MGPI DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 362.7 (3.5%) | 395.5 9.0% | 626.7 58.5% | 782.4 24.8% | 836.5 6.9% | 699.7 (16.4%) | 593.0 (15.3%) | 605.2 2.1% | 627.9 3.8% | 650.0 3.5% | 671.1 3.3% | 691.3 3.0% | 710.4 2.8% | 728.2 2.5% | 744.5 2.3% | 759.4 2.0% |
% margin | 47.2 13.0% | 54.2 13.7% | 93.7 15.0% | 149.0 19.0% | 148.6 17.8% | 110.2 15.7% | 93.4 15.7% | 95.3 15.7% | 98.9 15.7% | 102.3 15.7% | 105.7 15.7% | 108.8 15.7% | 111.8 15.7% | 114.6 15.7% | 117.2 15.7% | 119.6 15.7% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 39.9 11.0% | 41.6 10.5% | 70.3 11.2% | 115.7 14.8% | 112.3 13.4% | 83.3 11.9% | 70.6 11.9% | 72.0 11.9% | 74.7 11.9% | 77.3 11.9% | 79.9 11.9% | 82.3 11.9% | 84.5 11.9% | 86.6 11.9% | 88.6 11.9% | 90.4 11.9% |
% of revenue | 11.6 3.2% | 13.0 3.3% | 19.1 3.0% | 21.5 2.7% | 22.1 2.6% | 19.7 2.8% | 16.7 2.8% | 17.0 2.8% | 17.6 2.8% | 18.3 2.8% | 18.9 2.8% | 19.4 2.8% | 20.0 2.8% | 20.5 2.8% | 20.9 2.8% | 21.3 2.8% |
% of revenue | (16.7) (4.6%) | (19.7) (5.0%) | (47.4) (7.6%) | (45.3) (5.8%) | (55.3) (6.6%) | (46.6) (6.7%) | (39.5) (6.7%) | (40.3) (6.7%) | (41.8) (6.7%) | (43.2) (6.7%) | (44.7) (6.7%) | (46.0) (6.7%) | (47.3) (6.7%) | (48.4) (6.7%) | (49.5) (6.7%) | (50.5) (6.7%) |
% of revenue | (34.1) (9.4%) | (4.1) (1.0%) | (19.4) (3.1%) | (50.3) (6.4%) | (79.6) (9.5%) | (44.4) (6.3%) | (37.6) (6.3%) | (38.4) (6.3%) | (39.9) (6.3%) | (41.3) (6.3%) | (42.6) (6.3%) | (43.9) (6.3%) | (45.1) (6.3%) | (46.2) (6.3%) | (47.3) (6.3%) | (48.2) (6.3%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 0.7 0.2% | 30.7 7.8% | 22.6 3.6% | 41.5 5.3% | (0.4) (0.1%) | 11.9 1.7% | 10.1 1.7% | 10.3 1.7% | 10.7 1.7% | 11.1 1.7% | 11.5 1.7% | 11.8 1.7% | 12.1 1.7% | 12.4 1.7% | 12.7 1.7% | 13.0 1.7% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.92 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 0.71 | 0.68 | 0.64 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 8.2 | 9.6 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 8.2 |
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FAQ
What is MGP Ingredients, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MGP Ingredients, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at ($0.9). This suggests it may be overvalued by (102.6%) compared to its current price of around $32.5, using a WACC of 5.3% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is MGP Ingredients, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MGP Ingredients, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 5.3%.
What is MGP Ingredients, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MGP Ingredients, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $265.1M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.