Last Price$250.9(1.8%)
Market Cap$58.3B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
11.0%
Long-Term Growth Rate
4.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
MSTR DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 480.7 (1.1%) | 510.8 6.2% | 499.3 (2.3%) | 496.3 (0.6%) | 463.5 (6.6%) | 478.4 3.2% | 522.3 9.2% | 473.2 (9.4%) | 453.7 (4.1%) | 440.3 (3.0%) | 432.4 (1.8%) | 429.6 (0.6%) | 431.9 0.5% | 439.2 1.7% | 451.6 2.8% | 469.7 4.0% |
% margin | 127.8 26.6% | 876.7 171.6% | 6.1 1.2% | (115.0) (23.2%) | (1,853.0) (399.8%) | (211.3) (44.2%) | (230.7) (44.2%) | (209.0) (44.2%) | (200.4) (44.2%) | (194.5) (44.2%) | (191.0) (44.2%) | (189.8) (44.2%) | (190.8) (44.2%) | (194.0) (44.2%) | (199.5) (44.2%) | (207.5) (44.2%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 48.2 10.0% | 578.6 113.3% | 6.8 1.4% | 396.5 79.9% | (1,117.6) (241.1%) | (127.5) (26.6%) | (139.1) (26.6%) | (126.1) (26.6%) | (120.9) (26.6%) | (117.3) (26.6%) | (115.2) (26.6%) | (114.5) (26.6%) | (115.1) (26.6%) | (117.0) (26.6%) | (120.3) (26.6%) | (125.1) (26.6%) |
% of revenue | 24.6 5.1% | 22.2 4.4% | 23.4 4.7% | 31.3 6.3% | 17.8 3.8% | 23.7 4.9% | 25.8 4.9% | 23.4 4.9% | 22.4 4.9% | 21.8 4.9% | 21.4 4.9% | 21.3 4.9% | 21.4 4.9% | 21.7 4.9% | 22.3 4.9% | 23.2 4.9% |
% of revenue | (1,128.7) (234.8%) | (2,629.2) (514.8%) | (290.4) (58.2%) | (1,905.2) (383.9%) | (10.5) (2.3%) | (708.6) (148.1%) | (773.6) (148.1%) | (700.8) (148.1%) | (672.0) (148.1%) | (652.2) (148.1%) | (640.5) (148.1%) | (636.4) (148.1%) | (639.7) (148.1%) | (650.5) (148.1%) | (668.9) (148.1%) | (695.7) (148.1%) |
% of revenue | (22.8) (4.7%) | 11.1 2.2% | (36.6) (7.3%) | (21.1) (4.2%) | (42.7) (9.2%) | (33.2) (6.9%) | (36.2) (6.9%) | (32.8) (6.9%) | (31.4) (6.9%) | (30.5) (6.9%) | (30.0) (6.9%) | (29.8) (6.9%) | (29.9) (6.9%) | (30.4) (6.9%) | (31.3) (6.9%) | (32.6) (6.9%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (1,078.6) (224.4%) | (2,017.3) (395.0%) | (296.8) (59.4%) | (1,498.6) (302.0%) | (1,153.0) (248.8%) | (845.5) (176.7%) | (923.1) (176.7%) | (836.3) (176.7%) | (801.9) (176.7%) | (778.2) (176.7%) | (764.2) (176.7%) | (759.4) (176.7%) | (763.3) (176.7%) | (776.2) (176.7%) | (798.2) (176.7%) | (830.2) (176.7%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.85 | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.37 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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MSTR DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
166.3M
N/A
Shares outstanding
232.3M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
MSTR DCF Financials
Revenue
$463.5M -> $451.6M
(0.3%) CAGR
Operating Income
($1,853.0M) -> ($199.5M)
(20.0%) CAGR
FCFF
($1,153.0M) -> ($798.2M)
(3.6%) CAGR
MSTR DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
11.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
11.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
12.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
11.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
11.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
12.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
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FAQ
What is MicroStrategy Incorporated DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MicroStrategy Incorporated's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $250.9, using a WACC of 11.0% and growth rates of 4.0%.
What is MicroStrategy Incorporated WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MicroStrategy Incorporated's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 11.0%.
What is MicroStrategy Incorporated Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MicroStrategy Incorporated's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.