Last Price$57.32.6%
Market Cap$96.2B
DCF value
$116.4
Undervalued (DCF value)
103.1%
Discount Rate
4.9%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Great
MO DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 19,796.0 0.9% | 20,841.0 5.3% | 21,111.0 1.3% | 20,688.0 (2.0%) | 20,502.0 (0.9%) | 20,382.1 (0.6%) | 20,308.1 (0.4%) | 20,342.3 0.2% | 20,591.6 1.2% | 21,345.9 3.7% | 22,068.7 3.4% | 22,754.8 3.1% | 23,399.1 2.8% | 23,996.8 2.6% | 24,543.3 2.3% | 25,034.2 2.0% |
% margin | 20,504.0 103.6% | 10,873.0 52.2% | 11,560.0 54.8% | 8,532.0 41.2% | 11,547.0 56.3% | 11,599.1 56.9% | 11,557.0 56.9% | 11,576.5 56.9% | 11,718.4 56.9% | 12,147.6 56.9% | 12,559.0 56.9% | 12,949.4 56.9% | 13,316.1 56.9% | 13,656.2 56.9% | 13,967.2 56.9% | 14,246.6 56.9% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (34,744.4) (175.5%) | 7,028.8 33.7% | 7,482.0 35.4% | 6,655.6 32.2% | 8,590.5 41.9% | 8,629.3 42.3% | 8,598.0 42.3% | 8,612.5 42.3% | 8,718.0 42.3% | 9,037.4 42.3% | 9,343.4 42.3% | 9,633.8 42.3% | 9,906.6 42.3% | 10,159.7 42.3% | 10,391.0 42.3% | 10,598.9 42.3% |
% of revenue | 226.0 1.1% | 257.0 1.2% | 244.0 1.2% | 226.0 1.1% | 272.0 1.3% | 242.9 1.2% | 242.0 1.2% | 242.4 1.2% | 245.4 1.2% | 254.4 1.2% | 263.0 1.2% | 271.2 1.2% | 278.8 1.2% | 286.0 1.2% | 292.5 1.2% | 298.3 1.2% |
% of revenue | (246.0) (1.2%) | (231.0) (1.1%) | (169.0) (0.8%) | (205.0) (1.0%) | (196.0) (1.0%) | (186.7) (0.9%) | (186.0) (0.9%) | (186.3) (0.9%) | (188.6) (0.9%) | (195.5) (0.9%) | (202.1) (0.9%) | (208.4) (0.9%) | (214.3) (0.9%) | (219.8) (0.9%) | (224.8) (0.9%) | (229.3) (0.9%) |
% of revenue | (53.0) (0.3%) | 249.0 1.2% | 3.0 0.0% | (586.0) (2.8%) | (47.0) (0.2%) | (207.1) (1.0%) | (206.3) (1.0%) | (206.7) (1.0%) | (209.2) (1.0%) | (216.8) (1.0%) | (224.2) (1.0%) | (231.2) (1.0%) | (237.7) (1.0%) | (243.8) (1.0%) | (249.3) (1.0%) | (254.3) (1.0%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (34,817.4) (175.9%) | 7,303.8 35.0% | 7,560.0 35.8% | 6,090.6 29.4% | 8,619.5 42.0% | 8,478.4 41.6% | 8,447.7 41.6% | 8,461.9 41.6% | 8,565.6 41.6% | 8,879.4 41.6% | 9,180.0 41.6% | 9,465.4 41.6% | 9,733.5 41.6% | 9,982.1 41.6% | 10,209.4 41.6% | 10,413.6 41.6% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.98 | 0.93 | 0.89 | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.70 | 0.67 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 6,846.6 | 7,874.6 | 7,597.9 | 7,507.5 | 7,398.3 | 7,271.1 | 7,126.9 | 6,966.7 | 6,791.8 |
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MO DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
65.4B
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
229.3B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
152.6B
70.0%
217.9B
3,686.0M
Total Debt
26.2B
195.4B
Shares outstanding
1,678.4M
FX rate
1.0
116.4
103.1% undervalued
Equity Value Bridge
MO DCF Financials
Revenue
$20.5B -> $24.5B
1.8% CAGR
Operating Income
$11.5B -> $14.0B
1.9% CAGR
FCFF
$8,619.5M -> $10.2B
1.7% CAGR
MO DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
4.0%
$122.0
$122.0
$122.0
$122.0
$122.0
4.5%
$119.0
$119.0
$119.0
$119.0
$119.0
4.9%
$116.0
$116.0
$116.0
$116.0
$116.0
5.5%
$112.0
$113.0
$113.0
$113.0
$113.0
6.0%
$99.0
$108.0
$111.0
$111.0
$111.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
4.0%
113.0%
113.0%
113.0%
113.0%
113.0%
4.5%
108.0%
108.0%
108.0%
108.0%
108.0%
4.9%
102.0%
102.0%
102.0%
102.0%
102.0%
5.5%
95.0%
97.0%
97.0%
97.0%
97.0%
6.0%
73.0%
88.0%
94.0%
94.0%
94.0%
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FAQ
What is Altria Group, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Altria Group, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $116.4. This suggests it may be undervalued by 103.1% compared to its current price of around $57.3, using a WACC of 4.9% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Altria Group, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Altria Group, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 4.9%.
What is Altria Group, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Altria Group, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $217.9B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.