GPK DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 6,559.9 6.5% | 7,156.0 9.1% | 9,440.0 31.9% | 9,428.0 (0.1%) | 8,807.0 (6.6%) | 8,932.7 1.4% | 9,192.4 2.9% | 9,931.2 8.0% | 10,248.0 3.2% | 10,564.8 3.1% | 10,881.0 3.0% | 11,195.9 2.9% | 11,508.9 2.8% | 11,819.3 2.7% | 12,126.5 2.6% | 12,429.6 2.5% |
% margin | 524.3 8.0% | 550.0 7.7% | 906.0 9.6% | 1,334.0 14.1% | 1,119.0 12.7% | 871.2 9.8% | 896.5 9.8% | 968.6 9.8% | 999.5 9.8% | 1,030.4 9.8% | 1,061.2 9.8% | 1,091.9 9.8% | 1,122.4 9.8% | 1,152.7 9.8% | 1,182.7 9.8% | 1,212.2 9.8% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 434.9 6.6% | 409.2 5.7% | 660.5 7.0% | 1,033.4 11.0% | 829.8 9.4% | 646.0 7.2% | 664.8 7.2% | 718.2 7.2% | 741.1 7.2% | 764.0 7.2% | 786.9 7.2% | 809.7 7.2% | 832.3 7.2% | 854.8 7.2% | 877.0 7.2% | 898.9 7.2% |
% of revenue | 385.6 5.9% | 489.0 6.8% | 691.0 7.3% | 556.0 5.9% | 0.0 0.0% | 393.6 4.4% | 405.0 4.4% | 437.5 4.4% | 451.5 4.4% | 465.5 4.4% | 479.4 4.4% | 493.3 4.4% | 507.1 4.4% | 520.7 4.4% | 534.3 4.4% | 547.6 4.4% |
% of revenue | (646.3) (9.9%) | (802.0) (11.2%) | (549.0) (5.8%) | (804.0) (8.5%) | 0.0 0.0% | (427.1) (4.8%) | (439.5) (4.8%) | (474.8) (4.8%) | (490.0) (4.8%) | (505.1) (4.8%) | (520.2) (4.8%) | (535.3) (4.8%) | (550.3) (4.8%) | (565.1) (4.8%) | (579.8) (4.8%) | (594.3) (4.8%) |
% of revenue | 1.5 0.0% | (229.0) (3.2%) | (218.0) (2.3%) | (308.0) (3.3%) | 0.0 0.0% | (166.0) (1.9%) | (170.9) (1.9%) | (184.6) (1.9%) | (190.5) (1.9%) | (196.4) (1.9%) | (202.2) (1.9%) | (208.1) (1.9%) | (213.9) (1.9%) | (219.7) (1.9%) | (225.4) (1.9%) | (231.0) (1.9%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 175.7 2.7% | (132.8) (1.9%) | 584.5 6.2% | 477.4 5.1% | 829.8 9.4% | 446.4 5.0% | 459.4 5.0% | 496.3 5.0% | 512.2 5.0% | 528.0 5.0% | 543.8 5.0% | 559.6 5.0% | 575.2 5.0% | 590.7 5.0% | 606.1 5.0% | 621.2 5.0% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.98 | 0.94 | 0.90 | 0.86 | 0.82 | 0.79 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.67 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 362.8 | 430.8 | 446.0 | 440.9 | 435.5 | 429.7 | 423.6 | 417.2 | 410.5 | 403.6 |
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FAQ
What is Graphic Packaging Holding Company DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Graphic Packaging Holding Company's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $29.3. This suggests it may be undervalued by 11.9% compared to its current price of around $26.2, using a WACC of 4.4% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Graphic Packaging Holding Company WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Graphic Packaging Holding Company's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 4.4%.
What is Graphic Packaging Holding Company Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Graphic Packaging Holding Company's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $14.0B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.