Last Price$241.1(2.0%)
Market Cap$66.5B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
8.1%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
7/10
Great
RCL DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 2,208.8 (79.8%) | 1,532.1 (30.6%) | 8,840.5 477.0% | 13,900.0 57.2% | 16,484.0 18.6% | 18,004.9 9.2% | 19,830.8 10.1% | 21,155.4 6.7% | 22,494.5 6.3% | 23,795.4 5.8% | 25,041.2 5.2% | 26,215.3 4.7% | 27,300.9 4.1% | 28,282.2 3.6% | 29,144.0 3.0% | 29,872.6 2.5% |
% margin | (4,601.6) (208.3%) | (3,870.3) (252.6%) | (847.9) (9.6%) | 2,878.0 20.7% | 4,106.0 24.9% | (6,058.4) (33.6%) | (6,672.8) (33.6%) | (7,118.5) (33.6%) | (7,569.1) (33.6%) | (8,006.8) (33.6%) | (8,426.0) (33.6%) | (8,821.1) (33.6%) | (9,186.4) (33.6%) | (9,516.6) (33.6%) | (9,806.6) (33.6%) | (10,051.7) (33.6%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (5,182.8) (234.6%) | (4,835.6) (315.6%) | (825.9) (9.3%) | 2,878.0 20.7% | 4,131.5 25.1% | (6,096.1) (33.9%) | (6,714.2) (33.9%) | (7,162.7) (33.9%) | (7,616.1) (33.9%) | (8,056.6) (33.9%) | (8,478.4) (33.9%) | (8,875.9) (33.9%) | (9,243.5) (33.9%) | (9,575.7) (33.9%) | (9,867.5) (33.9%) | (10,114.2) (33.9%) |
% of revenue | 1,264.6 57.3% | 1,277.5 83.4% | 1,389.6 15.7% | 1,455.0 10.5% | 1,600.0 9.7% | 2,154.1 12.0% | 2,372.6 12.0% | 2,531.1 12.0% | 2,691.3 12.0% | 2,846.9 12.0% | 2,996.0 12.0% | 3,136.4 12.0% | 3,266.3 12.0% | 3,383.7 12.0% | 3,486.8 12.0% | 3,574.0 12.0% |
% of revenue | (1,965.1) (89.0%) | (2,229.7) (145.5%) | (2,710.1) (30.7%) | (3,897.0) (28.0%) | (3,268.0) (19.8%) | (4,712.3) (26.2%) | (5,190.1) (26.2%) | (5,536.8) (26.2%) | (5,887.3) (26.2%) | (6,227.7) (26.2%) | (6,553.8) (26.2%) | (6,861.1) (26.2%) | (7,145.2) (26.2%) | (7,402.0) (26.2%) | (7,627.6) (26.2%) | (7,818.3) (26.2%) |
% of revenue | (1,331.3) (60.3%) | 1,481.6 96.7% | 973.3 11.0% | 1,171.0 8.4% | 204.0 1.2% | 1,240.6 6.9% | 1,366.4 6.9% | 1,457.7 6.9% | 1,550.0 6.9% | 1,639.6 6.9% | 1,725.5 6.9% | 1,806.4 6.9% | 1,881.2 6.9% | 1,948.8 6.9% | 2,008.2 6.9% | 2,058.4 6.9% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (7,214.6) (326.6%) | (4,306.2) (281.1%) | (1,173.0) (13.3%) | 1,607.0 11.6% | 2,667.5 16.2% | (7,413.6) (41.2%) | (8,165.3) (41.2%) | (8,710.8) (41.2%) | (9,262.2) (41.2%) | (9,797.8) (41.2%) | (10,310.8) (41.2%) | (10,794.2) (41.2%) | (11,241.2) (41.2%) | (11,645.2) (41.2%) | (12,000.1) (41.2%) | (12,300.1) (41.2%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.56 | 0.52 | 0.48 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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RCL DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
20.8B
N/A
Shares outstanding
275.7M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
RCL DCF Financials
Revenue
$16.5B -> $29.1B
5.9% CAGR
Operating Income
$4,106.0M -> ($9,806.6M)
N/A CAGR
FCFF
$2,667.5M -> ($12.0B)
N/A CAGR
RCL DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
7.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.1%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
7.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.1%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
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FAQ
What is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $241.1, using a WACC of 8.1% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.1%.
What is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.