ALGN DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 2,406.8 22.4% | 2,471.9 2.7% | 3,952.6 59.9% | 3,734.6 (5.5%) | 3,862.3 3.4% | 4,002.1 3.6% | 4,242.6 6.0% | 4,579.8 7.9% | 4,928.6 7.6% | 5,271.4 7.0% | 5,603.4 6.3% | 5,919.3 5.6% | 6,213.9 5.0% | 6,482.3 4.3% | 6,719.5 3.7% | 6,921.1 3.0% |
% margin | 407.5 16.9% | 293.6 11.9% | 976.4 24.7% | 642.6 17.2% | 643.3 16.7% | 709.7 17.7% | 752.3 17.7% | 812.1 17.7% | 874.0 17.7% | 934.8 17.7% | 993.6 17.7% | 1,049.7 17.7% | 1,101.9 17.7% | 1,149.5 17.7% | 1,191.6 17.7% | 1,227.3 17.7% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 326.1 13.5% | 1,376.1 55.7% | 744.6 18.8% | 387.9 10.4% | 446.5 11.6% | 492.6 12.3% | 522.2 12.3% | 563.7 12.3% | 606.6 12.3% | 648.8 12.3% | 689.7 12.3% | 728.6 12.3% | 764.8 12.3% | 797.9 12.3% | 827.1 12.3% | 851.9 12.3% |
% of revenue | 103.4 4.3% | 116.0 4.7% | 135.5 3.4% | 156.3 4.2% | 142.4 3.7% | 150.8 3.8% | 159.8 3.8% | 172.5 3.8% | 185.7 3.8% | 198.6 3.8% | 211.1 3.8% | 223.0 3.8% | 234.1 3.8% | 244.2 3.8% | 253.1 3.8% | 260.7 3.8% |
% of revenue | (149.7) (6.2%) | (154.9) (6.3%) | (401.1) (10.1%) | (291.9) (7.8%) | (177.7) (4.6%) | (301.0) (7.5%) | (319.1) (7.5%) | (344.5) (7.5%) | (370.7) (7.5%) | (396.5) (7.5%) | (421.5) (7.5%) | (445.2) (7.5%) | (467.4) (7.5%) | (487.6) (7.5%) | (505.4) (7.5%) | (520.6) (7.5%) |
% of revenue | 75.2 3.1% | 129.7 5.2% | 154.2 3.9% | (84.3) (2.3%) | (7.9) (0.2%) | 19.2 0.5% | 20.4 0.5% | 22.0 0.5% | 23.7 0.5% | 25.3 0.5% | 26.9 0.5% | 28.4 0.5% | 29.8 0.5% | 31.1 0.5% | 32.3 0.5% | 33.2 0.5% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 355.0 14.7% | 1,466.8 59.3% | 633.2 16.0% | 168.0 4.5% | 403.3 10.4% | 361.5 9.0% | 383.3 9.0% | 413.7 9.0% | 445.2 9.0% | 476.2 9.0% | 506.2 9.0% | 534.7 9.0% | 561.3 9.0% | 585.6 9.0% | 607.0 9.0% | 625.2 9.0% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.63 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.46 | 0.41 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 302.0 | 353.8 | 343.1 | 330.6 | 316.6 | 301.4 | 285.1 | 267.9 | 250.2 |
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FAQ
What is Align Technology, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Align Technology, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $88.0. This suggests it may be overvalued by (49.7%) compared to its current price of around $175.1, using a WACC of 11.0% and growth rates of 3.0%.
What is Align Technology, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Align Technology, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 11.0%.
What is Align Technology, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Align Technology, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $5,977.0M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.