INGR
Ingredion Incorporated (INGR)
Last Price$130.5(0.1%)
Market Cap$8,586.4M
DCF value
$144.8
Undervalued (DCF value)
11.0%
Discount Rate
6.1%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Great

INGR DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
5,987.0
(3.6%)
6,894.0
15.1%
7,946.0
15.3%
8,160.0
2.7%
7,430.0
(8.9%)
7,644.5
2.9%
7,823.0
2.3%
7,755.0
(0.9%)
7,715.4
(0.5%)
7,703.8
(0.2%)
7,719.7
0.2%
7,763.4
0.6%
7,835.1
0.9%
7,935.6
1.3%
8,065.9
1.6%
8,227.2
2.0%
582.0
9.7%
709.0
10.3%
762.0
9.6%
957.0
11.7%
883.0
11.9%
711.9
9.3%
728.5
9.3%
722.2
9.3%
718.5
9.3%
717.4
9.3%
718.9
9.3%
723.0
9.3%
729.7
9.3%
739.0
9.3%
751.2
9.3%
766.2
9.3%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
407.2
6.8%
357.4
5.2%
572.6
7.2%
742.6
9.1%
620.3
8.3%
500.1
6.5%
511.8
6.5%
507.3
6.5%
504.7
6.5%
504.0
6.5%
505.0
6.5%
507.9
6.5%
512.6
6.5%
519.1
6.5%
527.7
6.5%
538.2
6.5%
% of revenue
213.0
3.6%
221.0
3.2%
215.0
2.7%
219.0
2.7%
214.0
2.9%
210.7
2.8%
215.6
2.8%
213.8
2.8%
212.7
2.8%
212.4
2.8%
212.8
2.8%
214.0
2.8%
216.0
2.8%
218.8
2.8%
222.3
2.8%
226.8
2.8%
% of revenue
(333.0)
(5.6%)
(300.0)
(4.4%)
(300.0)
(3.8%)
(316.0)
(3.9%)
0.0
0.0%
(194.9)
(2.5%)
(199.4)
(2.5%)
(197.7)
(2.5%)
(196.7)
(2.5%)
(196.4)
(2.5%)
(196.8)
(2.5%)
(197.9)
(2.5%)
(199.7)
(2.5%)
(202.3)
(2.5%)
(205.6)
(2.5%)
(209.7)
(2.5%)
150.0
2.5%
(280.0)
(4.1%)
(664.0)
(8.4%)
62.0
0.8%
417.0
5.6%
(50.6)
(0.7%)
(51.7)
(0.7%)
(51.3)
(0.7%)
(51.0)
(0.7%)
(51.0)
(0.7%)
(51.1)
(0.7%)
(51.3)
(0.7%)
(51.8)
(0.7%)
(52.5)
(0.7%)
(53.3)
(0.7%)
(54.4)
(0.7%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
437.2
7.3%
(1.6)
(0.0%)
(176.4)
(2.2%)
707.6
8.7%
1,251.3
16.8%
465.4
6.1%
476.2
6.1%
472.1
6.1%
469.7
6.1%
469.0
6.1%
470.0
6.1%
472.6
6.1%
477.0
6.1%
483.1
6.1%
491.0
6.1%
500.9
6.1%
% of FCFF used in calculation
83.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.97
0.91
0.86
0.81
0.76
0.72
0.68
0.64
0.60
0.57
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
375.0
435.5
406.7
381.2
358.6
338.6
320.8
305.0
291.1
278.7

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INGR DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
3,491.3M
33.7%
Terminal Value (TV)
12.1B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
6,862.1M
66.3%
Total Debt
1,831.0M
9,530.4M
Shares outstanding
65.8M
FX rate
1.0
11% undervalued

Equity Value Bridge

INGR DCF Financials

Revenue
$7,430.0M -> $8,065.9M 0.8% CAGR
Operating Income
$883.0M -> $751.2M (1.6%) CAGR
FCFF
$1,251.3M -> $491.0M (8.9%) CAGR

INGR DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
5.0%
$163.0
$174.0
$174.0
$174.0
$174.0
5.5%
$144.0
$157.0
$169.0
$169.0
$169.0
6.1%
$125.0
$134.0
$145.0
$159.0
$164.0
6.5%
$116.0
$123.0
$133.0
$144.0
$159.0
7.0%
$105.0
$111.0
$119.0
$128.0
$139.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
5.0%
25.0%
33.0%
33.0%
33.0%
33.0%
5.5%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
6.1%
(4.0%)
3.0%
11.0%
22.0%
26.0%
6.5%
(11.0%)
(6.0%)
2.0%
10.0%
22.0%
7.0%
(20.0%)
(15.0%)
(9.0%)
(2.0%)
7.0%

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FAQ

What is Ingredion Incorporated DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Ingredion Incorporated's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $144.8. This suggests it may be undervalued by 11.0% compared to its current price of around $130.5, using a WACC of 6.1% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Ingredion Incorporated WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Ingredion Incorporated's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 6.1%.

What is Ingredion Incorporated Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Ingredion Incorporated's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $10.4B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.