KAR DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 2,187.7 (21.4%) | 2,251.6 2.9% | 1,519.4 (32.5%) | 1,645.1 8.3% | 1,788.5 8.7% | 1,797.5 0.5% | 1,921.1 6.9% | 2,043.9 6.4% | 2,164.6 5.9% | 2,281.9 5.4% | 2,394.4 4.9% | 2,500.9 4.4% | 2,599.9 4.0% | 2,690.2 3.5% | 2,770.5 3.0% | 2,839.8 2.5% |
% margin | 136.4 6.2% | 210.6 9.4% | 173.7 11.4% | (5.2) (0.3%) | 182.2 10.2% | 117.9 6.6% | 126.0 6.6% | 134.1 6.6% | 142.0 6.6% | 149.7 6.6% | 157.1 6.6% | 164.1 6.6% | 170.6 6.6% | 176.5 6.6% | 181.7 6.6% | 186.3 6.6% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 12.6 0.6% | 138.0 6.1% | 128.7 8.5% | (5.5) (0.3%) | 126.8 7.1% | 82.1 4.6% | 87.7 4.6% | 93.3 4.6% | 98.8 4.6% | 104.2 4.6% | 109.3 4.6% | 114.2 4.6% | 118.7 4.6% | 122.8 4.6% | 126.5 4.6% | 129.7 4.6% |
% of revenue | 191.3 8.7% | 109.9 4.9% | 100.2 6.6% | 101.5 6.2% | 95.2 5.3% | 108.4 6.0% | 115.8 6.0% | 123.2 6.0% | 130.5 6.0% | 137.6 6.0% | 144.4 6.0% | 150.8 6.0% | 156.8 6.0% | 162.2 6.0% | 167.0 6.0% | 171.2 6.0% |
% of revenue | (101.4) (4.6%) | (108.5) (4.8%) | (60.9) (4.0%) | (52.0) (3.2%) | (53.0) (3.0%) | (60.7) (3.4%) | (64.9) (3.4%) | (69.0) (3.4%) | (73.1) (3.4%) | (77.1) (3.4%) | (80.9) (3.4%) | (84.5) (3.4%) | (87.8) (3.4%) | (90.9) (3.4%) | (93.6) (3.4%) | (95.9) (3.4%) |
% of revenue | 90.8 4.2% | 98.4 4.4% | (127.4) (8.4%) | (28.8) (1.8%) | 39.8 2.2% | (47.4) (2.6%) | (50.7) (2.6%) | (53.9) (2.6%) | (57.1) (2.6%) | (60.2) (2.6%) | (63.1) (2.6%) | (65.9) (2.6%) | (68.6) (2.6%) | (70.9) (2.6%) | (73.1) (2.6%) | (74.9) (2.6%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 193.3 8.8% | 237.8 10.6% | 40.6 2.7% | 15.2 0.9% | 208.8 11.7% | 82.3 4.6% | 88.0 4.6% | 93.6 4.6% | 99.2 4.6% | 104.5 4.6% | 109.7 4.6% | 114.6 4.6% | 119.1 4.6% | 123.2 4.6% | 126.9 4.6% | 130.1 4.6% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.46 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 63.9 | 77.9 | 76.4 | 74.6 | 72.5 | 70.1 | 67.5 | 64.7 | 61.7 | 58.6 |
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FAQ
What is KAR Auction Services, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, KAR Auction Services, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $13.9. This suggests it may be overvalued by (33.2%) compared to its current price of around $20.8, using a WACC of 8.5% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is KAR Auction Services, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, KAR Auction Services, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.5%.
What is KAR Auction Services, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, KAR Auction Services, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,693.9M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.