Last Price$86.9(2.5%)
Market Cap$18.7B
DCF value
$80.9
Overvalued (DCF value)
(7.0%)
Discount Rate
9.4%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
KOF DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 194,471.0 6.7% | 183,615.0 (5.6%) | 194,804.0 6.1% | 226,740.0 16.4% | 245,088.0 8.1% | 277,219.6 13.1% | 299,773.2 8.1% | 323,421.4 7.9% | 357,742.4 10.6% | 390,341.3 9.1% | 421,283.7 7.9% | 449,684.9 6.7% | 474,670.3 5.6% | 495,417.2 4.4% | 511,198.2 3.2% | 521,422.2 2.0% |
% margin | 25,423.0 13.1% | 25,243.0 13.7% | 27,402.0 14.1% | 30,838.0 13.6% | 34,348.0 14.0% | 35,838.6 12.9% | 38,754.3 12.9% | 41,811.6 12.9% | 46,248.5 12.9% | 50,462.9 12.9% | 54,463.1 12.9% | 58,134.8 12.9% | 61,364.8 12.9% | 64,047.0 12.9% | 66,087.1 12.9% | 67,408.9 12.9% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 17,567.2 9.0% | 16,568.7 9.0% | 19,507.5 10.0% | 23,124.1 10.2% | 23,872.5 9.7% | 24,908.5 9.0% | 26,935.0 9.0% | 29,059.8 9.0% | 32,143.6 9.0% | 35,072.7 9.0% | 37,852.9 9.0% | 40,404.8 9.0% | 42,649.8 9.0% | 44,513.9 9.0% | 45,931.8 9.0% | 46,850.5 9.0% |
% of revenue | 10,642.0 5.5% | 10,031.0 5.5% | 9,834.0 5.0% | 10,425.0 4.6% | 10,531.0 4.3% | 12,884.0 4.6% | 13,932.2 4.6% | 15,031.3 4.6% | 16,626.4 4.6% | 18,141.4 4.6% | 19,579.5 4.6% | 20,899.5 4.6% | 22,060.7 4.6% | 23,024.9 4.6% | 23,758.4 4.6% | 24,233.5 4.6% |
% of revenue | (11,745.0) (6.0%) | (9,944.0) (5.4%) | (9,989.0) (5.1%) | (17,735.0) (7.8%) | (20,632.0) (8.4%) | (19,745.1) (7.1%) | (21,351.5) (7.1%) | (23,035.9) (7.1%) | (25,480.4) (7.1%) | (27,802.3) (7.1%) | (30,006.1) (7.1%) | (32,029.0) (7.1%) | (33,808.6) (7.1%) | (35,286.3) (7.1%) | (36,410.4) (7.1%) | (37,138.6) (7.1%) |
% of revenue | 2,397.0 1.2% | 5,181.0 2.8% | 1,637.0 0.8% | (1,076.0) (0.5%) | 2,572.0 1.0% | 1,307.7 0.5% | 1,414.1 0.5% | 1,525.7 0.5% | 1,687.6 0.5% | 1,841.4 0.5% | 1,987.3 0.5% | 2,121.3 0.5% | 2,239.2 0.5% | 2,337.0 0.5% | 2,411.5 0.5% | 2,459.7 0.5% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 18,861.2 9.7% | 21,836.7 11.9% | 20,989.5 10.8% | 14,738.1 6.5% | 16,343.5 6.7% | 19,355.2 7.0% | 20,929.9 7.0% | 22,581.0 7.0% | 24,977.2 7.0% | 27,253.2 7.0% | 29,413.6 7.0% | 31,396.5 7.0% | 33,141.0 7.0% | 34,589.5 7.0% | 35,691.3 7.0% | 36,405.2 7.0% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.46 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 16,607.7 | 19,720.8 | 19,930.3 | 19,869.0 | 19,592.7 | 19,108.1 | 18,428.5 | 17,573.4 | 16,567.7 |
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KOF DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
167.4B
42.5%
Terminal Value (TV)
488.7B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
226.9B
57.5%
394.3B
Total Debt
67.7B
357.6B
Shares outstanding
215.0M
FX rate
0.0
80.9
7% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
KOF DCF Financials
Revenue
MX$245.1B -> MX$511.2B
7.6% CAGR
Operating Income
MX$34.3B -> MX$66.1B
6.8% CAGR
FCFF
MX$16.3B -> MX$35.7B
8.1% CAGR
KOF DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
$93.0
$98.0
$103.0
$110.0
$117.0
8.5%
$86.0
$90.0
$94.0
$100.0
$106.0
9.4%
$75.0
$78.0
$81.0
$85.0
$89.0
9.5%
$74.0
$77.0
$80.0
$84.0
$88.0
10.0%
$69.0
$72.0
$74.0
$78.0
$81.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
7.0%
13.0%
18.0%
27.0%
35.0%
8.5%
(1.0%)
4.0%
8.0%
15.0%
22.0%
9.4%
(14.0%)
(10.0%)
(7.0%)
(2.0%)
2.0%
9.5%
(15.0%)
(11.0%)
(8.0%)
(3.0%)
1.0%
10.0%
(21.0%)
(17.0%)
(15.0%)
(10.0%)
(7.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for KOF
Margin of safety
Peter Lynch charts
Ben Graham Fair Value
Earnings Power Value
Relative Value
Earnings growth model
Discount rate
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Intrinsic Value
Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $80.9. This suggests it may be overvalued by (7.0%) compared to its current price of around $86.9, using a WACC of 9.4% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.4%.
What is Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately MX$394.3B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.