DECK DCF Model
| Mar'20 Actual | Mar'21 Actual | Mar'22 Actual | Mar'23 Actual | Mar'24 Actual | Mar'25 Estimate | Mar'26 Estimate | Mar'27 Estimate | Mar'28 Estimate | Mar'29 Estimate | Mar'30 Estimate | Mar'31 Estimate | Mar'32 Estimate | Mar'33 Estimate | Mar'34 Estimate | Mar'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 2,132.7 5.6% | 2,545.6 19.4% | 3,150.3 23.8% | 3,627.3 15.1% | 4,287.8 18.2% | 4,974.2 16.0% | 5,522.9 11.0% | 6,097.9 10.4% | 6,461.0 6.0% | 7,090.0 9.7% | 7,694.7 8.5% | 8,258.3 7.3% | 8,763.5 6.1% | 9,193.9 4.9% | 9,534.6 3.7% | 9,773.0 2.5% |
% margin | 338.1 15.9% | 504.2 19.8% | 564.7 17.9% | 652.8 18.0% | 927.5 21.6% | 950.0 19.1% | 1,054.8 19.1% | 1,164.6 19.1% | 1,234.0 19.1% | 1,354.1 19.1% | 1,469.6 19.1% | 1,577.3 19.1% | 1,673.7 19.1% | 1,756.0 19.1% | 1,821.0 19.1% | 1,866.6 19.1% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 273.9 12.8% | 384.6 15.1% | 452.0 14.3% | 506.5 14.0% | 719.7 16.8% | 737.1 14.8% | 818.4 14.8% | 903.6 14.8% | 957.5 14.8% | 1,050.7 14.8% | 1,140.3 14.8% | 1,223.8 14.8% | 1,298.7 14.8% | 1,362.4 14.8% | 1,412.9 14.8% | 1,448.3 14.8% |
% of revenue | 38.9 1.8% | 41.3 1.6% | 44.4 1.4% | 50.0 1.4% | 59.7 1.4% | 69.3 1.4% | 77.0 1.4% | 85.0 1.4% | 90.0 1.4% | 98.8 1.4% | 107.2 1.4% | 115.1 1.4% | 122.1 1.4% | 128.1 1.4% | 132.9 1.4% | 136.2 1.4% |
% of revenue | (32.5) (1.5%) | (32.2) (1.3%) | (51.0) (1.6%) | (81.0) (2.2%) | (89.4) (2.1%) | (98.4) (2.0%) | (109.3) (2.0%) | (120.7) (2.0%) | (127.9) (2.0%) | (140.3) (2.0%) | (152.3) (2.0%) | (163.4) (2.0%) | (173.4) (2.0%) | (182.0) (2.0%) | (188.7) (2.0%) | (193.4) (2.0%) |
% of revenue | (51.0) (2.4%) | 136.4 5.4% | (326.0) (10.3%) | (54.3) (1.5%) | 167.8 3.9% | (131.5) (2.6%) | (146.0) (2.6%) | (161.2) (2.6%) | (170.8) (2.6%) | (187.4) (2.6%) | (203.4) (2.6%) | (218.3) (2.6%) | (231.7) (2.6%) | (243.1) (2.6%) | (252.1) (2.6%) | (258.4) (2.6%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 229.4 10.8% | 530.1 20.8% | 119.4 3.8% | 421.2 11.6% | 857.8 20.0% | 576.5 11.6% | 640.1 11.6% | 706.7 11.6% | 748.8 11.6% | 821.7 11.6% | 891.8 11.6% | 957.1 11.6% | 1,015.6 11.6% | 1,065.5 11.6% | 1,105.0 11.6% | 1,132.6 11.6% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 5.5% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.80 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.43 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 30.2 | 560.7 | 566.7 | 549.7 | 552.2 | 548.7 | 539.1 | 523.7 | 503.0 | 477.6 |
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FAQ
What is Deckers Outdoor Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Deckers Outdoor Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $87.1. This suggests it may be overvalued by (27.7%) compared to its current price of around $120.5, using a WACC of 9.2% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Deckers Outdoor Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Deckers Outdoor Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.2%.
What is Deckers Outdoor Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Deckers Outdoor Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $12.1B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.