LPG
Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG)
Last Price$20.40.2%
Market Cap$857.0M
DCF value
$46.4
Undervalued (DCF value)
128.0%
Discount Rate
7.9%
Long-Term Growth Rate
1.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

LPG DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Mar'20 ActualMar'21 ActualMar'22 ActualMar'23 ActualMar'24 ActualMar'25 EstimateMar'26 EstimateMar'27 EstimateMar'28 EstimateMar'29 EstimateMar'30 EstimateMar'31 EstimateMar'32 EstimateMar'33 EstimateMar'34 EstimateMar'35 Terminal
% growth
333.4
111.0%
315.9
(5.2%)
274.2
(13.2%)
389.7
42.1%
560.7
43.9%
365.5
(34.8%)
404.0
10.5%
374.7
(7.3%)
351.6
(6.2%)
333.8
(5.1%)
320.5
(4.0%)
311.3
(2.9%)
305.8
(1.8%)
303.7
(0.7%)
304.9
0.4%
309.5
1.5%
161.1
48.3%
116.1
36.7%
92.4
33.7%
198.4
50.9%
328.8
58.6%
163.0
44.6%
180.2
44.6%
167.1
44.6%
156.8
44.6%
148.9
44.6%
143.0
44.6%
138.8
44.6%
136.4
44.6%
135.4
44.6%
136.0
44.6%
138.0
44.6%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
161.1
48.3%
116.1
36.7%
92.4
33.7%
198.4
50.9%
328.8
58.6%
163.0
44.6%
180.2
44.6%
167.1
44.6%
156.8
44.6%
148.9
44.6%
143.0
44.6%
138.8
44.6%
136.4
44.6%
135.4
44.6%
136.0
44.6%
138.0
44.6%
% of revenue
68.1
20.4%
77.7
24.6%
66.4
24.2%
63.4
16.3%
68.7
12.2%
64.2
17.6%
71.0
17.6%
65.9
17.6%
61.8
17.6%
58.7
17.6%
56.3
17.6%
54.7
17.6%
53.8
17.6%
53.4
17.6%
53.6
17.6%
54.4
17.6%
% of revenue
(4.0)
(1.2%)
(20.0)
(6.3%)
(9.5)
(3.5%)
(23.2)
(5.9%)
(32.9)
(5.9%)
(18.6)
(5.1%)
(20.6)
(5.1%)
(19.1)
(5.1%)
(17.9)
(5.1%)
(17.0)
(5.1%)
(16.3)
(5.1%)
(15.9)
(5.1%)
(15.6)
(5.1%)
(15.5)
(5.1%)
(15.5)
(5.1%)
(15.8)
(5.1%)
(21.5)
(6.4%)
(29.1)
(9.2%)
6.5
2.4%
(17.8)
(4.6%)
(15.6)
(2.8%)
(6.1)
(1.7%)
(6.7)
(1.7%)
(6.2)
(1.7%)
(5.8)
(1.7%)
(5.5)
(1.7%)
(5.3)
(1.7%)
(5.2)
(1.7%)
(5.1)
(1.7%)
(5.0)
(1.7%)
(5.1)
(1.7%)
(5.1)
(1.7%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
203.7
61.1%
144.6
45.8%
155.9
56.8%
220.7
56.6%
349.1
62.3%
202.6
55.4%
223.9
55.4%
207.7
55.4%
194.9
55.4%
185.0
55.4%
177.7
55.4%
172.6
55.4%
169.5
55.4%
168.3
55.4%
169.0
55.4%
171.5
55.4%
% of FCFF used in calculation
5.5%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.89
0.83
0.77
0.71
0.66
0.61
0.57
0.52
0.49
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
10.7
199.8
171.8
149.4
131.5
117.0
105.3
95.9
88.3
82.2

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LPG DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
1,151.9M
46.9%
Terminal Value (TV)
2,685.4M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
1,305.5M
53.1%
Total Debt
797.3M
1,954.1M
Shares outstanding
42.1M
FX rate
1.0
128% undervalued

Equity Value Bridge

LPG DCF Financials

Revenue
$560.7M -> $304.9M (5.9%) CAGR
Operating Income
$328.8M -> $136.0M (8.5%) CAGR
FCFF
$349.1M -> $169.0M (7.0%) CAGR

LPG DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
WACC
7.0%
$49.0
$52.0
$55.0
$59.0
$64.0
7.5%
$45.0
$47.0
$50.0
$53.0
$57.0
7.9%
$42.0
$44.0
$46.0
$49.0
$52.0
8.5%
$38.0
$40.0
$41.0
$44.0
$46.0
9.0%
$35.0
$37.0
$38.0
$40.0
$42.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
WACC
7.0%
141.0%
156.0%
170.0%
190.0%
214.0%
7.5%
121.0%
131.0%
146.0%
160.0%
180.0%
7.9%
106.0%
116.0%
126.0%
141.0%
156.0%
8.5%
87.0%
97.0%
101.0%
116.0%
126.0%
9.0%
72.0%
82.0%
87.0%
97.0%
106.0%

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FAQ

What is Dorian LPG Ltd. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Dorian LPG Ltd.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $46.4. This suggests it may be undervalued by 128.0% compared to its current price of around $20.4, using a WACC of 7.9% and growth rates of 1.5%.

What is Dorian LPG Ltd. WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Dorian LPG Ltd.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.9%.

What is Dorian LPG Ltd. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Dorian LPG Ltd.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $2,457.4M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.