Value Sense
GPK

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)

Last Price$26.2(2.0%)
Market Cap$8,021.4M

GPK Rating

GPK Quality rating
5.9
How this score works?
GPK Quality rating performance

GPK Intrinsic Value

Key Highlights:
Relative Value vs Current Share Price
As of Mar 03, 2025 GPK Relative Value is $30.8, which is undervalued by 17.9%, compared to current share price of $26.2.
DCF Value vs Current Share Price
As of Mar 03, 2025 GPK DCF Value is $29.7, which is undervalued by 13.5%, compared to current share price of $26.2.
Methodology
Price per share, $
GPK
Intrinsic value$29.6
Undervalued by13.3%
Current share price
26.2
Relative value
30.8
DCF value
29.7

GPK Share Price History

1W (2.7%)
1M (3.9%)
6M (10.2%)
YTD 6.6%
1Y 4.0%
3Y 35.3%
5Y 103.7%
10Y 110.5%
Share Price
Intrinsic Value
Drawdown
Total Return
vs SP500
vs NASDAQ
Crunching data... Almost there!

GPK Stock Metrics

Key stats
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Valuation
Ratios
Per share
Per employee
Dividends & Yields
Base
Market Cap
$8,021.4M
Enterprise Value
$13.0B
LTM Revenue
$8,807.0M
LTM Free Cash Flow
($363.0M)
Shares Outstanding
307M
Employees
23K
Growth (CAGR)
Revenue 5Y
7.4%
Operating Income 5Y
16.5%
EPS 5Y
25.39%
Free Cash Flow 5Y
N/A
Forward Revenue 2Y
1.4%
Forward EPS 2Y
24.00%
Profitability
Gross margin
40.9%
EBIT margin
13.0%
Net income margin
7.5%
OCF margin
9.5%
FCF margin
(4.1%)
FCF / Net Income
(55.2%)
Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value
$29.6 (13.3% undervalued)
DCF Value
$29.3
Relative Value
$30.0
Peter Lynch fair value
$36.9
Ben Graham fair value
$57.7
Reverse DCF (implied FCF growth)
(100.0%)
EPV, % of EV
134.3%
Valuation (LTM)
EV / Revenue
1.5x
EV / EBIT
11.4x
P / FCF
(22.1x)
P / E
12.2x
P / BV
2.7x
PEG
0.5x
FCF Yield
(4.5%)
Return on Capital
ROE
21.8%
ROA
5.9%
ROIC
10.7%
ROCE
10.8%
ROE 5Y avg
18.4%
ROIC 5Y avg
8.2%
ROCE 5Y avg
8.2%
Financial Health
Cash & Short-term Investments
$157.0M
Net Debt
$5,027.0M
Net Debt / FCF
(13.8x)
EBIT / Interest
9.3x
Total Debt / Equity
172.1%
Dividends
Dividends per share (DPS)
$0.4
DPS 5Y CAGR
2.4%
Dividend Yield
1.5%
FCF Payout ratio
(33.6%)
Ex-dividend date
Dec 15, 2024
Earnings
Next earnings date
Apr 28, 2025
Last Revenue surprise
BEAT by 1.5%
Last EPS surprise
MISS by (6.3%)
Next EPS YoY growth
1.6%
Last 10 earnings
8 Beat & 2 Miss

GPK Stock Financials

GPK Income Statement Metrics

Annual
Quarterly
LTM

Revenue

$8,807.0M -6.6% YoY

Operating Income

$1,119.0M -16.1% YoY

Net Income

$658.0M -9.0% YoY

GPK Cash Flow Statement Metrics

Annual
Quarterly
LTM

Operating Cash Flow (OCF)

$840.0M -26.6% YoY

Capital Expenditure (CAPEX)

$0.0 +49.6% YoY

Free Cash Flow (FCF)

$840.0M N/A YoY

GPK Income Statement Overview

Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Dec'15
Dec'16
Dec'17
Dec'18
Dec'19
Dec'20
Dec'21
Dec'22
Dec'23
Dec'24
Revenue
$8,807.0M (6.6%) YoY
Gross profit
$1,962.0M (10.6%) YoY
22.3% margin
Cost of revenue
$6,845.0M (5.4%) YoY
Operating income
$1,119.0M (16.1%) YoY
12.7% margin
Other: $3,000.0K
Net interest: $230.0M
Operating expenses
$843.0M (2.0%) YoY
Pre-tax income
$886.0M (4.9%) YoY
10.1% margin
Net income
$658.0M (9.0%) YoY
7.5% margin
Income tax
$229.0M
25.8% tax rate
SG&A
$774.0M (1.9%) YoY
8.8% of revenue

