ALHC
Alignment Healthcare, Inc. (ALHC)
Last Price$15.5(1.1%)
Market Cap$3,104.9M
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
11.0%
Long-Term Growth Rate
3.0%
Stock quality
5/10
Good

ALHC DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 EstimateDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 Terminal
% growth
959.2
26.7%
1,167.8
21.7%
1,434.2
22.8%
1,823.6
27.2%
2,677.3
46.8%
3,481.2
30.0%
4,287.5
23.2%
5,170.5
20.6%
6,242.1
20.7%
7,351.4
17.8%
8,440.7
14.8%
9,442.0
11.9%
10,283.1
8.9%
10,895.4
6.0%
11,222.2
3.0%
(6.0)
(0.6%)
(178.1)
(15.2%)
(128.6)
(9.0%)
(127.8)
(7.0%)
(192.2)
(7.2%)
(249.9)
(7.2%)
(307.8)
(7.2%)
(371.2)
(7.2%)
(448.1)
(7.2%)
(527.7)
(7.2%)
(605.9)
(7.2%)
(677.8)
(7.2%)
(738.2)
(7.2%)
(782.1)
(7.2%)
(805.6)
(7.2%)
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
(10.2)
(1.1%)
(194.2)
(16.6%)
(128.9)
(9.0%)
(127.8)
(7.0%)
(192.2)
(7.2%)
(249.9)
(7.2%)
(307.7)
(7.2%)
(371.1)
(7.2%)
(448.0)
(7.2%)
(527.6)
(7.2%)
(605.8)
(7.2%)
(677.7)
(7.2%)
(738.1)
(7.2%)
(782.0)
(7.2%)
(805.5)
(7.2%)
% of revenue
15.5
1.6%
16.0
1.4%
17.5
1.2%
21.7
1.2%
33.7
1.3%
43.9
1.3%
54.0
1.3%
65.2
1.3%
78.7
1.3%
92.6
1.3%
106.4
1.3%
119.0
1.3%
129.6
1.3%
137.3
1.3%
141.4
1.3%
% of revenue
(15.7)
(1.6%)
(18.4)
(1.6%)
(23.8)
(1.7%)
(36.0)
(2.0%)
(46.4)
(1.7%)
(60.4)
(1.7%)
(74.4)
(1.7%)
(89.7)
(1.7%)
(108.3)
(1.7%)
(127.5)
(1.7%)
(146.4)
(1.7%)
(163.8)
(1.7%)
(178.4)
(1.7%)
(189.0)
(1.7%)
(194.7)
(1.7%)
3.3
0.3%
(19.4)
(1.7%)
8.6
0.6%
2.0
0.1%
(8.5)
(0.3%)
(11.1)
(0.3%)
(13.6)
(0.3%)
(16.4)
(0.3%)
(19.9)
(0.3%)
(23.4)
(0.3%)
(26.8)
(0.3%)
(30.0)
(0.3%)
(32.7)
(0.3%)
(34.6)
(0.3%)
(35.7)
(0.3%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
(7.2)
(0.8%)
(215.9)
(18.5%)
(126.7)
(8.8%)
(140.1)
(7.7%)
(213.4)
(8.0%)
(277.5)
(8.0%)
(341.7)
(8.0%)
(412.1)
(8.0%)
(497.5)
(8.0%)
(585.9)
(8.0%)
(672.7)
(8.0%)
(752.5)
(8.0%)
(819.6)
(8.0%)
(868.4)
(8.0%)
(894.4)
(8.0%)
% of FCFF used in calculation
100.0%
83.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
Discount factor
0.95
0.86
0.77
0.69
0.63
0.56
0.51
0.46
0.41
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)

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ALHC DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
170.8M
Shares outstanding
200.1M
FX rate
N/A
100% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

ALHC DCF Financials

Revenue
$1,823.6M -> $10.9B 19.6% CAGR
Operating Income
($127.8M) -> ($782.1M) 19.9% CAGR
FCFF
($140.1M) -> ($868.4M) 20.0% CAGR

ALHC DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
11.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
11.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
12.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
11.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
11.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
12.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)

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FAQ

What is Alignment Healthcare, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Alignment Healthcare, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $15.5, using a WACC of 11.0% and growth rates of 3.0%.

What is Alignment Healthcare, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Alignment Healthcare, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 11.0%.

What is Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Alignment Healthcare, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.