Last Price$567.0(1.1%)
Market Cap$207.3B
DCF value
$47.1
Overvalued (DCF value)
(91.7%)
Discount Rate
10.5%
Long-Term Growth Rate
3.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Good
ISRG DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 4,358.4 (2.7%) | 5,710.1 31.0% | 6,222.2 9.0% | 7,124.1 14.5% | 8,352.1 17.2% | 9,542.2 14.2% | 11,047.4 15.8% | 12,754.9 15.5% | 14,502.3 13.7% | 16,267.5 12.2% | 17,998.9 10.6% | 19,639.3 9.1% | 21,129.1 7.6% | 22,409.0 6.1% | 23,423.8 4.5% | 24,126.5 3.0% |
% margin | 773.6 17.7% | 1,821.0 31.9% | 1,211.3 19.5% | 1,766.8 24.8% | 2,348.9 28.1% | 2,174.4 22.8% | 2,517.4 22.8% | 2,906.4 22.8% | 3,304.6 22.8% | 3,706.9 22.8% | 4,101.4 22.8% | 4,475.2 22.8% | 4,814.7 22.8% | 5,106.3 22.8% | 5,337.5 22.8% | 5,497.7 22.8% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 683.7 15.7% | 1,664.7 29.2% | 1,013.5 16.3% | 1,639.1 23.0% | 2,053.5 24.6% | 1,900.9 19.9% | 2,200.7 19.9% | 2,540.9 19.9% | 2,889.0 19.9% | 3,240.6 19.9% | 3,585.5 19.9% | 3,912.3 19.9% | 4,209.1 19.9% | 4,464.1 19.9% | 4,666.2 19.9% | 4,806.2 19.9% |
% of revenue | 282.5 6.5% | 317.0 5.6% | 380.4 6.1% | 421.8 5.9% | 324.9 3.9% | 506.5 5.3% | 586.4 5.3% | 677.0 5.3% | 769.8 5.3% | 863.5 5.3% | 955.4 5.3% | 1,042.5 5.3% | 1,121.6 5.3% | 1,189.5 5.3% | 1,243.4 5.3% | 1,280.7 5.3% |
% of revenue | (341.5) (7.8%) | (353.5) (6.2%) | (532.4) (8.6%) | (1,064.2) (14.9%) | (1,111.2) (13.3%) | (1,170.5) (12.3%) | (1,355.1) (12.3%) | (1,564.6) (12.3%) | (1,778.9) (12.3%) | (1,995.4) (12.3%) | (2,207.8) (12.3%) | (2,409.0) (12.3%) | (2,591.8) (12.3%) | (2,748.8) (12.3%) | (2,873.2) (12.3%) | (2,959.4) (12.3%) |
% of revenue | (273.2) (6.3%) | (368.1) (6.4%) | (619.1) (9.9%) | (777.6) (10.9%) | 0.0 0.0% | (663.7) (7.0%) | (768.3) (7.0%) | (887.1) (7.0%) | (1,008.6) (7.0%) | (1,131.4) (7.0%) | (1,251.8) (7.0%) | (1,365.9) (7.0%) | (1,469.5) (7.0%) | (1,558.5) (7.0%) | (1,629.1) (7.0%) | (1,678.0) (7.0%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 351.5 8.1% | 1,260.1 22.1% | 242.4 3.9% | 219.1 3.1% | 1,267.2 15.2% | 573.3 6.0% | 663.7 6.0% | 766.3 6.0% | 871.3 6.0% | 977.3 6.0% | 1,081.3 6.0% | 1,179.9 6.0% | 1,269.4 6.0% | 1,346.3 6.0% | 1,407.2 6.0% | 1,449.4 6.0% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.39 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 452.6 | 571.0 | 596.3 | 613.3 | 622.3 | 622.9 | 614.8 | 598.3 | 574.0 | 542.7 |
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ISRG DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
5,808.2M
44.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
19.2B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
7,404.6M
56.0%
4,013.3M
Total Debt
0.0
17.2B
Shares outstanding
365.7M
FX rate
1.0
47.1
91.7% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
ISRG DCF Financials
Revenue
$8,352.1M -> $23.4B
10.9% CAGR
Operating Income
$2,348.9M -> $5,337.5M
8.6% CAGR
FCFF
$1,267.2M -> $1,407.2M
1.1% CAGR
ISRG DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
10.0%
$47.0
$49.0
$50.0
$52.0
$54.0
10.5%
$45.0
$46.0
$47.0
$49.0
$51.0
10.5%
$45.0
$46.0
$47.0
$49.0
$50.0
11.5%
$41.0
$42.0
$43.0
$44.0
$45.0
12.0%
$39.0
$40.0
$41.0
$42.0
$43.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
10.0%
(92.0%)
(91.0%)
(91.0%)
(91.0%)
(90.0%)
10.5%
(92.0%)
(92.0%)
(92.0%)
(91.0%)
(91.0%)
10.5%
(92.0%)
(92.0%)
(92.0%)
(91.0%)
(91.0%)
11.5%
(93.0%)
(93.0%)
(92.0%)
(92.0%)
(92.0%)
12.0%
(93.0%)
(93.0%)
(93.0%)
(93.0%)
(92.0%)
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Intuitive Surgical, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $47.1. This suggests it may be overvalued by (91.7%) compared to its current price of around $567.0, using a WACC of 10.5% and growth rates of 3.0%.
What is Intuitive Surgical, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 10.5%.
What is Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $13.2B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.