MSEX DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 141.6 5.2% | 143.1 1.1% | 162.4 13.5% | 166.3 2.4% | 191.9 15.4% | 202.5 5.5% | 220.9 9.1% | 239.2 8.3% | 256.9 7.4% | 273.8 6.6% | 289.5 5.7% | 303.6 4.9% | 315.9 4.0% | 326.0 3.2% | 333.6 2.3% | 338.6 1.5% |
% margin | 37.4 26.4% | 33.2 23.2% | 47.3 29.1% | 39.2 23.6% | 53.2 27.7% | 54.1 26.7% | 59.1 26.7% | 64.0 26.7% | 68.7 26.7% | 73.2 26.7% | 77.4 26.7% | 81.2 26.7% | 84.5 26.7% | 87.2 26.7% | 89.2 26.7% | 90.6 26.7% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 41.9 29.6% | 39.1 27.3% | 44.0 27.1% | 38.0 22.8% | 46.0 24.0% | 46.8 23.1% | 51.1 23.1% | 55.3 23.1% | 59.5 23.1% | 63.4 23.1% | 67.0 23.1% | 70.3 23.1% | 73.1 23.1% | 75.4 23.1% | 77.2 23.1% | 78.4 23.1% |
% of revenue | 20.8 14.7% | 26.8 18.7% | 27.5 16.9% | 29.4 17.7% | 28.0 14.6% | 33.2 16.4% | 36.3 16.4% | 39.2 16.4% | 42.2 16.4% | 44.9 16.4% | 47.5 16.4% | 49.8 16.4% | 51.8 16.4% | 53.5 16.4% | 54.8 16.4% | 55.6 16.4% |
% of revenue | (105.6) (74.6%) | (79.4) (55.5%) | (91.3) (56.2%) | (90.2) (54.2%) | 0.0 0.0% | (74.5) (36.8%) | (81.3) (36.8%) | (88.1) (36.8%) | (94.6) (36.8%) | (100.8) (36.8%) | (106.6) (36.8%) | (111.8) (36.8%) | (116.3) (36.8%) | (120.0) (36.8%) | (122.8) (36.8%) | (124.7) (36.8%) |
% of revenue | 9.4 6.6% | (19.0) (13.3%) | 1.4 0.8% | (3.0) (1.8%) | 0.0 0.0% | (0.7) (0.3%) | (0.7) (0.3%) | (0.8) (0.3%) | (0.8) (0.3%) | (0.9) (0.3%) | (0.9) (0.3%) | (1.0) (0.3%) | (1.0) (0.3%) | (1.1) (0.3%) | (1.1) (0.3%) | (1.1) (0.3%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (33.5) (23.7%) | (32.5) (22.7%) | (18.5) (11.4%) | (25.8) (15.5%) | 74.1 38.6% | 4.9 2.4% | 5.3 2.4% | 5.8 2.4% | 6.2 2.4% | 6.6 2.4% | 7.0 2.4% | 7.3 2.4% | 7.6 2.4% | 7.8 2.4% | 8.0 2.4% | 8.1 2.4% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.56 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 3.8 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
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FAQ
What is Middlesex Water Company DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Middlesex Water Company's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at ($12.6). This suggests it may be overvalued by (120.1%) compared to its current price of around $62.9, using a WACC of 6.3% and growth rates of 1.5%.
What is Middlesex Water Company WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Middlesex Water Company's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 6.3%.
What is Middlesex Water Company Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Middlesex Water Company's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $143.9M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.