CLW
Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW)
Last Price$23.7(0.3%)
Market Cap$392.7M
DCF value
$74.8
Undervalued (DCF value)
215.9%
Discount Rate
4.9%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
4/10
Good

CLW DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
1,868.6
6.1%
1,772.6
(5.1%)
2,080.1
17.3%
2,082.8
0.1%
1,383.6
(33.6%)
1,565.0
13.1%
1,554.0
(0.7%)
1,547.7
(0.4%)
1,546.2
(0.1%)
1,549.2
0.2%
1,556.9
0.5%
1,569.4
0.8%
1,586.6
1.1%
1,608.8
1.4%
1,636.2
1.7%
1,668.9
2.0%
158.1
8.5%
1.7
0.1%
113.9
5.5%
177.1
8.5%
(64.5)
(4.7%)
52.5
3.4%
52.2
3.4%
52.0
3.4%
51.9
3.4%
52.0
3.4%
52.3
3.4%
52.7
3.4%
53.3
3.4%
54.0
3.4%
54.9
3.4%
56.0
3.4%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
124.1
6.6%
1.3
0.1%
71.8
3.5%
132.4
6.4%
(47.2)
(3.4%)
38.5
2.5%
38.2
2.5%
38.0
2.5%
38.0
2.5%
38.1
2.5%
38.3
2.5%
38.6
2.5%
39.0
2.5%
39.5
2.5%
40.2
2.5%
41.0
2.5%
% of revenue
113.5
6.1%
105.1
5.9%
103.3
5.0%
98.6
4.7%
69.8
5.0%
76.9
4.9%
76.4
4.9%
76.1
4.9%
76.0
4.9%
76.1
4.9%
76.5
4.9%
77.1
4.9%
78.0
4.9%
79.1
4.9%
80.4
4.9%
82.0
4.9%
% of revenue
(39.6)
(2.1%)
(38.4)
(2.2%)
(33.5)
(1.6%)
(73.7)
(3.5%)
(116.6)
(8.4%)
(70.8)
(4.5%)
(70.3)
(4.5%)
(70.0)
(4.5%)
(70.0)
(4.5%)
(70.1)
(4.5%)
(70.5)
(4.5%)
(71.0)
(4.5%)
(71.8)
(4.5%)
(72.8)
(4.5%)
(74.0)
(4.5%)
(75.5)
(4.5%)
1.0
0.1%
(25.3)
(1.4%)
(16.4)
(0.8%)
(15.1)
(0.7%)
21.6
1.6%
0.2
0.0%
0.2
0.0%
0.2
0.0%
0.2
0.0%
0.2
0.0%
0.2
0.0%
0.2
0.0%
0.3
0.0%
0.3
0.0%
0.3
0.0%
0.3
0.0%
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
199.0
10.7%
42.7
2.4%
125.2
6.0%
142.2
6.8%
(72.4)
(5.2%)
44.8
2.9%
44.5
2.9%
44.3
2.9%
44.3
2.9%
44.4
2.9%
44.6
2.9%
44.9
2.9%
45.4
2.9%
46.1
2.9%
46.8
2.9%
47.8
2.9%
% of FCFF used in calculation
80.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.98
0.93
0.89
0.85
0.81
0.77
0.73
0.70
0.66
0.63
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
35.4
41.4
39.3
37.4
35.7
34.2
32.9
31.7
30.6
29.7

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CLW DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
348.3M
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
1,282.4M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
812.8M
70.0%
Total Debt
282.2K
1,240.4M
Shares outstanding
16.6M
FX rate
1.0
215.9% undervalued

Equity Value Bridge

CLW DCF Financials

Revenue
$1,383.6M -> $1,636.2M 1.7% CAGR
Operating Income
($64.5M) -> $54.9M N/A CAGR
FCFF
($72.4M) -> $46.8M N/A CAGR

CLW DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
4.0%
$78.0
$78.0
$78.0
$78.0
$78.0
4.5%
$76.0
$76.0
$76.0
$76.0
$76.0
4.9%
$72.0
$75.0
$75.0
$75.0
$75.0
5.5%
$64.0
$69.0
$73.0
$73.0
$73.0
6.0%
$58.0
$62.0
$66.0
$72.0
$72.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
4.0%
229.0%
229.0%
229.0%
229.0%
229.0%
4.5%
221.0%
221.0%
221.0%
221.0%
221.0%
4.9%
204.0%
217.0%
217.0%
217.0%
217.0%
5.5%
170.0%
191.0%
208.0%
208.0%
208.0%
6.0%
145.0%
162.0%
179.0%
204.0%
204.0%

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FAQ

What is Clearwater Paper Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Clearwater Paper Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $74.8. This suggests it may be undervalued by 215.9% compared to its current price of around $23.7, using a WACC of 4.9% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Clearwater Paper Corporation WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Clearwater Paper Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 4.9%.

What is Clearwater Paper Corporation Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Clearwater Paper Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,161.1M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.