TMHC DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 6,129.3 28.7% | 7,501.3 22.4% | 8,224.9 9.6% | 7,417.8 (9.8%) | 8,168.1 10.1% | 8,333.5 2.0% | 8,908.2 6.9% | 9,478.9 6.4% | 10,040.0 5.9% | 10,585.2 5.4% | 11,108.3 4.9% | 11,603.0 4.5% | 12,063.1 4.0% | 12,482.5 3.5% | 12,855.5 3.0% | 13,176.9 2.5% |
% margin | 571.9 9.3% | 826.9 11.0% | 1,362.6 16.6% | 1,084.4 14.6% | 1,213.7 14.9% | 972.6 11.7% | 1,039.7 11.7% | 1,106.3 11.7% | 1,171.8 11.7% | 1,235.4 11.7% | 1,296.5 11.7% | 1,354.2 11.7% | 1,407.9 11.7% | 1,456.9 11.7% | 1,500.4 11.7% | 1,537.9 11.7% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 440.3 7.2% | 653.8 8.7% | 1,033.5 12.6% | 820.1 11.1% | 930.7 11.4% | 745.9 9.0% | 797.3 9.0% | 848.4 9.0% | 898.6 9.0% | 947.4 9.0% | 994.2 9.0% | 1,038.5 9.0% | 1,079.7 9.0% | 1,117.2 9.0% | 1,150.6 9.0% | 1,179.4 9.0% |
% of revenue | 37.3 0.6% | 40.0 0.5% | 33.8 0.4% | 33.4 0.5% | 41.2 0.5% | 37.9 0.5% | 40.6 0.5% | 43.2 0.5% | 45.7 0.5% | 48.2 0.5% | 50.6 0.5% | 52.8 0.5% | 54.9 0.5% | 56.8 0.5% | 58.5 0.5% | 60.0 0.5% |
% of revenue | (37.8) (0.6%) | (21.2) (0.3%) | (30.6) (0.4%) | (33.4) (0.5%) | (36.3) (0.4%) | (35.2) (0.4%) | (37.6) (0.4%) | (40.0) (0.4%) | (42.4) (0.4%) | (44.7) (0.4%) | (46.9) (0.4%) | (49.0) (0.4%) | (51.0) (0.4%) | (52.7) (0.4%) | (54.3) (0.4%) | (55.7) (0.4%) |
% of revenue | 714.2 11.7% | (495.6) (6.6%) | (180.5) (2.2%) | (48.8) (0.7%) | (848.1) (10.4%) | (367.6) (4.4%) | (393.0) (4.4%) | (418.2) (4.4%) | (442.9) (4.4%) | (467.0) (4.4%) | (490.0) (4.4%) | (511.9) (4.4%) | (532.2) (4.4%) | (550.7) (4.4%) | (567.1) (4.4%) | (581.3) (4.4%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 1,154.1 18.8% | 176.9 2.4% | 856.3 10.4% | 771.3 10.4% | 87.5 1.1% | 381.0 4.6% | 407.3 4.6% | 433.3 4.6% | 459.0 4.6% | 483.9 4.6% | 507.8 4.6% | 530.5 4.6% | 551.5 4.6% | 570.7 4.6% | 587.7 4.6% | 602.4 4.6% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.47 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 304.0 | 361.7 | 355.6 | 348.1 | 339.1 | 328.8 | 317.3 | 304.8 | 291.4 | 277.3 |
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FAQ
What is Taylor Morrison Home Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $80.7. This suggests it may be undervalued by 33.5% compared to its current price of around $60.5, using a WACC of 8.2% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Taylor Morrison Home Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.2%.
What is Taylor Morrison Home Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $8,192.7M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.