Last Price$491.1(1.4%)
Market Cap$38.6B
DCF value
$311.7
Overvalued (DCF value)
(36.5%)
Discount Rate
9.8%
Long-Term Growth Rate
4.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Great
IT DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 4,099.4 (3.4%) | 4,733.9 15.5% | 5,475.8 15.7% | 5,907.0 7.9% | 6,267.4 6.1% | 6,708.0 7.0% | 7,323.2 9.2% | 7,752.0 5.9% | 8,187.9 5.6% | 8,629.3 5.4% | 9,074.5 5.2% | 9,521.7 4.9% | 9,968.8 4.7% | 10,413.7 4.5% | 10,854.4 4.2% | 11,288.6 4.0% |
% margin | 490.1 12.0% | 915.7 19.3% | 1,100.1 20.1% | 1,236.9 20.9% | 1,156.3 18.4% | 1,128.4 16.8% | 1,231.9 16.8% | 1,304.0 16.8% | 1,377.3 16.8% | 1,451.6 16.8% | 1,526.5 16.8% | 1,601.7 16.8% | 1,676.9 16.8% | 1,751.7 16.8% | 1,825.9 16.8% | 1,898.9 16.8% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 400.9 9.8% | 749.3 15.8% | 865.1 15.8% | 951.5 16.1% | 1,044.9 16.7% | 1,019.7 15.2% | 1,113.2 15.2% | 1,178.4 15.2% | 1,244.6 15.2% | 1,311.7 15.2% | 1,379.4 15.2% | 1,447.4 15.2% | 1,515.3 15.2% | 1,583.0 15.2% | 1,650.0 15.2% | 1,716.0 15.2% |
% of revenue | 300.8 7.3% | 287.5 6.1% | 262.0 4.8% | 191.1 3.2% | 202.3 3.2% | 251.5 3.7% | 274.6 3.7% | 290.7 3.7% | 307.0 3.7% | 323.6 3.7% | 340.2 3.7% | 357.0 3.7% | 373.8 3.7% | 390.5 3.7% | 407.0 3.7% | 423.3 3.7% |
% of revenue | (83.9) (2.0%) | (59.8) (1.3%) | (108.1) (2.0%) | (103.1) (1.7%) | (101.7) (1.6%) | (119.5) (1.8%) | (130.4) (1.8%) | (138.0) (1.8%) | (145.8) (1.8%) | (153.7) (1.8%) | (161.6) (1.8%) | (169.6) (1.8%) | (177.5) (1.8%) | (185.4) (1.8%) | (193.3) (1.8%) | (201.0) (1.8%) |
% of revenue | 264.9 6.5% | 140.9 3.0% | (34.5) (0.6%) | 0.0 0.0% | 0.0 0.0% | (14.1) (0.2%) | (15.4) (0.2%) | (16.3) (0.2%) | (17.2) (0.2%) | (18.1) (0.2%) | (19.1) (0.2%) | (20.0) (0.2%) | (20.9) (0.2%) | (21.9) (0.2%) | (22.8) (0.2%) | (23.7) (0.2%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 882.8 21.5% | 1,117.9 23.6% | 984.6 18.0% | 1,039.5 17.6% | 1,145.5 18.3% | 1,137.6 17.0% | 1,242.0 17.0% | 1,314.7 17.0% | 1,388.6 17.0% | 1,463.5 17.0% | 1,539.0 17.0% | 1,614.8 17.0% | 1,690.6 17.0% | 1,766.1 17.0% | 1,840.9 17.0% | 1,914.5 17.0% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.87 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 0.66 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.41 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 901.4 | 1,080.0 | 1,041.6 | 1,002.3 | 962.4 | 922.1 | 881.5 | 840.8 | 800.2 | 759.9 |
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IT DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
9,192.4M
40.1%
Terminal Value (TV)
33.2B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
13.7B
59.9%
1,933.1M
Total Debt
339.8M
24.5B
Shares outstanding
78.6M
FX rate
1.0
311.7
36.5% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
IT DCF Financials
Revenue
$6,267.4M -> $10.9B
5.6% CAGR
Operating Income
$1,156.3M -> $1,825.9M
4.7% CAGR
FCFF
$1,145.5M -> $1,840.9M
4.9% CAGR
IT DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
9.0%
$320.0
$336.0
$356.0
$380.0
$410.0
9.5%
$297.0
$310.0
$325.0
$344.0
$367.0
9.8%
$286.0
$298.0
$312.0
$328.0
$348.0
10.5%
$259.0
$268.0
$279.0
$291.0
$305.0
11.0%
$244.0
$252.0
$260.0
$270.0
$282.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
9.0%
(35.0%)
(32.0%)
(28.0%)
(23.0%)
(17.0%)
9.5%
(40.0%)
(37.0%)
(34.0%)
(30.0%)
(25.0%)
9.8%
(42.0%)
(39.0%)
(36.0%)
(33.0%)
(29.0%)
10.5%
(47.0%)
(45.0%)
(43.0%)
(41.0%)
(38.0%)
11.0%
(50.0%)
(49.0%)
(47.0%)
(45.0%)
(43.0%)
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Gartner, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Gartner, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $311.7. This suggests it may be overvalued by (36.5%) compared to its current price of around $491.1, using a WACC of 9.8% and growth rates of 4.0%.
What is Gartner, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Gartner, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.8%.
What is Gartner, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Gartner, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $22.9B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.