GPS DCF Model
| Feb'20 Actual | Jan'21 Actual | Jan'22 Actual | Jan'23 Actual | Feb'24 Actual | Feb'25 Estimate | Feb'26 Estimate | Feb'27 Estimate | Feb'28 Estimate | Feb'29 Estimate | Feb'30 Estimate | Feb'31 Estimate | Feb'32 Estimate | Feb'33 Estimate | Feb'34 Estimate | Feb'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 16,383.0 (1.2%) | 13,800.0 (15.8%) | 16,670.0 20.8% | 15,616.0 (6.3%) | 14,889.0 (4.7%) | 14,910.0 0.1% | 15,187.4 1.9% | 15,474.5 1.9% | 15,778.9 2.0% | 16,101.2 2.0% | 16,442.4 2.1% | 16,803.3 2.2% | 17,185.0 2.3% | 17,588.5 2.3% | 18,014.8 2.4% | 18,465.1 2.5% |
% margin | 574.0 3.5% | (862.0) (6.2%) | 1,135.0 6.8% | (69.0) (0.4%) | 622.0 4.2% | 245.2 1.6% | 249.7 1.6% | 254.5 1.6% | 259.5 1.6% | 264.8 1.6% | 270.4 1.6% | 276.3 1.6% | 282.6 1.6% | 289.2 1.6% | 296.2 1.6% | 303.6 1.6% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 381.6 2.3% | (520.2) (3.8%) | 899.6 5.4% | (100.3) (0.6%) | 561.6 3.8% | 221.4 1.5% | 225.5 1.5% | 229.7 1.5% | 234.3 1.5% | 239.1 1.5% | 244.1 1.5% | 249.5 1.5% | 255.1 1.5% | 261.1 1.5% | 267.5 1.5% | 274.1 1.5% |
% of revenue | 557.0 3.4% | 507.0 3.7% | 504.0 3.0% | 540.0 3.5% | 522.0 3.5% | 496.4 3.3% | 505.6 3.3% | 515.2 3.3% | 525.3 3.3% | 536.0 3.3% | 547.4 3.3% | 559.4 3.3% | 572.1 3.3% | 585.5 3.3% | 599.7 3.3% | 614.7 3.3% |
% of revenue | (1,045.0) (6.4%) | (392.0) (2.8%) | (694.0) (4.2%) | (685.0) (4.4%) | (420.0) (2.8%) | (565.1) (3.8%) | (575.6) (3.8%) | (586.5) (3.8%) | (598.0) (3.8%) | (610.3) (3.8%) | (623.2) (3.8%) | (636.9) (3.8%) | (651.3) (3.8%) | (666.6) (3.8%) | (682.8) (3.8%) | (699.9) (3.8%) |
% of revenue | 4.0 0.0% | (45.0) (0.3%) | (492.0) (3.0%) | 188.0 1.2% | 500.0 3.4% | 80.1 0.5% | 81.5 0.5% | 83.1 0.5% | 84.7 0.5% | 86.4 0.5% | 88.3 0.5% | 90.2 0.5% | 92.3 0.5% | 94.4 0.5% | 96.7 0.5% | 99.1 0.5% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (102.4) (0.6%) | (450.2) (3.3%) | 217.6 1.3% | (57.3) (0.4%) | 1,163.6 7.8% | 232.7 1.6% | 237.0 1.6% | 241.5 1.6% | 246.2 1.6% | 251.3 1.6% | 256.6 1.6% | 262.2 1.6% | 268.2 1.6% | 274.5 1.6% | 281.1 1.6% | 288.1 1.6% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 37.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.56 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 85.3 | 216.3 | 207.3 | 198.9 | 190.9 | 183.4 | 176.4 | 169.7 | 163.4 | 157.5 |
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FAQ
What is The Gap, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Sep 18, 2024, The Gap, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $4.4. This suggests it may be overvalued by (78.1%) compared to its current price of around $20.2, using a WACC of 6.3% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is The Gap, Inc. WACC?
As of Sep 18, 2024, The Gap, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 6.3%.
What is The Gap, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Sep 18, 2024, The Gap, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $5,830.6M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.