Last Price$329.8(3.5%)
Market Cap$20.3B
DCF value
$146.6
Overvalued (DCF value)
(55.5%)
Discount Rate
9.4%
Long-Term Growth Rate
4.0%
Stock quality
8/10
Great
UI DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Jun'20 Actual | Jun'21 Actual | Jun'22 Actual | Jun'23 Actual | Jun'24 Actual | Jun'25 Estimate | Jun'26 Estimate | Jun'27 Estimate | Jun'28 Estimate | Jun'29 Estimate | Jun'30 Estimate | Jun'31 Estimate | Jun'32 Estimate | Jun'33 Estimate | Jun'34 Estimate | Jun'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 1,284.5 10.6% | 1,898.1 47.8% | 1,691.7 (10.9%) | 1,940.5 14.7% | 1,928.5 (0.6%) | 2,219.6 15.1% | 2,533.9 14.2% | 2,763.9 9.1% | 2,997.2 8.4% | 3,231.3 7.8% | 3,463.1 7.2% | 3,689.5 6.5% | 3,907.3 5.9% | 4,113.2 5.3% | 4,303.9 4.6% | 4,476.0 4.0% |
% margin | 478.2 37.2% | 742.6 39.1% | 462.3 27.3% | 544.6 28.1% | 499.0 25.9% | 692.8 31.2% | 790.9 31.2% | 862.7 31.2% | 935.6 31.2% | 1,008.6 31.2% | 1,081.0 31.2% | 1,151.6 31.2% | 1,219.6 31.2% | 1,283.9 31.2% | 1,343.4 31.2% | 1,397.1 31.2% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 404.0 31.4% | 629.2 33.2% | 393.8 23.3% | 456.4 23.5% | 412.0 21.4% | 572.1 25.8% | 653.1 25.8% | 712.4 25.8% | 772.5 25.8% | 832.8 25.8% | 892.6 25.8% | 950.9 25.8% | 1,007.1 25.8% | 1,060.1 25.8% | 1,109.3 25.8% | 1,153.6 25.8% |
% of revenue | 7.7 0.6% | 12.4 0.7% | 14.8 0.9% | 16.7 0.9% | 19.3 1.0% | 20.2 0.9% | 23.1 0.9% | 25.2 0.9% | 27.3 0.9% | 29.4 0.9% | 31.6 0.9% | 33.6 0.9% | 35.6 0.9% | 37.5 0.9% | 39.2 0.9% | 40.8 0.9% |
% of revenue | (30.6) (2.4%) | (18.3) (1.0%) | (13.5) (0.8%) | (20.9) (1.1%) | (12.0) (0.6%) | (18.5) (0.8%) | (21.1) (0.8%) | (23.0) (0.8%) | (24.9) (0.8%) | (26.9) (0.8%) | (28.8) (0.8%) | (30.7) (0.8%) | (32.5) (0.8%) | (34.2) (0.8%) | (35.8) (0.8%) | (37.2) (0.8%) |
% of revenue | 52.4 4.1% | (32.3) (1.7%) | (38.1) (2.3%) | (570.2) (29.4%) | 132.1 6.8% | (183.4) (8.3%) | (209.3) (8.3%) | (228.3) (8.3%) | (247.6) (8.3%) | (267.0) (8.3%) | (286.1) (8.3%) | (304.8) (8.3%) | (322.8) (8.3%) | (339.8) (8.3%) | (355.6) (8.3%) | (369.8) (8.3%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 433.4 33.7% | 591.0 31.1% | 357.1 21.1% | (118.0) (6.1%) | 551.4 28.6% | 390.5 17.6% | 445.7 17.6% | 486.2 17.6% | 527.2 17.6% | 568.4 17.6% | 609.2 17.6% | 649.0 17.6% | 687.3 17.6% | 723.6 17.6% | 757.1 17.6% | 787.4 17.6% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 32.6% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.43 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 121.7 | 389.6 | 388.5 | 385.2 | 379.7 | 372.0 | 362.3 | 350.8 | 337.6 | 323.0 |
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UI DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
3,410.5M
35.3%
Terminal Value (TV)
14.6B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
6,240.5M
64.7%
9,651.0M
Total Debt
757.3M
9,020.1M
Shares outstanding
61.5M
FX rate
1.0
146.6
55.5% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
UI DCF Financials
Revenue
$1,928.5M -> $4,303.9M
8.4% CAGR
Operating Income
$499.0M -> $1,343.4M
10.4% CAGR
FCFF
$551.4M -> $757.1M
3.2% CAGR
UI DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
8.0%
$172.0
$186.0
$187.0
$187.0
$187.0
8.5%
$155.0
$165.0
$179.0
$182.0
$182.0
9.4%
$131.0
$138.0
$147.0
$157.0
$170.0
9.5%
$128.0
$135.0
$143.0
$153.0
$165.0
10.0%
$118.0
$123.0
$130.0
$138.0
$147.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
8.0%
(48.0%)
(44.0%)
(43.0%)
(43.0%)
(43.0%)
8.5%
(53.0%)
(50.0%)
(46.0%)
(45.0%)
(45.0%)
9.4%
(60.0%)
(58.0%)
(55.0%)
(52.0%)
(48.0%)
9.5%
(61.0%)
(59.0%)
(57.0%)
(54.0%)
(50.0%)
10.0%
(64.0%)
(63.0%)
(61.0%)
(58.0%)
(55.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for UI
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Intrinsic Value
Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Ubiquiti Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Ubiquiti Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $146.6. This suggests it may be overvalued by (55.5%) compared to its current price of around $329.8, using a WACC of 9.4% and growth rates of 4.0%.
What is Ubiquiti Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Ubiquiti Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.4%.
What is Ubiquiti Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Ubiquiti Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $9,651.0M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.