OLED DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 428.9 5.8% | 553.5 29.1% | 616.6 11.4% | 576.4 (6.5%) | 647.7 12.4% | 668.9 3.3% | 761.8 13.9% | 902.7 18.5% | 1,053.3 16.7% | 1,210.0 14.9% | 1,368.0 13.1% | 1,521.9 11.2% | 1,665.5 9.4% | 1,792.5 7.6% | 1,896.7 5.8% | 1,972.5 4.0% |
% margin | 157.5 36.7% | 227.6 41.1% | 267.1 43.3% | 217.2 37.7% | 238.8 36.9% | 261.8 39.1% | 298.2 39.1% | 353.4 39.1% | 412.3 39.1% | 473.6 39.1% | 535.5 39.1% | 595.7 39.1% | 652.0 39.1% | 701.7 39.1% | 742.4 39.1% | 772.1 39.1% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 128.5 30.0% | 183.7 33.2% | 209.2 33.9% | 179.8 31.2% | 194.9 30.1% | 213.7 31.9% | 243.4 31.9% | 288.4 31.9% | 336.5 31.9% | 386.5 31.9% | 437.0 31.9% | 486.2 31.9% | 532.1 31.9% | 572.6 31.9% | 605.9 31.9% | 630.1 31.9% |
% of revenue | 37.2 8.7% | 42.0 7.6% | 42.3 6.9% | 43.4 7.5% | 0.0 0.0% | 32.1 4.8% | 36.5 4.8% | 43.3 4.8% | 50.5 4.8% | 58.0 4.8% | 65.6 4.8% | 73.0 4.8% | 79.9 4.8% | 86.0 4.8% | 90.9 4.8% | 94.6 4.8% |
% of revenue | (28.1) (6.5%) | (43.6) (7.9%) | (47.2) (7.7%) | (59.8) (10.4%) | (42.6) (6.6%) | (54.9) (8.2%) | (62.5) (8.2%) | (74.1) (8.2%) | (86.4) (8.2%) | (99.3) (8.2%) | (112.2) (8.2%) | (124.9) (8.2%) | (136.6) (8.2%) | (147.1) (8.2%) | (155.6) (8.2%) | (161.8) (8.2%) |
% of revenue | 136.6 31.8% | 140.4 25.4% | (134.3) (21.8%) | (103.5) (18.0%) | (25.3) (3.9%) | (97.3) (14.5%) | (110.8) (14.5%) | (131.3) (14.5%) | (153.2) (14.5%) | (176.0) (14.5%) | (199.0) (14.5%) | (221.4) (14.5%) | (242.3) (14.5%) | (260.8) (14.5%) | (275.9) (14.5%) | (287.0) (14.5%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 274.2 63.9% | 322.5 58.3% | 70.0 11.3% | 59.9 10.4% | 126.9 19.6% | 93.6 14.0% | 106.6 14.0% | 126.3 14.0% | 147.4 14.0% | 169.3 14.0% | 191.4 14.0% | 212.9 14.0% | 233.0 14.0% | 250.8 14.0% | 265.3 14.0% | 275.9 14.0% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.42 | 0.38 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 71.9 | 91.5 | 97.9 | 103.2 | 107.0 | 109.3 | 109.8 | 108.5 | 105.5 | 100.8 |
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FAQ
What is Universal Display Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Universal Display Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $62.7. This suggests it may be overvalued by (58.1%) compared to its current price of around $149.7, using a WACC of 10.7% and growth rates of 4.0%.
What is Universal Display Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Universal Display Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 10.7%.
What is Universal Display Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Universal Display Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $2,564.5M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.