APG
APi Group Corporation (APG)
Last Price$37.4(4.8%)
Market Cap$10.6B
DCF value
$7.5
Overvalued (DCF value)
(79.9%)
Discount Rate
11.3%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

APG DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
3,587.0
264.2%
3,940.0
9.8%
6,558.0
66.4%
6,928.0
5.6%
7,018.0
1.3%
7,461.7
6.3%
7,821.2
4.8%
7,943.1
1.6%
8,071.4
1.6%
8,206.1
1.7%
8,347.6
1.7%
8,496.2
1.8%
8,652.0
1.8%
8,815.5
1.9%
8,987.0
1.9%
9,166.7
2.0%
31.0
0.9%
136.0
3.5%
162.0
2.5%
359.0
5.2%
484.0
6.9%
94.8
1.3%
99.4
1.3%
101.0
1.3%
102.6
1.3%
104.3
1.3%
106.1
1.3%
108.0
1.3%
110.0
1.3%
112.0
1.3%
114.2
1.3%
116.5
1.3%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
25.8
0.7%
80.9
2.1%
127.2
1.9%
236.8
3.4%
366.7
5.2%
71.8
1.0%
75.3
1.0%
76.5
1.0%
77.7
1.0%
79.0
1.0%
80.4
1.0%
81.8
1.0%
83.3
1.0%
84.9
1.0%
86.5
1.0%
88.3
1.0%
% of revenue
263.0
7.3%
202.0
5.1%
304.0
4.6%
303.0
4.4%
0.0
0.0%
224.1
3.0%
234.9
3.0%
238.5
3.0%
242.4
3.0%
246.4
3.0%
250.7
3.0%
255.1
3.0%
259.8
3.0%
264.7
3.0%
269.9
3.0%
275.3
3.0%
% of revenue
(38.0)
(1.1%)
(55.0)
(1.4%)
(79.0)
(1.2%)
(86.0)
(1.2%)
(84.0)
(1.2%)
(90.6)
(1.2%)
(95.0)
(1.2%)
(96.5)
(1.2%)
(98.0)
(1.2%)
(99.6)
(1.2%)
(101.4)
(1.2%)
(103.2)
(1.2%)
(105.1)
(1.2%)
(107.0)
(1.2%)
(109.1)
(1.2%)
(111.3)
(1.2%)
228.0
6.4%
(147.0)
(3.7%)
(111.0)
(1.7%)
(50.0)
(0.7%)
0.0
0.0%
(60.0)
(0.8%)
(62.9)
(0.8%)
(63.9)
(0.8%)
(65.0)
(0.8%)
(66.0)
(0.8%)
(67.2)
(0.8%)
(68.4)
(0.8%)
(69.6)
(0.8%)
(70.9)
(0.8%)
(72.3)
(0.8%)
(73.8)
(0.8%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
478.8
13.3%
80.9
2.1%
241.2
3.7%
403.8
5.8%
282.7
4.0%
145.3
1.9%
152.3
1.9%
154.6
1.9%
157.1
1.9%
159.8
1.9%
162.5
1.9%
165.4
1.9%
168.4
1.9%
171.6
1.9%
175.0
1.9%
178.5
1.9%
% of FCFF used in calculation
83.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.95
0.85
0.76
0.69
0.62
0.55
0.50
0.45
0.40
0.36
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
114.3
129.6
118.2
107.9
98.5
90.0
82.2
75.2
68.8
63.0

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APG DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
947.8M
58.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
1,909.2M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
687.7M
42.0%
Total Debt
4,000.0K
2,130.4M
Shares outstanding
283.2M
FX rate
1.0
79.9% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

APG DCF Financials

Revenue
$7,018.0M -> $8,987.0M 2.5% CAGR
Operating Income
$484.0M -> $114.2M (13.4%) CAGR
FCFF
$282.7M -> $175.0M (4.7%) CAGR

APG DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
10.0%
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
$9.0
$9.0
10.5%
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
11.3%
$7.0
$7.0
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
11.5%
$7.0
$7.0
$7.0
$8.0
$8.0
12.0%
$7.0
$7.0
$7.0
$7.0
$7.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
10.0%
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
(76.0%)
(76.0%)
10.5%
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
11.3%
(81.0%)
(81.0%)
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
11.5%
(81.0%)
(81.0%)
(81.0%)
(79.0%)
(79.0%)
12.0%
(81.0%)
(81.0%)
(81.0%)
(81.0%)
(81.0%)

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FAQ

What is APi Group Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, APi Group Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $7.5. This suggests it may be overvalued by (79.9%) compared to its current price of around $37.4, using a WACC of 11.3% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is APi Group Corporation WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, APi Group Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 11.3%.

What is APi Group Corporation Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, APi Group Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,635.4M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.