Last Price$34.11.8%
Market Cap$46.3B
DCF value
$36.6
Undervalued (DCF value)
7.3%
Discount Rate
5.7%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
KDP DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 11,120.0 49.4% | 11,618.0 4.5% | 12,683.0 9.2% | 14,057.0 10.8% | 14,814.0 5.4% | 15,293.9 3.2% | 16,163.3 5.7% | 16,780.5 3.8% | 17,537.2 4.5% | 17,995.0 2.6% | 18,446.5 2.5% | 18,890.5 2.4% | 19,326.0 2.3% | 19,751.9 2.2% | 20,167.1 2.1% | 20,570.4 2.0% |
% margin | 2,378.0 21.4% | 2,480.0 21.3% | 2,894.0 22.8% | 2,605.0 18.5% | 3,192.0 21.5% | 3,290.2 21.5% | 3,477.2 21.5% | 3,610.0 21.5% | 3,772.8 21.5% | 3,871.3 21.5% | 3,968.4 21.5% | 4,064.0 21.5% | 4,157.7 21.5% | 4,249.3 21.5% | 4,338.6 21.5% | 4,425.4 21.5% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 1,760.3 15.8% | 1,874.5 16.1% | 2,218.6 17.5% | 2,174.6 15.5% | 2,525.1 17.0% | 2,602.8 17.0% | 2,750.8 17.0% | 2,855.8 17.0% | 2,984.6 17.0% | 3,062.5 17.0% | 3,139.3 17.0% | 3,214.9 17.0% | 3,289.0 17.0% | 3,361.5 17.0% | 3,432.2 17.0% | 3,500.8 17.0% |
% of revenue | 698.0 6.3% | 495.0 4.3% | 708.0 5.6% | 709.0 5.0% | 720.0 4.9% | 789.5 5.2% | 834.4 5.2% | 866.2 5.2% | 905.3 5.2% | 928.9 5.2% | 952.2 5.2% | 975.1 5.2% | 997.6 5.2% | 1,019.6 5.2% | 1,041.0 5.2% | 1,061.9 5.2% |
% of revenue | (365.0) (3.3%) | (517.0) (4.4%) | (455.0) (3.6%) | (379.0) (2.7%) | (481.0) (3.2%) | (485.9) (3.2%) | (513.5) (3.2%) | (533.1) (3.2%) | (557.1) (3.2%) | (571.7) (3.2%) | (586.0) (3.2%) | (600.1) (3.2%) | (614.0) (3.2%) | (627.5) (3.2%) | (640.7) (3.2%) | (653.5) (3.2%) |
% of revenue | 366.0 3.3% | 166.0 1.4% | 351.0 2.8% | (275.0) (2.0%) | (1,747.0) (11.8%) | (559.8) (3.7%) | (591.7) (3.7%) | (614.3) (3.7%) | (642.0) (3.7%) | (658.7) (3.7%) | (675.2) (3.7%) | (691.5) (3.7%) | (707.4) (3.7%) | (723.0) (3.7%) | (738.2) (3.7%) | (753.0) (3.7%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 2,459.3 22.1% | 2,018.5 17.4% | 2,822.6 22.3% | 2,229.6 15.9% | 1,017.1 6.9% | 2,346.6 15.3% | 2,480.0 15.3% | 2,574.7 15.3% | 2,690.8 15.3% | 2,761.0 15.3% | 2,830.3 15.3% | 2,898.4 15.3% | 2,965.2 15.3% | 3,030.6 15.3% | 3,094.3 15.3% | 3,156.2 15.3% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 0.62 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 2,002.1 | 2,368.0 | 2,340.4 | 2,271.2 | 2,201.8 | 2,132.4 | 2,063.2 | 1,994.2 | 1,925.6 |
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KDP DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
19.3B
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
72.4B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
45.0B
70.0%
Total Debt
14.9B
49.7B
Shares outstanding
1,357.2M
FX rate
1.0
36.6
7.3% undervalued
Equity Value Bridge
KDP DCF Financials
Revenue
$14.8B -> $20.2B
3.1% CAGR
Operating Income
$3,192.0M -> $4,338.6M
3.1% CAGR
FCFF
$1,017.1M -> $3,094.3M
11.8% CAGR
KDP DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
5.0%
$38.0
$38.0
$38.0
$38.0
$38.0
5.5%
$36.0
$37.0
$37.0
$37.0
$37.0
5.7%
$34.0
$37.0
$37.0
$37.0
$37.0
6.5%
$28.0
$30.0
$33.0
$35.0
$35.0
7.0%
$25.0
$27.0
$29.0
$32.0
$34.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
5.0%
11.0%
11.0%
11.0%
11.0%
11.0%
5.5%
5.0%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
5.7%
0.0%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
6.5%
(18.0%)
(12.0%)
(3.0%)
3.0%
3.0%
7.0%
(27.0%)
(21.0%)
(15.0%)
(6.0%)
0.0%
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FAQ
What is Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $36.6. This suggests it may be undervalued by 7.3% compared to its current price of around $34.1, using a WACC of 5.7% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 5.7%.
What is Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $64.3B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.