GOGL DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 705.8 7.6% | 607.9 (13.9%) | 1,203.2 97.9% | 1,113.5 (7.5%) | 885.8 (20.4%) | 771.9 (12.9%) | 703.0 (8.9%) | 817.2 16.2% | 917.5 12.3% | 1,708.1 86.2% | 2,940.3 72.1% | 4,648.9 58.1% | 6,698.3 44.1% | 8,711.5 30.1% | 10,107.7 16.0% | 10,309.9 2.0% |
% margin | 100.7 14.3% | 19.8 3.3% | 513.6 42.7% | 435.1 39.1% | 188.6 21.3% | 164.5 21.3% | 149.8 21.3% | 174.1 21.3% | 195.5 21.3% | 363.9 21.3% | 626.5 21.3% | 990.6 21.3% | 1,427.2 21.3% | 1,856.2 21.3% | 2,153.7 21.3% | 2,196.8 21.3% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 100.0 14.2% | 19.8 3.3% | 513.2 42.7% | 434.7 39.0% | 187.7 21.2% | 163.7 21.2% | 149.1 21.2% | 173.3 21.2% | 194.6 21.2% | 362.2 21.2% | 623.5 21.2% | 985.8 21.2% | 1,420.4 21.2% | 1,847.3 21.2% | 2,143.4 21.2% | 2,186.2 21.2% |
% of revenue | 93.8 13.3% | 111.3 18.3% | 123.7 10.3% | 129.8 11.7% | 135.5 15.3% | 95.8 12.4% | 87.3 12.4% | 101.5 12.4% | 113.9 12.4% | 212.1 12.4% | 365.0 12.4% | 577.2 12.4% | 831.6 12.4% | 1,081.5 12.4% | 1,254.9 12.4% | 1,280.0 12.4% |
% of revenue | (44.1) (6.3%) | (25.3) (4.2%) | (445.0) (37.0%) | (61.0) (5.5%) | (477.5) (53.9%) | (248.0) (32.1%) | (225.9) (32.1%) | (262.5) (32.1%) | (294.8) (32.1%) | (548.7) (32.1%) | (944.6) (32.1%) | (1,493.5) (32.1%) | (2,151.9) (32.1%) | (2,798.7) (32.1%) | (3,247.2) (32.1%) | (3,312.2) (32.1%) |
% of revenue | (1.2) (0.2%) | 31.2 5.1% | (37.4) (3.1%) | 12.6 1.1% | 3.1 0.4% | (4.2) (0.5%) | (3.8) (0.5%) | (4.4) (0.5%) | (5.0) (0.5%) | (9.3) (0.5%) | (15.9) (0.5%) | (25.2) (0.5%) | (36.3) (0.5%) | (47.2) (0.5%) | (54.8) (0.5%) | (55.9) (0.5%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 148.5 21.0% | 137.0 22.5% | 154.5 12.8% | 516.1 46.4% | (151.2) (17.1%) | 7.3 1.0% | 6.7 1.0% | 7.8 1.0% | 8.7 1.0% | 16.3 1.0% | 28.0 1.0% | 44.2 1.0% | 63.8 1.0% | 82.9 1.0% | 96.2 1.0% | 98.1 1.0% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.58 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 5.2 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 13.0 | 20.9 | 31.0 | 41.9 | 51.1 | 55.6 |
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GOGL DCF Value
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FAQ
What is Golden Ocean Group Limited DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Golden Ocean Group Limited's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at ($2.9). This suggests it may be overvalued by (137.1%) compared to its current price of around $7.8, using a WACC of 6.7% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Golden Ocean Group Limited WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Golden Ocean Group Limited's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 6.7%.
What is Golden Ocean Group Limited Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Golden Ocean Group Limited's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $777.2M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.