JCI
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)
Last Price$82.6(3.6%)
Market Cap$57.0B
DCF value
$25.5
Overvalued (DCF value)
(69.1%)
Discount Rate
9.5%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

JCI DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Sep'20 ActualSep'21 ActualSep'22 ActualSep'23 ActualSep'24 ActualSep'25 EstimateSep'26 EstimateSep'27 EstimateSep'28 EstimateSep'29 EstimateSep'30 EstimateSep'31 EstimateSep'32 EstimateSep'33 EstimateSep'34 EstimateSep'35 Terminal
% growth
22,317.0
(6.9%)
23,668.0
6.1%
25,299.0
6.9%
26,793.0
5.9%
22,952.0
(14.3%)
23,661.5
3.1%
24,499.8
3.5%
25,730.6
5.0%
26,584.0
3.3%
27,415.7
3.1%
28,221.8
2.9%
28,998.5
2.8%
29,742.1
2.6%
30,448.9
2.4%
31,115.1
2.2%
31,737.4
2.0%
1,917.0
8.6%
3,062.0
12.9%
2,644.0
10.5%
2,790.0
10.4%
2,416.0
10.5%
2,362.1
10.0%
2,445.7
10.0%
2,568.6
10.0%
2,653.8
10.0%
2,736.8
10.0%
2,817.3
10.0%
2,894.8
10.0%
2,969.1
10.0%
3,039.6
10.0%
3,106.1
10.0%
3,168.3
10.0%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
1,687.7
7.6%
2,045.2
8.6%
2,664.1
10.5%
3,317.0
12.4%
2,239.8
9.8%
2,189.8
9.3%
2,267.4
9.3%
2,381.3
9.3%
2,460.3
9.3%
2,537.2
9.3%
2,611.8
9.3%
2,683.7
9.3%
2,752.5
9.3%
2,817.9
9.3%
2,879.6
9.3%
2,937.2
9.3%
% of revenue
822.0
3.7%
845.0
3.6%
830.0
3.3%
848.0
3.2%
816.0
3.6%
788.8
3.3%
816.7
3.3%
857.8
3.3%
886.2
3.3%
913.9
3.3%
940.8
3.3%
966.7
3.3%
991.5
3.3%
1,015.1
3.3%
1,037.3
3.3%
1,058.0
3.3%
% of revenue
(96.0)
(0.4%)
(552.0)
(2.3%)
(592.0)
(2.3%)
(539.0)
(2.0%)
(494.0)
(2.2%)
(513.0)
(2.2%)
(531.2)
(2.2%)
(557.8)
(2.2%)
(576.3)
(2.2%)
(594.4)
(2.2%)
(611.9)
(2.2%)
(628.7)
(2.2%)
(644.8)
(2.2%)
(660.1)
(2.2%)
(674.6)
(2.2%)
(688.1)
(2.2%)
699.0
3.1%
571.0
2.4%
(739.0)
(2.9%)
(705.0)
(2.6%)
(657.0)
(2.9%)
(663.7)
(2.8%)
(687.2)
(2.8%)
(721.7)
(2.8%)
(745.7)
(2.8%)
(769.0)
(2.8%)
(791.6)
(2.8%)
(813.4)
(2.8%)
(834.3)
(2.8%)
(854.1)
(2.8%)
(872.8)
(2.8%)
(890.2)
(2.8%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
3,112.7
13.9%
2,909.2
12.3%
2,163.1
8.6%
2,921.0
10.9%
1,904.8
8.3%
1,801.9
7.6%
1,865.8
7.6%
1,959.5
7.6%
2,024.5
7.6%
2,087.8
7.6%
2,149.2
7.6%
2,208.4
7.6%
2,265.0
7.6%
2,318.8
7.6%
2,369.5
7.6%
2,416.9
7.6%
% of FCFF used in calculation
57.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.87
0.80
0.73
0.67
0.61
0.56
0.51
0.46
0.42
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
995.6
1,628.9
1,562.7
1,474.8
1,389.3
1,306.4
1,226.1
1,148.7
1,074.3
1,002.8

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JCI DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
12.8B
48.3%
Terminal Value (TV)
32.3B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
13.7B
51.7%
Total Debt
9,493.0M
Shares outstanding
690.8M
FX rate
1.0
69.1% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

JCI DCF Financials

Revenue
$23.0B -> $31.1B 3.1% CAGR
Operating Income
$2,416.0M -> $3,106.1M 2.5% CAGR
FCFF
$1,904.8M -> $2,369.5M 2.2% CAGR

JCI DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
$31.0
$33.0
$35.0
$38.0
$41.0
8.5%
$28.0
$30.0
$31.0
$33.0
$36.0
9.5%
$23.0
$24.0
$25.0
$27.0
$29.0
9.5%
$23.0
$24.0
$25.0
$27.0
$28.0
10.0%
$21.0
$22.0
$23.0
$24.0
$25.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
(62.0%)
(60.0%)
(58.0%)
(54.0%)
(50.0%)
8.5%
(66.0%)
(64.0%)
(62.0%)
(60.0%)
(56.0%)
9.5%
(72.0%)
(71.0%)
(70.0%)
(67.0%)
(65.0%)
9.5%
(72.0%)
(71.0%)
(70.0%)
(67.0%)
(66.0%)
10.0%
(75.0%)
(73.0%)
(72.0%)
(71.0%)
(70.0%)

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FAQ

What is Johnson Controls International plc DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Johnson Controls International plc's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $25.5. This suggests it may be overvalued by (69.1%) compared to its current price of around $82.6, using a WACC of 9.5% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Johnson Controls International plc WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Johnson Controls International plc's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.5%.

What is Johnson Controls International plc Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Johnson Controls International plc's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $26.5B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.