Last Price$243.0(1.4%)
Market Cap$58.8B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
7.7%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
FDX DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| May'20 Actual | May'21 Actual | May'22 Actual | May'23 Actual | May'24 Actual | May'25 Estimate | May'26 Estimate | May'27 Estimate | May'28 Estimate | May'29 Estimate | May'30 Estimate | May'31 Estimate | May'32 Estimate | May'33 Estimate | May'34 Estimate | May'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 69,217.0 (0.7%) | 83,959.0 21.3% | 93,512.0 11.4% | 90,155.0 (3.6%) | 87,693.0 (2.7%) | 87,700.9 0.0% | 91,325.6 4.1% | 94,393.5 3.4% | 100,393.5 6.4% | 104,281.1 3.9% | 107,993.8 3.6% | 111,501.7 3.2% | 114,775.6 2.9% | 117,787.5 2.6% | 120,510.8 2.3% | 122,921.0 2.0% |
% margin | 3,287.0 4.7% | 5,857.0 7.0% | 6,245.0 6.7% | 4,912.0 5.4% | 5,559.0 6.3% | 6,008.0 6.9% | 6,256.3 6.9% | 6,466.5 6.9% | 6,877.5 6.9% | 7,143.8 6.9% | 7,398.2 6.9% | 7,638.5 6.9% | 7,862.8 6.9% | 8,069.1 6.9% | 8,255.7 6.9% | 8,420.8 6.9% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 2,532.7 3.7% | 4,590.6 5.5% | 4,880.2 5.2% | 3,638.0 4.0% | 4,125.4 4.7% | 4,458.6 5.1% | 4,642.9 5.1% | 4,798.9 5.1% | 5,103.9 5.1% | 5,301.6 5.1% | 5,490.3 5.1% | 5,668.7 5.1% | 5,835.1 5.1% | 5,988.2 5.1% | 6,126.7 5.1% | 6,249.2 5.1% |
% of revenue | 3,615.0 5.2% | 3,793.0 4.5% | 3,970.0 4.2% | 4,176.0 4.6% | 4,287.0 4.9% | 4,024.3 4.6% | 4,190.7 4.6% | 4,331.4 4.6% | 4,606.8 4.6% | 4,785.2 4.6% | 4,955.5 4.6% | 5,116.5 4.6% | 5,266.7 4.6% | 5,404.9 4.6% | 5,529.9 4.6% | 5,640.5 4.6% |
% of revenue | (5,868.0) (8.5%) | (5,884.0) (7.0%) | (6,763.0) (7.2%) | (6,174.0) (6.8%) | (5,176.0) (5.9%) | (5,841.7) (6.7%) | (6,083.2) (6.7%) | (6,287.5) (6.7%) | (6,687.2) (6.7%) | (6,946.1) (6.7%) | (7,193.4) (6.7%) | (7,427.1) (6.7%) | (7,645.1) (6.7%) | (7,845.8) (6.7%) | (8,027.2) (6.7%) | (8,187.7) (6.7%) |
% of revenue | (4,092.0) (5.9%) | (1,872.0) (2.2%) | (3,119.0) (3.3%) | (3,173.0) (3.5%) | (3,431.0) (3.9%) | (3,147.7) (3.6%) | (3,277.8) (3.6%) | (3,387.9) (3.6%) | (3,603.3) (3.6%) | (3,742.8) (3.6%) | (3,876.0) (3.6%) | (4,001.9) (3.6%) | (4,119.5) (3.6%) | (4,227.6) (3.6%) | (4,325.3) (3.6%) | (4,411.8) (3.6%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (3,812.3) (5.5%) | 627.6 0.7% | (1,031.8) (1.1%) | (1,533.0) (1.7%) | (194.6) (0.2%) | (506.4) (0.6%) | (527.4) (0.6%) | (545.1) (0.6%) | (579.7) (0.6%) | (602.2) (0.6%) | (623.6) (0.6%) | (643.9) (0.6%) | (662.8) (0.6%) | (680.2) (0.6%) | (695.9) (0.6%) | (709.8) (0.6%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 22.2% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.90 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 0.50 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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FDX DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
6,501.0M
Total Debt
39.8B
N/A
Shares outstanding
242.2M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
FDX DCF Financials
Revenue
$87.7B -> $120.5B
3.2% CAGR
Operating Income
$5,559.0M -> $8,255.7M
4.0% CAGR
FCFF
($194.6M) -> ($695.9M)
13.6% CAGR
FDX DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.7%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.7%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for FDX
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is FedEx Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, FedEx Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $243.0, using a WACC of 7.7% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is FedEx Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, FedEx Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.7%.
What is FedEx Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, FedEx Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.