Last Price$173.7(1.9%)
Market Cap$59.5B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
7.6%
Long-Term Growth Rate
4.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
SNOW DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Jan'20 Actual | Jan'21 Actual | Jan'22 Actual | Jan'23 Actual | Jan'24 Actual | Jan'25 Estimate | Jan'26 Estimate | Jan'27 Estimate | Jan'28 Estimate | Jan'29 Estimate | Jan'30 Estimate | Jan'31 Estimate | Jan'32 Estimate | Jan'33 Estimate | Jan'34 Estimate | Jan'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 264.7 173.9% | 592.0 123.6% | 1,219.3 106.0% | 2,065.7 69.4% | 2,806.5 35.9% | 3,597.4 28.2% | 4,443.2 23.5% | 5,429.2 22.2% | 6,736.8 24.1% | 8,588.6 27.5% | 10,613.2 23.6% | 12,699.6 19.7% | 14,699.1 15.7% | 16,437.9 11.8% | 17,738.9 7.9% | 18,448.5 4.0% |
% margin | (358.1) (135.3%) | (543.9) (91.9%) | (715.0) (58.6%) | (842.3) (40.8%) | (1,094.8) (39.0%) | (2,439.8) (67.8%) | (3,013.4) (67.8%) | (3,682.1) (67.8%) | (4,569.0) (67.8%) | (5,824.9) (67.8%) | (7,198.0) (67.8%) | (8,613.1) (67.8%) | (9,969.1) (67.8%) | (11,148.4) (67.8%) | (12,030.7) (67.8%) | (12,512.0) (67.8%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (359.1) (135.6%) | (546.0) (92.2%) | (718.2) (58.9%) | (823.2) (39.9%) | (1,080.3) (38.5%) | (2,407.6) (66.9%) | (2,973.6) (66.9%) | (3,633.4) (66.9%) | (4,508.5) (66.9%) | (5,747.8) (66.9%) | (7,102.8) (66.9%) | (8,499.1) (66.9%) | (9,837.2) (66.9%) | (11,000.9) (66.9%) | (11,871.6) (66.9%) | (12,346.5) (66.9%) |
% of revenue | 31.2 11.8% | 43.3 7.3% | 57.1 4.7% | 63.5 3.1% | 119.9 4.3% | 144.2 4.0% | 178.1 4.0% | 217.7 4.0% | 270.1 4.0% | 344.3 4.0% | 425.5 4.0% | 509.1 4.0% | 589.3 4.0% | 659.0 4.0% | 711.2 4.0% | 739.6 4.0% |
% of revenue | (22.8) (8.6%) | (48.7) (8.2%) | (53.3) (4.4%) | (49.8) (2.4%) | (98.0) (3.5%) | (123.2) (3.4%) | (152.2) (3.4%) | (186.0) (3.4%) | (230.8) (3.4%) | (294.2) (3.4%) | (363.6) (3.4%) | (435.0) (3.4%) | (503.5) (3.4%) | (563.1) (3.4%) | (607.7) (3.4%) | (632.0) (3.4%) |
% of revenue | 49.3 18.6% | 106.9 18.1% | 68.4 5.6% | 289.5 14.0% | 390.7 13.9% | 402.3 11.2% | 496.9 11.2% | 607.2 11.2% | 753.4 11.2% | 960.5 11.2% | 1,186.9 11.2% | 1,420.2 11.2% | 1,643.8 11.2% | 1,838.3 11.2% | 1,983.8 11.2% | 2,063.1 11.2% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (301.4) (113.8%) | (444.5) (75.1%) | (646.0) (53.0%) | (520.0) (25.2%) | (667.6) (23.8%) | (1,984.3) (55.2%) | (2,450.8) (55.2%) | (2,994.6) (55.2%) | (3,715.8) (55.2%) | (4,737.2) (55.2%) | (5,854.0) (55.2%) | (7,004.8) (55.2%) | (8,107.6) (55.2%) | (9,066.7) (55.2%) | (9,784.3) (55.2%) | (10,175.7) (55.2%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 91.5% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.90 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.54 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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SNOW DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
3,846.2M
Total Debt
321.9M
N/A
Shares outstanding
342.9M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
SNOW DCF Financials
Revenue
$2,806.5M -> $17.7B
20.2% CAGR
Operating Income
($1,094.8M) -> ($12.0B)
27.1% CAGR
FCFF
($667.6M) -> ($9,784.3M)
30.8% CAGR
SNOW DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
7.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.6%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
7.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.6%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for SNOW
Margin of safety
Peter Lynch charts
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Earnings growth model
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Peter Lynch Fair Value
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Snowflake Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Snowflake Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $173.7, using a WACC of 7.6% and growth rates of 4.0%.
What is Snowflake Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Snowflake Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.6%.
What is Snowflake Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Snowflake Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.