8)
(2.7%)
(33.5)
(2.7%)
(34.2)
(2.7%)
(34.9)
(2.7%)
(35.6)
(2.7%)
(36.3)
(2.7%)
(37.0)
(2.7%)
(37.7)
(2.7%)
(38.5)
(2.7%)
(39.3)
(2.7%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
150.6
15.1%
167.8
15.6%
98.3
8.6%
139.9
11.9%
143.1
12.0%
131.9
10.9%
135.0
10.9%
137.7
10.9%
140.5
10.9%
143.3
10.9%
146.2
10.9%
149.1
10.9%
152.1
10.9%
155.1
10.9%
158.2
10.9%
161.4
10.9%
% of FCFF used in calculation
15.1%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.89
0.83
0.77
0.72
0.66
0.62
0.57
0.53
0.49
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
19.2
120.8
114.3
108.3
102.5
97.1
91.9
87.0
82.4
78.0

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FIZZ DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
901.4M
39.4%
Terminal Value (TV)
2,817.6M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
1,389.3M
60.6%
Total Debt
67.8M
2,549.9M
Shares outstanding
93.4M
FX rate
1.0
32.4% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

FIZZ DCF Financials

Revenue
$1,191.7M -> $1,448.3M 2.0% CAGR
Operating Income
$218.5M -> $253.6M 1.5% CAGR
FCFF
$143.1M -> $158.2M 1.0% CAGR

FIZZ DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
$28.0
$29.0
$31.0
$33.0
$35.0
7.5%
$26.0
$27.0
$28.0
$30.0
$32.0
7.7%
$25.0
$26.0
$27.0
$29.0
$30.0
8.5%
$23.0
$23.0
$24.0
$25.0
$27.0
9.0%
$21.0
$22.0
$23.0
$24.0
$25.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
(31.0%)
(28.0%)
(23.0%)
(18.0%)
(13.0%)
7.5%
(36.0%)
(33.0%)
(31.0%)
(26.0%)
(21.0%)
7.7%
(38.0%)
(36.0%)
(33.0%)
(28.0%)
(26.0%)
8.5%
(43.0%)
(43.0%)
(41.0%)
(38.0%)
(33.0%)
9.0%
(48.0%)
(46.0%)
(43.0%)
(41.0%)
(38.0%)

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FAQ

What is National Beverage Corp. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, National Beverage Corp.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $27.3. This suggests it may be overvalued by (32.4%) compared to its current price of around $40.4, using a WACC of 7.7% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is National Beverage Corp. WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, National Beverage Corp.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.7%.

What is National Beverage Corp. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, National Beverage Corp.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $2,290.7M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.