CWST DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 774.6 4.2% | 889.2 14.8% | 1,085.1 22.0% | 1,264.5 16.5% | 1,557.3 23.1% | 1,788.8 14.9% | 1,912.9 6.9% | 2,039.2 6.6% | 2,162.0 6.0% | 2,279.8 5.4% | 2,391.0 4.9% | 2,493.8 4.3% | 2,586.7 3.7% | 2,668.1 3.1% | 2,736.8 2.6% | 2,791.6 2.0% |
% margin | 59.3 7.7% | 77.7 8.7% | 95.4 8.8% | 80.4 6.4% | 72.8 4.7% | 140.0 7.8% | 149.7 7.8% | 159.6 7.8% | 169.2 7.8% | 178.5 7.8% | 187.2 7.8% | 195.2 7.8% | 202.5 7.8% | 208.8 7.8% | 214.2 7.8% | 218.5 7.8% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 141.0 18.2% | 55.0 6.2% | 67.5 6.2% | 55.1 4.4% | 46.8 3.0% | 90.0 5.0% | 96.3 5.0% | 102.6 5.0% | 108.8 5.0% | 114.8 5.0% | 120.4 5.0% | 125.5 5.0% | 130.2 5.0% | 134.3 5.0% | 137.8 5.0% | 140.5 5.0% |
% of revenue | 97.9 12.6% | 124.7 14.0% | 148.2 13.7% | 170.7 13.5% | 234.9 15.1% | 251.9 14.1% | 269.3 14.1% | 287.1 14.1% | 304.4 14.1% | 321.0 14.1% | 336.6 14.1% | 351.1 14.1% | 364.2 14.1% | 375.7 14.1% | 385.3 14.1% | 393.0 14.1% |
% of revenue | (108.1) (14.0%) | (123.3) (13.9%) | (131.0) (12.1%) | (154.9) (12.3%) | (203.5) (13.1%) | (222.9) (12.5%) | (238.4) (12.5%) | (254.1) (12.5%) | (269.4) (12.5%) | (284.1) (12.5%) | (298.0) (12.5%) | (310.8) (12.5%) | (322.4) (12.5%) | (332.5) (12.5%) | (341.1) (12.5%) | (347.9) (12.5%) |
% of revenue | (25.2) (3.2%) | (13.1) (1.5%) | (11.3) (1.0%) | (61.2) (4.8%) | (25.1) (1.6%) | (44.6) (2.5%) | (47.7) (2.5%) | (50.9) (2.5%) | (54.0) (2.5%) | (56.9) (2.5%) | (59.7) (2.5%) | (62.2) (2.5%) | (64.6) (2.5%) | (66.6) (2.5%) | (68.3) (2.5%) | (69.7) (2.5%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 105.6 13.6% | 43.4 4.9% | 73.5 6.8% | 9.8 0.8% | 53.1 3.4% | 74.3 4.2% | 79.5 4.2% | 84.7 4.2% | 89.8 4.2% | 94.7 4.2% | 99.4 4.2% | 103.6 4.2% | 107.5 4.2% | 110.9 4.2% | 113.7 4.2% | 116.0 4.2% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.80 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.44 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 57.5 | 69.8 | 68.2 | 66.2 | 64.0 | 61.5 | 58.8 | 55.9 | 52.9 | 49.7 |
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FAQ
What is Casella Waste Systems, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Casella Waste Systems, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at ($821.3). This suggests it may be overvalued by (865.4%) compared to its current price of around $107.3, using a WACC of 9.1% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Casella Waste Systems, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Casella Waste Systems, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.1%.
What is Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Casella Waste Systems, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,319.4M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.