PAG DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 20,443.9 (11.8%) | 25,554.7 25.0% | 27,814.8 8.8% | 29,527.4 6.2% | 30,455.2 3.1% | 31,049.9 2.0% | 31,111.8 0.2% | 36,554.0 17.5% | 42,263.2 15.6% | 48,072.0 13.7% | 53,778.3 11.9% | 59,154.2 10.0% | 63,958.8 8.1% | 67,955.0 6.2% | 70,927.4 4.4% | 72,700.6 2.5% |
% margin | 704.5 3.4% | 1,356.4 5.3% | 1,487.8 5.3% | 1,351.5 4.6% | 1,316.8 4.3% | 1,396.7 4.5% | 1,399.4 4.5% | 1,644.2 4.5% | 1,901.0 4.5% | 2,162.3 4.5% | 2,419.0 4.5% | 2,660.8 4.5% | 2,876.9 4.5% | 3,056.7 4.5% | 3,190.4 4.5% | 3,270.1 4.5% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 542.5 2.7% | 1,005.2 3.9% | 1,109.3 4.0% | 1,007.9 3.4% | 975.9 3.2% | 1,035.1 3.3% | 1,037.1 3.3% | 1,218.6 3.3% | 1,408.9 3.3% | 1,602.5 3.3% | 1,792.7 3.3% | 1,971.9 3.3% | 2,132.1 3.3% | 2,265.3 3.3% | 2,364.4 3.3% | 2,423.5 3.3% |
% of revenue | 115.5 0.6% | 121.5 0.5% | 127.3 0.5% | 141.0 0.5% | 158.0 0.5% | 150.5 0.5% | 150.8 0.5% | 177.2 0.5% | 204.8 0.5% | 233.0 0.5% | 260.6 0.5% | 286.7 0.5% | 310.0 0.5% | 329.4 0.5% | 343.8 0.5% | 352.4 0.5% |
% of revenue | (185.9) (0.9%) | (248.9) (1.0%) | (282.5) (1.0%) | (375.3) (1.3%) | (368.7) (1.2%) | (362.0) (1.2%) | (362.7) (1.2%) | (426.1) (1.2%) | (492.7) (1.2%) | (560.4) (1.2%) | (626.9) (1.2%) | (689.6) (1.2%) | (745.6) (1.2%) | (792.2) (1.2%) | (826.8) (1.2%) | (847.5) (1.2%) |
% of revenue | 461.8 2.3% | 0.8 0.0% | 4.6 0.0% | (73.9) (0.3%) | 0.0 0.0% | (24.2) (0.1%) | (24.2) (0.1%) | (28.5) (0.1%) | (32.9) (0.1%) | (37.5) (0.1%) | (41.9) (0.1%) | (46.1) (0.1%) | (49.8) (0.1%) | (52.9) (0.1%) | (55.3) (0.1%) | (56.6) (0.1%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 933.9 4.6% | 878.6 3.4% | 958.7 3.4% | 699.7 2.4% | 765.2 2.5% | 799.4 2.6% | 801.0 2.6% | 941.1 2.6% | 1,088.1 2.6% | 1,237.6 2.6% | 1,384.6 2.6% | 1,523.0 2.6% | 1,646.7 2.6% | 1,749.5 2.6% | 1,826.1 2.6% | 1,871.7 2.6% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.59 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 645.3 | 736.5 | 818.2 | 894.5 | 962.0 | 1,017.6 | 1,058.4 | 1,082.1 | 1,087.1 | 1,072.9 |
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FAQ
What is Penske Automotive Group, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $405.0. This suggests it may be undervalued by 141.4% compared to its current price of around $167.8, using a WACC of 5.8% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Penske Automotive Group, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 5.8%.
What is Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $31.2B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.