TXRH DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 2,398.1 (13.0%) | 3,463.9 44.4% | 4,014.9 15.9% | 4,631.7 15.4% | 5,373.3 16.0% | 5,838.7 8.7% | 6,357.4 8.9% | 6,928.0 9.0% | 7,493.7 8.2% | 8,045.0 7.4% | 8,571.7 6.5% | 9,063.5 5.7% | 9,510.1 4.9% | 9,901.8 4.1% | 10,229.5 3.3% | 10,485.3 2.5% |
% margin | 23.8 1.0% | 297.2 8.6% | 320.2 8.0% | 354.0 7.6% | 516.5 9.6% | 408.6 7.0% | 444.9 7.0% | 484.8 7.0% | 524.4 7.0% | 563.0 7.0% | 599.8 7.0% | 634.2 7.0% | 665.5 7.0% | 692.9 7.0% | 715.8 7.0% | 733.7 7.0% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 43.3 1.8% | 257.0 7.4% | 276.6 6.9% | 309.9 6.7% | 437.6 8.1% | 346.1 5.9% | 376.9 5.9% | 410.7 5.9% | 444.3 5.9% | 476.9 5.9% | 508.2 5.9% | 537.3 5.9% | 563.8 5.9% | 587.0 5.9% | 606.5 5.9% | 621.6 5.9% |
% of revenue | 117.9 4.9% | 126.8 3.7% | 137.2 3.4% | 153.2 3.3% | 178.2 3.3% | 195.4 3.3% | 212.8 3.3% | 231.9 3.3% | 250.8 3.3% | 269.3 3.3% | 286.9 3.3% | 303.4 3.3% | 318.3 3.3% | 331.4 3.3% | 342.4 3.3% | 351.0 3.3% |
% of revenue | (154.4) (6.4%) | (200.7) (5.8%) | (246.1) (6.1%) | (347.0) (7.5%) | 0.0 0.0% | (265.1) (4.5%) | (288.7) (4.5%) | (314.6) (4.5%) | (340.3) (4.5%) | (365.3) (4.5%) | (389.2) (4.5%) | (411.6) (4.5%) | (431.8) (4.5%) | (449.6) (4.5%) | (464.5) (4.5%) | (476.1) (4.5%) |
% of revenue | 61.9 2.6% | 36.2 1.0% | 44.0 1.1% | 57.5 1.2% | 93.6 1.7% | 79.3 1.4% | 86.4 1.4% | 94.1 1.4% | 101.8 1.4% | 109.3 1.4% | 116.5 1.4% | 123.2 1.4% | 129.2 1.4% | 134.6 1.4% | 139.0 1.4% | 142.5 1.4% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 68.6 2.9% | 219.3 6.3% | 211.7 5.3% | 173.5 3.7% | 709.3 13.2% | 355.8 6.1% | 387.4 6.1% | 422.2 6.1% | 456.6 6.1% | 490.2 6.1% | 522.3 6.1% | 552.3 6.1% | 579.5 6.1% | 603.4 6.1% | 623.3 6.1% | 638.9 6.1% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.47 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 276.3 | 343.5 | 345.5 | 345.0 | 341.8 | 336.2 | 328.1 | 317.7 | 305.3 | 291.2 |
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FAQ
What is Texas Roadhouse, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $115.5. This suggests it may be overvalued by (34.8%) compared to its current price of around $177.1, using a WACC of 8.3% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Texas Roadhouse, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.3%.
What is Texas Roadhouse, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $8,337.9M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.