AEIS
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS)
Last Price$107.4(6.7%)
Market Cap$4,204.4M
DCF value
$87.6
Overvalued (DCF value)
(18.5%)
Discount Rate
9.5%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

AEIS DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
1,415.8
79.5%
1,456.0
2.8%
1,845.4
26.8%
1,655.8
(10.3%)
1,482.0
(10.5%)
1,633.7
10.2%
1,787.2
9.4%
1,872.0
4.7%
1,954.4
4.4%
2,033.8
4.1%
2,109.4
3.7%
2,180.6
3.4%
2,246.6
3.0%
2,307.0
2.7%
2,361.1
2.3%
2,408.3
2.0%
176.0
12.4%
151.7
10.4%
233.1
12.6%
113.7
6.9%
36.6
2.5%
174.4
10.7%
190.8
10.7%
199.9
10.7%
208.7
10.7%
217.1
10.7%
225.2
10.7%
232.8
10.7%
239.9
10.7%
246.3
10.7%
252.1
10.7%
257.1
10.7%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
150.4
10.6%
137.4
9.4%
194.7
10.5%
121.4
7.3%
39.4
2.7%
187.5
11.5%
205.1
11.5%
214.8
11.5%
224.3
11.5%
233.4
11.5%
242.1
11.5%
250.3
11.5%
257.8
11.5%
264.8
11.5%
271.0
11.5%
276.4
11.5%
% of revenue
47.8
3.4%
52.9
3.6%
60.3
3.3%
66.5
4.0%
68.5
4.6%
64.8
4.0%
70.9
4.0%
74.3
4.0%
77.6
4.0%
80.7
4.0%
83.7
4.0%
86.5
4.0%
89.1
4.0%
91.5
4.0%
93.7
4.0%
95.6
4.0%
% of revenue
(36.5)
(2.6%)
(31.9)
(2.2%)
(58.9)
(3.2%)
(61.0)
(3.7%)
(56.8)
(3.8%)
(58.3)
(3.6%)
(63.8)
(3.6%)
(66.8)
(3.6%)
(69.8)
(3.6%)
(72.6)
(3.6%)
(75.3)
(3.6%)
(77.8)
(3.6%)
(80.2)
(3.6%)
(82.3)
(3.6%)
(84.3)
(3.6%)
(86.0)
(3.6%)
5.6
0.4%
(64.6)
(4.4%)
(88.6)
(4.8%)
18.1
1.1%
0.0
0.0%
(20.2)
(1.2%)
(22.1)
(1.2%)
(23.1)
(1.2%)
(24.1)
(1.2%)
(25.1)
(1.2%)
(26.1)
(1.2%)
(26.9)
(1.2%)
(27.8)
(1.2%)
(28.5)
(1.2%)
(29.2)
(1.2%)
(29.7)
(1.2%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
167.3
11.8%
93.8
6.4%
107.5
5.8%
145.1
8.8%
51.0
3.4%
173.8
10.6%
190.2
10.6%
199.2
10.6%
208.0
10.6%
216.4
10.6%
224.5
10.6%
232.0
10.6%
239.1
10.6%
245.5
10.6%
251.2
10.6%
256.3
10.6%
% of FCFF used in calculation
83.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.87
0.80
0.73
0.66
0.61
0.55
0.51
0.46
0.42
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
137.9
165.9
158.6
151.2
143.7
136.0
128.4
120.8
113.2
105.8

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AEIS DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
1,361.5M
48.7%
Terminal Value (TV)
3,402.0M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
1,432.4M
51.3%
Total Debt
89.2M
3,426.8M
Shares outstanding
39.1M
FX rate
1.0
18.5% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

AEIS DCF Financials

Revenue
$1,482.0M -> $2,361.1M 4.8% CAGR
Operating Income
$36.6M -> $252.1M 21.3% CAGR
FCFF
$51.0M -> $251.2M 17.3% CAGR

AEIS DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
9.0%
$88.0
$90.0
$93.0
$96.0
$100.0
9.5%
$84.0
$86.0
$88.0
$91.0
$94.0
9.5%
$83.0
$85.0
$88.0
$90.0
$93.0
10.5%
$76.0
$78.0
$79.0
$81.0
$83.0
11.0%
$73.0
$74.0
$76.0
$77.0
$79.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
9.0%
(18.0%)
(16.0%)
(13.0%)
(11.0%)
(7.0%)
9.5%
(22.0%)
(20.0%)
(18.0%)
(15.0%)
(13.0%)
9.5%
(23.0%)
(21.0%)
(18.0%)
(16.0%)
(13.0%)
10.5%
(29.0%)
(27.0%)
(26.0%)
(25.0%)
(23.0%)
11.0%
(32.0%)
(31.0%)
(29.0%)
(28.0%)
(26.0%)

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FAQ

What is Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $87.6. This suggests it may be overvalued by (18.5%) compared to its current price of around $107.4, using a WACC of 9.5% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.5%.

What is Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $2,793.9M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.