Last Price$84.2(5.1%)
Market Cap$13.9B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
7.9%
Long-Term Growth Rate
3.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
ILMN DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Jan'21 Actual | Jan'22 Actual | Jan'23 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 3,239.0 (8.6%) | 4,526.0 39.7% | 4,584.0 1.3% | 4,504.0 (1.7%) | 4,372.0 (2.9%) | 4,332.0 (0.9%) | 4,461.1 3.0% | 4,725.6 5.9% | 5,011.2 6.0% | 5,292.7 5.6% | 5,566.8 5.2% | 5,830.9 4.7% | 6,082.1 4.3% | 6,317.6 3.9% | 6,534.7 3.4% | 6,730.7 3.0% |
% margin | 580.0 17.9% | (123.0) (2.7%) | (4,179.0) (91.2%) | (1,069.0) (23.7%) | (833.0) (19.1%) | (523.7) (12.1%) | (539.3) (12.1%) | (571.3) (12.1%) | (605.8) (12.1%) | (639.8) (12.1%) | (673.0) (12.1%) | (704.9) (12.1%) | (735.3) (12.1%) | (763.8) (12.1%) | (790.0) (12.1%) | (813.7) (12.1%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 444.5 13.7% | (106.0) (2.3%) | (4,244.5) (92.6%) | (1,111.1) (24.7%) | (864.1) (19.8%) | (543.3) (12.5%) | (559.4) (12.5%) | (592.6) (12.5%) | (628.4) (12.5%) | (663.7) (12.5%) | (698.1) (12.5%) | (731.2) (12.5%) | (762.7) (12.5%) | (792.3) (12.5%) | (819.5) (12.5%) | (844.1) (12.5%) |
% of revenue | 187.0 5.8% | 251.0 5.5% | 394.0 8.6% | 432.0 9.6% | 354.0 8.1% | 379.5 8.8% | 390.8 8.8% | 414.0 8.8% | 439.0 8.8% | 463.7 8.8% | 487.7 8.8% | 510.9 8.8% | 532.9 8.8% | 553.5 8.8% | 572.5 8.8% | 589.7 8.8% |
% of revenue | (189.0) (5.8%) | (208.0) (4.6%) | (466.0) (10.2%) | (195.0) (4.3%) | (128.0) (2.9%) | (251.6) (5.8%) | (259.1) (5.8%) | (274.4) (5.8%) | (291.0) (5.8%) | (307.4) (5.8%) | (323.3) (5.8%) | (338.6) (5.8%) | (353.2) (5.8%) | (366.9) (5.8%) | (379.5) (5.8%) | (390.9) (5.8%) |
% of revenue | 73.0 2.3% | (152.0) (3.4%) | 204.0 4.5% | (90.0) (2.0%) | (483.0) (11.0%) | (124.1) (2.9%) | (127.8) (2.9%) | (135.4) (2.9%) | (143.6) (2.9%) | (151.6) (2.9%) | (159.5) (2.9%) | (167.1) (2.9%) | (174.3) (2.9%) | (181.0) (2.9%) | (187.2) (2.9%) | (192.8) (2.9%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 515.5 15.9% | (215.0) (4.8%) | (4,112.5) (89.7%) | (964.1) (21.4%) | (1,121.1) (25.6%) | (539.4) (12.5%) | (555.5) (12.5%) | (588.4) (12.5%) | (624.0) (12.5%) | (659.0) (12.5%) | (693.2) (12.5%) | (726.1) (12.5%) | (757.4) (12.5%) | (786.7) (12.5%) | (813.7) (12.5%) | (838.1) (12.5%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.52 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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ILMN DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
1,220.0M
Total Debt
2,543.0M
N/A
Shares outstanding
164.7M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
ILMN DCF Financials
Revenue
$4,372.0M -> $6,534.7M
4.1% CAGR
Operating Income
($833.0M) -> ($790.0M)
(0.5%) CAGR
FCFF
($1,121.1M) -> ($813.7M)
(3.2%) CAGR
ILMN DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
7.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.9%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
7.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.9%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
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FAQ
What is Illumina, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Illumina, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $84.2, using a WACC of 7.9% and growth rates of 3.0%.
What is Illumina, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Illumina, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.9%.
What is Illumina, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Illumina, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.