Last Price$290.5(2.5%)
Market Cap$41.5B
DCF value
$249.9
Overvalued (DCF value)
(14.0%)
Discount Rate
7.8%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Great
VRSK DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 2,784.6 6.8% | 2,998.6 7.7% | 2,497.0 (16.7%) | 2,681.4 7.4% | 735.6 (72.6%) | 3,068.7 317.2% | 3,289.0 7.2% | 3,536.0 7.5% | 3,857.0 9.1% | 4,168.2 8.1% | 4,462.3 7.1% | 4,732.1 6.0% | 4,970.3 5.0% | 5,170.2 4.0% | 5,325.9 3.0% | 5,432.4 2.0% |
% margin | 1,038.1 37.3% | 1,000.5 33.4% | 1,406.5 56.3% | 1,131.7 42.2% | 316.3 43.0% | 1,634.9 53.3% | 1,752.3 53.3% | 1,883.9 53.3% | 2,054.9 53.3% | 2,220.7 53.3% | 2,377.4 53.3% | 2,521.2 53.3% | 2,648.1 53.3% | 2,754.6 53.3% | 2,837.5 53.3% | 2,894.3 53.3% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 824.3 29.6% | 761.5 25.4% | 1,161.1 46.5% | 846.6 31.6% | 316.3 43.0% | 1,634.9 53.3% | 1,752.3 53.3% | 1,883.9 53.3% | 2,054.9 53.3% | 2,220.7 53.3% | 2,377.4 53.3% | 2,521.2 53.3% | 2,648.1 53.3% | 2,754.6 53.3% | 2,837.5 53.3% | 2,894.3 53.3% |
% of revenue | 358.1 12.9% | 250.2 8.3% | 238.6 9.6% | 281.4 10.5% | 305.9 41.6% | 630.5 20.5% | 675.7 20.5% | 726.5 20.5% | 792.4 20.5% | 856.4 20.5% | 916.8 20.5% | 972.2 20.5% | 1,021.1 20.5% | 1,062.2 20.5% | 1,094.2 20.5% | 1,116.1 20.5% |
% of revenue | (246.8) (8.9%) | (268.4) (9.0%) | (274.7) (11.0%) | (230.0) (8.6%) | (223.9) (30.4%) | (511.6) (16.7%) | (548.3) (16.7%) | (589.5) (16.7%) | (643.1) (16.7%) | (694.9) (16.7%) | (744.0) (16.7%) | (788.9) (16.7%) | (828.7) (16.7%) | (862.0) (16.7%) | (887.9) (16.7%) | (905.7) (16.7%) |
% of revenue | (77.4) (2.8%) | (153.2) (5.1%) | (23.5) (0.9%) | (73.4) (2.7%) | (83.2) (11.3%) | (153.3) (5.0%) | (164.3) (5.0%) | (176.7) (5.0%) | (192.7) (5.0%) | (208.3) (5.0%) | (223.0) (5.0%) | (236.4) (5.0%) | (248.3) (5.0%) | (258.3) (5.0%) | (266.1) (5.0%) | (271.4) (5.0%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 858.2 30.8% | 590.1 19.7% | 1,101.5 44.1% | 824.6 30.8% | 315.1 42.8% | 1,600.4 52.2% | 1,715.3 52.2% | 1,844.2 52.2% | 2,011.6 52.2% | 2,173.9 52.2% | 2,327.3 52.2% | 2,468.0 52.2% | 2,592.2 52.2% | 2,696.5 52.2% | 2,777.7 52.2% | 2,833.3 52.2% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.49 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 1,245.8 | 1,532.5 | 1,528.3 | 1,546.4 | 1,550.2 | 1,539.4 | 1,514.3 | 1,475.4 | 1,423.6 | 1,360.3 |
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VRSK DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
14.7B
38.1%
Terminal Value (TV)
48.8B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
23.9B
61.9%
Total Debt
3,245.8M
35.7B
Shares outstanding
142.7M
FX rate
1.0
249.9
14% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
VRSK DCF Financials
Revenue
$735.6M -> $5,325.9M
21.9% CAGR
Operating Income
$316.3M -> $2,837.5M
24.5% CAGR
FCFF
$315.1M -> $2,777.7M
24.3% CAGR
VRSK DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
$260.0
$276.0
$295.0
$318.0
$336.0
7.5%
$238.0
$250.0
$265.0
$284.0
$306.0
7.8%
$225.0
$237.0
$250.0
$266.0
$285.0
8.5%
$201.0
$210.0
$220.0
$232.0
$245.0
9.0%
$186.0
$194.0
$202.0
$212.0
$223.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
(11.0%)
(5.0%)
2.0%
9.0%
16.0%
7.5%
(18.0%)
(14.0%)
(9.0%)
(2.0%)
5.0%
7.8%
(23.0%)
(18.0%)
(14.0%)
(8.0%)
(2.0%)
8.5%
(31.0%)
(28.0%)
(24.0%)
(20.0%)
(16.0%)
9.0%
(36.0%)
(33.0%)
(30.0%)
(27.0%)
(23.0%)
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FAQ
What is Verisk Analytics, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Verisk Analytics, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $249.9. This suggests it may be overvalued by (14.0%) compared to its current price of around $290.5, using a WACC of 7.8% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Verisk Analytics, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Verisk Analytics, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.8%.
What is Verisk Analytics, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Verisk Analytics, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $38.6B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.