LPX DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 2,788.0 20.7% | 4,553.0 63.3% | 3,854.0 (15.4%) | 2,581.0 (33.0%) | 2,941.0 13.9% | 3,063.1 4.2% | 3,288.1 7.3% | 3,489.9 6.1% | 3,686.0 5.6% | 3,874.1 5.1% | 4,051.7 4.6% | 4,216.5 4.1% | 4,366.2 3.6% | 4,498.7 3.0% | 4,611.9 2.5% | 4,704.2 2.0% |
% margin | 636.0 22.8% | 1,824.0 40.1% | 1,250.0 32.4% | 287.0 11.1% | 530.0 18.0% | 617.5 20.2% | 662.8 20.2% | 703.5 20.2% | 743.0 20.2% | 780.9 20.2% | 816.7 20.2% | 850.0 20.2% | 880.1 20.2% | 906.8 20.2% | 929.7 20.2% | 948.3 20.2% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 508.0 18.2% | 1,391.1 30.6% | 953.5 24.7% | 201.4 7.8% | 394.4 13.4% | 459.4 15.0% | 493.2 15.0% | 523.4 15.0% | 552.9 15.0% | 581.1 15.0% | 607.7 15.0% | 632.4 15.0% | 654.9 15.0% | 674.7 15.0% | 691.7 15.0% | 705.6 15.0% |
% of revenue | 111.0 4.0% | 119.0 2.6% | 132.0 3.4% | 119.0 4.6% | 0.0 0.0% | 82.0 2.7% | 88.1 2.7% | 93.5 2.7% | 98.7 2.7% | 103.8 2.7% | 108.5 2.7% | 112.9 2.7% | 117.0 2.7% | 120.5 2.7% | 123.5 2.7% | 126.0 2.7% |
% of revenue | (77.0) (2.8%) | (254.0) (5.6%) | (414.0) (10.7%) | (300.0) (11.6%) | (183.0) (6.2%) | (291.9) (9.5%) | (313.3) (9.5%) | (332.6) (9.5%) | (351.2) (9.5%) | (369.2) (9.5%) | (386.1) (9.5%) | (401.8) (9.5%) | (416.1) (9.5%) | (428.7) (9.5%) | (439.5) (9.5%) | (448.3) (9.5%) |
% of revenue | 15.0 0.5% | (44.0) (1.0%) | (30.0) (0.8%) | (128.0) (5.0%) | 49.0 1.7% | (41.6) (1.4%) | (44.6) (1.4%) | (47.4) (1.4%) | (50.0) (1.4%) | (52.6) (1.4%) | (55.0) (1.4%) | (57.2) (1.4%) | (59.3) (1.4%) | (61.1) (1.4%) | (62.6) (1.4%) | (63.8) (1.4%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 557.0 20.0% | 1,212.1 26.6% | 641.5 16.6% | (107.6) (4.2%) | 260.4 8.9% | 208.0 6.8% | 223.3 6.8% | 237.0 6.8% | 250.3 6.8% | 263.1 6.8% | 275.1 6.8% | 286.3 6.8% | 296.5 6.8% | 305.5 6.8% | 313.2 6.8% | 319.4 6.8% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.39 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 164.3 | 192.2 | 184.6 | 176.4 | 167.8 | 158.8 | 149.5 | 140.1 | 130.6 | 121.2 |
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FAQ
What is Louisiana-Pacific Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $41.0. This suggests it may be overvalued by (58.1%) compared to its current price of around $98.0, using a WACC of 10.5% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Louisiana-Pacific Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 10.5%.
What is Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $3,037.4M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.