GPK Balance Sheet Overview

Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Dec'15
Dec'16
Dec'17
Dec'18
Dec'19
Dec'20
Dec'21
Dec'22
Dec'23
Dec'24
Assets
Liabilities
Total assets
$11.1B
Current assets ($2,784.0M, 25.0% of total)
Cash & ST investments
$157.0M (1.4%)
Accounts receivables
$759.0M (6.8%)
Other current assets
$1,868.0M (16.8%)
Non-current assets ($8,360.0M, 75.0% of total)
Intangible assets
$667.0M (6.0%)
Other non-current assets
$2,435.0M (21.9%)
Financial position
Net Debt
$5,027.0M
$157.0M$5,184.0M
Cash & Short-term Investments
Total Debt
Quick ratio
0.5x
Net Debt to Free Cash Flow
6.0x
Debt to Equity ratio
172.1%

GPK Stock Ratios

Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Industry Median
5Y Historical Average
Benchmark
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Gross margin
Free Cash Flow margin
Net Debt to FCF
FCF to Interest
ROIC
Shareholder yield

GPK Earnings Surprises

Crunching data... Almost there!

GPK Dividends

GPK Dividend Yield

Crunching data... Almost there!

GPK Dividend Per Share

3Y
10Y
30Y
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
1Y Growth
1.7%
3Y CAGR
12.0%
5Y CAGR
2.4%
10Y CAGR
N/A

Competing with GPK

Overview
Ratings
Intrinsic Value
Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Health
Capital allocation
Momentum
Earnings
Dividends
Company name
Market Cap
Quality rating
Intrinsic value
1Y Return
Revenue
Free Cash Flow
Revenue growth
FCF margin
Gross margin
ROIC
Total Debt to Equity
GPK
$8,021.4M
5.9
$29.6
13.3% undervalued
4.0%
$8,807.0M
($363.0M)
(6.6%)
(4.1%)
40.9%
10.7%
172.1%
BALL
$166.0B
4.6
$3.4
93.4% overvalued
(18.4%)
$11.8B
($369.0M)
(15.9%)
(3.1%)
37.6%
4.9%
76.0%
IP
$19.7B
5.7
$242.4
338.2% undervalued
58.7%
$18.6B
$1,418.0M
(1.6%)
7.6%
25.3%
4.7%
71.6%
PKG
$19.0B
6.5
$149.9
28.4% overvalued
15.8%
$8,383.3M
$519.8M
7.4%
6.2%
21.3%
12.3%
62.9%
AMCR
$14.7B
5.9
$8.9
11.8% overvalued
14.6%
$6,945.0M
$850.5M
(50.5%)
12.2%
(56.8%)
9.4%
0.6%
WRK
$13.3B
4.7
$111.4
116.2% undervalued
86.8%
$19.1B
$164.2M
(7.6%)
0.9%
16.6%
2.3%
89.8%
CCK
$10.6B
6.2
$92.2
4.4% undervalued
17.7%
$11.8B
$643.0M
(1.6%)
5.4%
37.8%
12.9%
N/A
BERY
$8,352.9M
5.8
$72.4
0.8% undervalued
37.5%
$11.8B
$624.0M
(5.4%)
5.3%
34.3%
9.9%
13.3%
SLGN
$5,761.0M
6.0
$77.7
47.5% undervalued
23.3%
$5,854.7M
$459.1M
(2.2%)
7.8%
17.3%
10.3%
17.8%
REYN
$5,174.1M
6.1
$40.3
63.6% undervalued
(14.6%)
$3,673.0M
$369.0M
(2.2%)
10.0%
26.6%
12.2%
83.1%
SEE
$4,911.3M
5.8
$34.9
7.1% undervalued
(3.6%)
$5,392.6M
$507.8M
(1.8%)
9.4%
29.5%
10.9%
67.4%

FAQ

What is Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) stock rating?

As of today, Graphic Packaging Holding Company has a stock rating of 6 (out of 10), which is considered Good.

is Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) a good stock to buy?

As of today, Graphic Packaging Holding Company has a Good stock rating, which is 13.3% undervalued. According to Value Sense backtesting, stocks with similar profile tend to outperform the market by 3.2%.