CASY DCF Model
| Apr'20 Actual | Apr'21 Actual | Apr'22 Actual | Apr'23 Actual | Apr'24 Actual | Apr'25 Estimate | Apr'26 Estimate | Apr'27 Estimate | Apr'28 Estimate | Apr'29 Estimate | Apr'30 Estimate | Apr'31 Estimate | Apr'32 Estimate | Apr'33 Estimate | Apr'34 Estimate | Apr'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 9,175.3 (1.9%) | 8,707.2 (5.1%) | 12,952.6 48.8% | 15,094.5 16.5% | 14,862.9 (1.5%) | 15,765.8 6.1% | 17,423.9 10.5% | 18,268.9 4.8% | 18,914.3 3.5% | 19,796.5 4.7% | 20,648.4 4.3% | 21,462.6 3.9% | 22,231.4 3.6% | 22,947.5 3.2% | 23,604.0 2.9% | 24,194.1 2.5% |
% margin | 395.5 4.3% | 454.0 5.2% | 497.7 3.8% | 639.3 4.2% | 1,072.4 7.2% | 709.8 4.5% | 784.4 4.5% | 822.5 4.5% | 851.5 4.5% | 891.2 4.5% | 929.6 4.5% | 966.3 4.5% | 1,000.9 4.5% | 1,033.1 4.5% | 1,062.7 4.5% | 1,089.2 4.5% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 305.1 3.3% | 348.8 4.0% | 383.7 3.0% | 486.1 3.2% | 820.4 5.5% | 543.0 3.4% | 600.1 3.4% | 629.2 3.4% | 651.4 3.4% | 681.8 3.4% | 711.2 3.4% | 739.2 3.4% | 765.7 3.4% | 790.3 3.4% | 813.0 3.4% | 833.3 3.4% |
% of revenue | 251.2 2.7% | 265.2 3.0% | 303.5 2.3% | 313.1 2.1% | 349.8 2.4% | 355.9 2.3% | 393.3 2.3% | 412.4 2.3% | 426.9 2.3% | 446.8 2.3% | 466.1 2.3% | 484.4 2.3% | 501.8 2.3% | 518.0 2.3% | 532.8 2.3% | 546.1 2.3% |
% of revenue | (439.0) (4.8%) | (441.3) (5.1%) | (326.5) (2.5%) | (476.6) (3.2%) | (522.0) (3.5%) | (483.0) (3.1%) | (533.7) (3.1%) | (559.6) (3.1%) | (579.4) (3.1%) | (606.4) (3.1%) | (632.5) (3.1%) | (657.5) (3.1%) | (681.0) (3.1%) | (703.0) (3.1%) | (723.1) (3.1%) | (741.1) (3.1%) |
% of revenue | (82.1) (0.9%) | 178.6 2.1% | 23.4 0.2% | 43.3 0.3% | (73.5) (0.5%) | (1.4) (0.0%) | (1.6) (0.0%) | (1.6) (0.0%) | (1.7) (0.0%) | (1.8) (0.0%) | (1.8) (0.0%) | (1.9) (0.0%) | (2.0) (0.0%) | (2.0) (0.0%) | (2.1) (0.0%) | (2.2) (0.0%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 35.1 0.4% | 351.3 4.0% | 384.2 3.0% | 366.0 2.4% | 574.7 3.9% | 414.5 2.6% | 458.1 2.6% | 480.3 2.6% | 497.3 2.6% | 520.5 2.6% | 542.9 2.6% | 564.3 2.6% | 584.5 2.6% | 603.3 2.6% | 620.6 2.6% | 636.1 2.6% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 10.1% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.90 | 0.85 | 0.79 | 0.74 | 0.69 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.53 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 40.6 | 414.2 | 406.1 | 393.2 | 384.8 | 375.3 | 364.8 | 353.3 | 341.0 | 328.0 |
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FAQ
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 24, 2025, Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $254.5. This suggests it may be overvalued by (38.3%) compared to its current price of around $412.5, using a WACC of 6.9% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 24, 2025, Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 6.9%.
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 24, 2025, Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $11.0B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.