DEO DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Jun'20 ActualJun'21 ActualJun'22 ActualJun'23 ActualJun'24 ActualJun'25 EstimateJun'26 EstimateJun'27 EstimateJun'28 EstimateJun'29 EstimateJun'30 EstimateJun'31 EstimateJun'32 EstimateJun'33 EstimateJun'34 EstimateJun'35 Terminal
% growth
11,752.0
(8.7%)
12,733.0
8.3%
15,452.0
21.4%
17,113.0
10.7%
16,101.3
(5.9%)
20,013.2
24.3%
20,622.1
3.0%
21,530.1
4.4%
22,746.6
5.7%
24,214.8
6.5%
25,597.9
5.7%
26,870.0
5.0%
28,005.8
4.2%
28,981.7
3.5%
29,776.5
2.7%
30,372.0
2.0%
2,137.0
18.2%
3,731.0
29.3%
4,409.0
28.5%
4,632.0
27.1%
6,001.0
37.3%
6,103.2
30.5%
6,288.8
30.5%
6,565.8
30.5%
6,936.7
30.5%
7,384.5
30.5%
7,806.2
30.5%
8,194.2
30.5%
8,540.6
30.5%
8,838.2
30.5%
9,080.5
30.5%
9,262.2
30.5%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
1,520.9
12.9%
2,817.9
22.1%
3,354.7
21.7%
3,683.3
21.5%
4,063.8
25.2%
4,133.0
20.7%
4,258.7
20.7%
4,446.2
20.7%
4,697.4
20.7%
5,000.6
20.7%
5,286.2
20.7%
5,548.9
20.7%
5,783.5
20.7%
5,985.0
20.7%
6,149.2
20.7%
6,272.2
20.7%
% of revenue
480.0
4.1%
447.0
3.5%
489.0
3.2%
496.0
2.9%
537.8
3.3%
627.3
3.1%
646.4
3.1%
674.8
3.1%
713.0
3.1%
759.0
3.1%
802.3
3.1%
842.2
3.1%
877.8
3.1%
908.4
3.1%
933.3
3.1%
952.0
3.1%
% of revenue
(700.0)
(6.0%)
(626.0)
(4.9%)
(1,097.0)
(7.1%)
(1,180.0)
(6.9%)
(1,194.5)
(7.4%)
(1,428.5)
(7.1%)
(1,472.0)
(7.1%)
(1,536.8)
(7.1%)
(1,623.6)
(7.1%)
(1,728.4)
(7.1%)
(1,827.1)
(7.1%)
(1,917.9)
(7.1%)
(1,999.0)
(7.1%)
(2,068.7)
(7.1%)
(2,125.4)
(7.1%)
(2,167.9)
(7.1%)
(328.0)
(2.8%)
331.0
2.6%
(179.0)
(1.2%)
(1,175.0)
(6.9%)
(610.1)
(3.8%)
(788.1)
(3.9%)
(812.1)
(3.9%)
(847.8)
(3.9%)
(895.7)
(3.9%)
(953.5)
(3.9%)
(1,008.0)
(3.9%)
(1,058.1)
(3.9%)
(1,102.8)
(3.9%)
(1,141.3)
(3.9%)
(1,172.6)
(3.9%)
(1,196.0)
(3.9%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
972.9
8.3%
2,969.9
23.3%
2,567.7
16.6%
1,824.3
10.7%
2,797.0
17.4%
2,543.6
12.7%
2,621.0
12.7%
2,736.4
12.7%
2,891.0
12.7%
3,077.6
12.7%
3,253.4
12.7%
3,415.1
12.7%
3,559.5
12.7%
3,683.5
12.7%
3,784.5
12.7%
3,860.2
12.7%
% of FCFF used in calculation
Discount period
Discount factor
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)

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DEO DCF Value

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DEO DCF Financials

Revenue
£16.1B -> £29.8B 6.3% CAGR
Operating Income
£6,001.0M -> £9,080.5M 4.2% CAGR
FCFF
£2,797.0M -> £3,784.5M 3.1% CAGR

DEO DCF sensitivity

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