MOH
Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH)
Last Price$302.80.6%
Market Cap$17.3B
DCF value
$548.7
Undervalued (DCF value)
81.2%
Discount Rate
6.4%
Long-Term Growth Rate
3.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

MOH DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
19,423.0
15.4%
27,771.0
43.0%
31,974.0
15.1%
34,072.0
6.6%
40,650.0
19.3%
43,427.2
6.8%
47,105.9
8.5%
53,495.1
13.6%
43,222.0
(19.2%)
36,292.8
(16.0%)
31,625.6
(12.9%)
28,561.8
(9.7%)
26,700.7
(6.5%)
25,807.9
(3.3%)
25,763.5
(0.2%)
26,536.4
3.0%
1,078.0
5.6%
1,020.0
3.7%
1,173.0
3.7%
1,573.0
4.6%
1,707.0
4.2%
2,052.7
4.7%
2,226.6
4.7%
2,528.6
4.7%
2,043.0
4.7%
1,715.5
4.7%
1,494.9
4.7%
1,350.0
4.7%
1,262.1
4.7%
1,219.9
4.7%
1,217.8
4.7%
1,254.3
4.7%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
754.9
3.9%
768.2
2.8%
874.0
2.7%
1,172.2
3.4%
1,266.6
3.1%
1,523.1
3.5%
1,652.1
3.5%
1,876.1
3.5%
1,515.9
3.5%
1,272.8
3.5%
1,109.2
3.5%
1,001.7
3.5%
936.4
3.5%
905.1
3.5%
903.6
3.5%
930.7
3.5%
% of revenue
88.0
0.5%
131.0
0.5%
176.0
0.6%
171.0
0.5%
186.0
0.5%
218.6
0.5%
237.1
0.5%
269.2
0.5%
217.5
0.5%
182.7
0.5%
159.2
0.5%
143.8
0.5%
134.4
0.5%
129.9
0.5%
129.7
0.5%
133.6
0.5%
% of revenue
(74.0)
(0.4%)
(77.0)
(0.3%)
(91.0)
(0.3%)
(84.0)
(0.2%)
(100.0)
(0.2%)
(112.5)
(0.3%)
(122.0)
(0.3%)
(138.6)
(0.3%)
(112.0)
(0.3%)
(94.0)
(0.3%)
(81.9)
(0.3%)
(74.0)
(0.3%)
(69.2)
(0.3%)
(66.9)
(0.3%)
(66.7)
(0.3%)
(68.7)
(0.3%)
1,064.0
5.5%
1,223.0
4.4%
(448.0)
(1.4%)
314.0
0.9%
0.0
0.0%
(69.4)
(0.2%)
(75.3)
(0.2%)
(85.5)
(0.2%)
(69.1)
(0.2%)
(58.0)
(0.2%)
(50.6)
(0.2%)
(45.7)
(0.2%)
(42.7)
(0.2%)
(41.3)
(0.2%)
(41.2)
(0.2%)
(42.4)
(0.2%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
1,832.9
9.4%
2,045.2
7.4%
511.0
1.6%
1,573.2
4.6%
1,352.6
3.3%
1,559.7
3.6%
1,691.8
3.6%
1,921.3
3.6%
1,552.3
3.6%
1,303.5
3.6%
1,135.8
3.6%
1,025.8
3.6%
959.0
3.6%
926.9
3.6%
925.3
3.6%
953.1
3.6%
% of FCFF used in calculation
83.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.97
0.91
0.86
0.81
0.76
0.71
0.67
0.63
0.59
0.56
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
1,255.4
1,542.0
1,646.2
1,250.4
987.0
808.5
686.4
603.2
548.1
514.4

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MOH DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
9,841.7M
38.5%
Terminal Value (TV)
28.2B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
15.7B
61.5%
Total Debt
3,118.0M
Shares outstanding
57.2M
FX rate
1.0
81.2% undervalued

Equity Value Bridge

MOH DCF Financials

Revenue
$40.7B -> $25.8B (4.5%) CAGR
Operating Income
$1,707.0M -> $1,217.8M (3.3%) CAGR
FCFF
$1,352.6M -> $925.3M (3.7%) CAGR

MOH DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
5.0%
$633.0
$703.0
$706.0
$706.0
$706.0
5.5%
$566.0
$614.0
$681.0
$695.0
$695.0
6.4%
$486.0
$513.0
$549.0
$596.0
$664.0
6.5%
$477.0
$503.0
$535.0
$579.0
$640.0
7.0%
$446.0
$465.0
$489.0
$521.0
$562.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
5.0%
109.0%
132.0%
133.0%
133.0%
133.0%
5.5%
87.0%
103.0%
125.0%
129.0%
129.0%
6.4%
60.0%
69.0%
81.0%
97.0%
119.0%
6.5%
58.0%
66.0%
77.0%
91.0%
111.0%
7.0%
47.0%
54.0%
61.0%
72.0%
86.0%

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FAQ

What is Molina Healthcare, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Molina Healthcare, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $548.7. This suggests it may be undervalued by 81.2% compared to its current price of around $302.8, using a WACC of 6.4% and growth rates of 3.0%.

What is Molina Healthcare, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Molina Healthcare, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 6.4%.

What is Molina Healthcare, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Molina Healthcare, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $25.5B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.