ALG DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 1,163.5 4.0% | 1,334.2 14.7% | 1,513.6 13.4% | 1,689.7 11.6% | 1,628.5 (3.6%) | 1,652.0 1.4% | 1,720.4 4.1% | 1,787.7 3.9% | 1,853.2 3.7% | 1,916.8 3.4% | 1,978.0 3.2% | 2,036.4 3.0% | 2,091.7 2.7% | 2,143.5 2.5% | 2,191.5 2.2% | 2,235.3 2.0% |
% margin | 93.2 8.0% | 116.9 8.8% | 148.6 9.8% | 198.0 11.7% | 164.8 10.1% | 157.6 9.5% | 164.1 9.5% | 170.5 9.5% | 176.8 9.5% | 182.9 9.5% | 188.7 9.5% | 194.3 9.5% | 199.5 9.5% | 204.5 9.5% | 209.1 9.5% | 213.3 9.5% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 67.5 5.8% | 85.7 6.4% | 112.8 7.5% | 153.9 9.1% | 127.7 7.8% | 122.1 7.4% | 127.2 7.4% | 132.1 7.4% | 137.0 7.4% | 141.7 7.4% | 146.2 7.4% | 150.5 7.4% | 154.6 7.4% | 158.4 7.4% | 162.0 7.4% | 165.2 7.4% |
% of revenue | 43.8 3.8% | 44.5 3.3% | 46.7 3.1% | 48.0 2.8% | 53.1 3.3% | 50.6 3.1% | 52.7 3.1% | 54.7 3.1% | 56.7 3.1% | 58.7 3.1% | 60.5 3.1% | 62.3 3.1% | 64.0 3.1% | 65.6 3.1% | 67.1 3.1% | 68.4 3.1% |
% of revenue | (17.9) (1.5%) | (25.3) (1.9%) | (31.3) (2.1%) | (37.7) (2.2%) | (25.0) (1.5%) | (32.1) (1.9%) | (33.5) (1.9%) | (34.8) (1.9%) | (36.1) (1.9%) | (37.3) (1.9%) | (38.5) (1.9%) | (39.6) (1.9%) | (40.7) (1.9%) | (41.7) (1.9%) | (42.6) (1.9%) | (43.5) (1.9%) |
% of revenue | 80.6 6.9% | (77.3) (5.8%) | (138.2) (9.1%) | (50.5) (3.0%) | 33.4 2.1% | (55.4) (3.4%) | (57.7) (3.4%) | (60.0) (3.4%) | (62.2) (3.4%) | (64.3) (3.4%) | (66.4) (3.4%) | (68.3) (3.4%) | (70.2) (3.4%) | (71.9) (3.4%) | (73.5) (3.4%) | (75.0) (3.4%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 174.1 15.0% | 27.6 2.1% | (10.1) (0.7%) | 113.7 6.7% | 189.2 11.6% | 85.1 5.2% | 88.6 5.2% | 92.1 5.2% | 95.5 5.2% | 98.7 5.2% | 101.9 5.2% | 104.9 5.2% | 107.8 5.2% | 110.4 5.2% | 112.9 5.2% | 115.1 5.2% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 81.9% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.43 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 66.7 | 77.5 | 73.7 | 69.9 | 66.1 | 62.4 | 58.7 | 55.2 | 51.7 | 48.4 |
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FAQ
What is Alamo Group Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 07, 2025, Alamo Group Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $106.8. This suggests it may be overvalued by (41.8%) compared to its current price of around $183.7, using a WACC of 9.3% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Alamo Group Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 07, 2025, Alamo Group Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.3%.
What is Alamo Group Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 07, 2025, Alamo Group Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,302.6M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.