Last Price$17.58.2%
Market Cap$11.9B
DCF value
$11.7
Overvalued (DCF value)
(33.1%)
Discount Rate
10.2%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
5/10
Good
AVTR DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 6,393.6 5.8% | 7,386.1 15.5% | 7,512.4 1.7% | 6,967.2 (7.3%) | 6,783.6 (2.6%) | 6,889.4 1.6% | 7,250.0 5.2% | 7,567.1 4.4% | 7,784.5 2.9% | 7,998.5 2.7% | 8,208.4 2.6% | 8,413.6 2.5% | 8,613.3 2.4% | 8,807.1 2.2% | 8,994.2 2.1% | 9,174.1 2.0% |
% margin | 706.8 11.1% | 972.2 13.2% | 1,130.2 15.0% | 696.4 10.0% | 1,084.8 16.0% | 720.2 10.5% | 757.9 10.5% | 791.1 10.5% | 813.8 10.5% | 836.2 10.5% | 858.1 10.5% | 879.6 10.5% | 900.5 10.5% | 920.7 10.5% | 940.3 10.5% | 959.1 10.5% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 1,322.8 20.7% | 739.3 10.0% | 911.6 12.1% | 544.7 7.8% | 903.9 13.3% | 600.1 8.7% | 631.5 8.7% | 659.2 8.7% | 678.1 8.7% | 696.7 8.7% | 715.0 8.7% | 732.9 8.7% | 750.3 8.7% | 767.2 8.7% | 783.5 8.7% | 799.2 8.7% |
% of revenue | 395.4 6.2% | 379.2 5.1% | 405.5 5.4% | 402.3 5.8% | 0.0 0.0% | 256.6 3.7% | 270.0 3.7% | 281.8 3.7% | 289.9 3.7% | 297.9 3.7% | 305.7 3.7% | 313.3 3.7% | 320.8 3.7% | 328.0 3.7% | 334.9 3.7% | 341.6 3.7% |
% of revenue | (61.6) (1.0%) | (111.1) (1.5%) | (133.4) (1.8%) | (146.4) (2.1%) | (148.8) (2.2%) | (139.4) (2.0%) | (146.7) (2.0%) | (153.1) (2.0%) | (157.5) (2.0%) | (161.9) (2.0%) | (166.1) (2.0%) | (170.2) (2.0%) | (174.3) (2.0%) | (178.2) (2.0%) | (182.0) (2.0%) | (185.6) (2.0%) |
% of revenue | 19.5 0.3% | (114.5) (1.6%) | (321.3) (4.3%) | 16.6 0.2% | 0.0 0.0% | (92.7) (1.3%) | (97.6) (1.3%) | (101.9) (1.3%) | (104.8) (1.3%) | (107.7) (1.3%) | (110.5) (1.3%) | (113.3) (1.3%) | (116.0) (1.3%) | (118.6) (1.3%) | (121.1) (1.3%) | (123.5) (1.3%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 1,676.1 26.2% | 892.9 12.1% | 862.4 11.5% | 817.2 11.7% | 755.1 11.1% | 624.5 9.1% | 657.2 9.1% | 686.0 9.1% | 705.7 9.1% | 725.1 9.1% | 744.1 9.1% | 762.7 9.1% | 780.8 9.1% | 798.4 9.1% | 815.3 9.1% | 831.7 9.1% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 81.9% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.40 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 487.4 | 568.4 | 538.6 | 502.9 | 469.1 | 437.0 | 406.6 | 377.9 | 350.7 | 325.1 |
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AVTR DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 07, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
4,463.7M
52.3%
Terminal Value (TV)
10.2B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
4,063.4M
47.7%
8,527.1M
Total Debt
821.1M
7,967.9M
Shares outstanding
680.3M
FX rate
1.0
11.7
33.1% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
AVTR DCF Financials
Revenue
$6,783.6M -> $8,994.2M
2.9% CAGR
Operating Income
$1,084.8M -> $940.3M
(1.4%) CAGR
FCFF
$755.1M -> $815.3M
0.8% CAGR
AVTR DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
9.0%
$13.0
$13.0
$14.0
$14.0
$15.0
9.5%
$12.0
$12.0
$13.0
$13.0
$14.0
10.2%
$11.0
$11.0
$12.0
$12.0
$13.0
10.5%
$11.0
$11.0
$11.0
$12.0
$12.0
11.0%
$10.0
$10.0
$11.0
$11.0
$11.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
9.0%
(26.0%)
(26.0%)
(20.0%)
(20.0%)
(14.0%)
9.5%
(31.0%)
(31.0%)
(26.0%)
(26.0%)
(20.0%)
10.2%
(37.0%)
(37.0%)
(31.0%)
(31.0%)
(26.0%)
10.5%
(37.0%)
(37.0%)
(37.0%)
(31.0%)
(31.0%)
11.0%
(43.0%)
(43.0%)
(37.0%)
(37.0%)
(37.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for AVTR
Margin of safety
Peter Lynch charts
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Earnings growth model
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Avantor, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 07, 2025, Avantor, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $11.7. This suggests it may be overvalued by (33.1%) compared to its current price of around $17.5, using a WACC of 10.2% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Avantor, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 07, 2025, Avantor, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 10.2%.
What is Avantor, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 07, 2025, Avantor, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $8,527.1M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.